Saturday 22 August 2009

AUG 22

Well Gunner Lindley was unplaced and I guess I was not the only one undone as their were multiple £1000+ bets on this one. I did tell you I thought it was a bit too obvious and I hope you wentt with ultra safe Jonny Murtagh at 1.07 or 1.35 to win and trade. He won't take the flight over to Killarney for one ride if taht ride isn't going to win.
Some compensation in the evening as Nantes went goal crazy. I left Brett Vale alone as only 2 places .

Before any of the horse racing is even looked at, Arsenal at home and Celtic at home look standout today - esepcially the new look Celtic and they will actually be my one a day today - at 1.19 look safe enough - I was mighty impressed by them against Aberdeen and the free(ish) role given to McGeady , along with the use of wingers proved fruitful

AS an exercise I will look at the horses

210 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Strawberrydaiquiri, 5/1 Please Sing, 6/1 Say No Now, 9/1 Ada River, 12/1 Rosaleen, 16/1 King´s Starlet, Nashmiah, 20/1 Ahla Wasahl, 33/1 Touching.

DIOMED VERDICT: STRAWBERRYDAIQUIRI has had to work for her Listed wins and is worse off at the weights with C&D runner-up Say No Now, but still looks easily the most likely winner.

Price gapper in a listed race but has won last 3 BUT has Moore onboard - can we see another place (if he is vulnerable to the win?) 1.17 to place

220 RIPON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Tasmeem, Waveband, 7/1 Saucy Girl, 10/1 Gold Rules, We´Ll Deal Again, 16/1 Burtondale Boy, North Central, 20/1 Layla´s Prince, Lucky Traveller, 33/1 Destiny´s Dancer, 50/1 Buzz Bird, Dazakhee, 66/1 Baby Judge, 100/1 Sonofdon.

DIOMED VERDICT: This probably lies between the well-drawn TASMEEM and Waveband, with the Hills runner the call.

Waveband represents the Johnston yard and is one of 2 under 8/1 - expect a good run as he is backed 1.36 to place

240 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Buzzword, 4/1 Shakespearean, 9/2 Prompter, 5/1 Black Spirit, Simenon, 12/1 Cumulus Nimbus, 25/1 Dubawi Phantom, 33/1 Audacity Of Hope.

DIOMED VERDICT: Some unexposed types make this tricky, but BUIZZWORD has sound form claims and is also open to improvement.

Price gapper for the red hot Godolphin ,now 5/4 1.29 to place

405 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Quarrel, 6/4 Atlantis Star, 4/1 Footstepsofspring,

DIOMED VERDICT: It is no easy matter choosing between debut winners Atlantis Prince and QUARREL with marginal preference being for the latter.

3 horses and 2 palces - suggest following the market here? Foosteps is 6/1 at the moment 1.35 , 1.16 and 2.4 the places here for these 3

420 FAIRYHOUSE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Dick Turpin, 9/2 In Some Respect, 8/1 Wisecraic, 10/1 Dancing Red Devil, 12/1 Benwilt Barney, Newpark Rio, 14/1 Craicattack, Fait Accompli, Quaestor, Slice, 16/1 Hill Of Miller, 20/1 Your Gifted, 25/1 Cavan Girl, Mnarani, 33/1 Man In Black, Psalmson.
Richard Hughes off to Ireland on a price gapper - take the hint a la Murtagh yesterday? 1.17 the place

450 FAIRYHOUSE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Cape Blanco, 9/2 King Ledley, 5/1 Marfach, 6/1 Kingdom Of Munster, 10/1 Moran Gra, 12/1 Mister Tee, Utrillo.

Huge price gapper in the live amrket this Cape Blanco, now 3/10 and we should take the hint wit Ballydoyle - only 2 places should keep the price interesting enough in the place market 1.12 to place which looks big given the huge price contraction when compared to the betting forecast

General Lindley's inability to handle Chester was a hindrance so I have left Chester alone today where the draw is king

530 MR
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Zafar, 5/1 Nephin Lad, 8/1 Overrule, 10/1 Aggravation, 12/1 Crosby Jemma, 14/1 Gaelic Prince, Jebel Tara, Kayf Commander, 25/1 Amir Pasha, 33/1 Fyodorovich, 50/1 Maynooth Prince, 100/1 Tank Commander.

DIOMED VERDICT: ZAFAR is destined for better things than this and can shoulder a big weight to success.

Price gapper with 2nd fav out - 7lb claimer tells you the trainer knows he has a big enough weight but should place 1.15 to place

FOOTY
Celtic and Arsenal standout today and I may consider the double here. Man City should win against Wolves as they were very assured against Barca in a meaningless friendly mid week against a multiple subs side

ONE A DAY
Celtic - mighty impressive at bigger odds in dispatching of Aberdeen should find this a breeze with a strong team on the field
HORSES - well CAPE BLANCO, FAV IN THE 405 CHESTER would be the ones I choose here if there was not such a good footballing bet this afternoon - 405 is a typical great probability race isn't it and the hope is the 6/1 shot will not get involved making life really simple

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