Thursday 13 August 2009

13/8 UPDATE

Clean sweep for the shortlisters and Love delta obliged for the place bet. Germany won halftime/full time, won over 1.5 goals too so easy pickings

Enchanced bet anyone? Spain 2-0 Down. I backed them to win at 7.8 (remember they were 1/3 to win before the match) and hey presto 3 goals in 5 mins ensured a payout of £156 for me(green screen) - you'll see this match in the next newsletter.

It was quite amazing.

I called France right. 1/100 shots only won 1-0 and under 2.5 goals came in as predicted. Watch out for Faroe at home - they look difficult to beat.

230 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Magic Lantern, 5/1 Ilston Lord, 6/1 Abriachan, 7/1 Many A Slip, 10/1 Perfect Vision, 16/1 Firehawk, 20/1 Hum Again, Sundream, 25/1 Arkellion, Bandear, Light The Way, 33/1 City Of Rome, One Cool Poppy, Tregony Bridge, 50/1 Kingsdine.

DIOMED VERDICT: Ilston Lord is a likely improver but MAGIC LANTERN has strong form claims.

Richard Hughes on board the fav here - 15 runners and the market indicates a lot of potential deadwood? 5 debutants and a number open to possible improvement in this maiden. I like being with jockeys in form on fancied horses -UPDATE - huge price gapper in the live betting market adn 1.2 in the place only market - hardened into odds on, but hold on - what's Light the way doing at 7/1 2nd fav - check out its betting forecast price!!

250 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Waseet, 11/2 Mecox Bay, 10/1 Cloudy City, 12/1 Very Good Day, 20/1 Gordon Flash, 33/1 Azlak.

DIOMED VERDICT: WASEET looks outstanding on his Newmarket third. Mecox Bay can complete the forecast.

"looks outstanding" says Diomed - maiden race this one - 2 places only. Richard Hills for John Dunlop - another one time out maiden horse fancied to improve on sole run, but remember these are 2 year olds. - 2/5 in the live market and 1.14 ( pr obably because of the 2 places ) - Diomed's confidence really is striking - another horse who was clear of the others in hsi sole start and that is always a good sign

400 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Mezenah, 4/1 Ghaneema, 9/2 Shaaridh, 12/1 Passkey, 25/1 Pellinore, Pezula, 33/1 Duchess Of Alba, Kiss ´n Tell, 66/1 Head First.

DIOMED VERDICT: MEZENAH is the form pick but has been beaten twice at odds on and Ghaneema would be interesting if the money came for her.

2232 is good consistent placed form for this Godolphin maiden with Frankie Dettori in the plate. Always a slight concern he will be over bet given the famous jockey.

4 of the 9 runners are debutants - including 2nd and 3rd favs and possible market mover PAskey - UPDATE - only 4 under 20/1 here and the front 2 are the ones the market is bullish about - with the form and experience and Dettori, Mezenah should place again at least1.09 in the place market reflectts this alas

415 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Confront, 9/2 Laa Rayb, 11/2 Khateeb, 8/1 Without A Prayer, 10/1 Mac Love, Orizaba, 16/1 Ordnance Row.

DIOMED VERDICT: A decent opportunity for CONFRONT (nap) whose Ascot second to Aqlaam sets the standard.

The same pairing of Ryan Moore and Michael Stoute got Ave in a listed race yesterday - concern today is only 2 places with the outsider only 12/1 - potential competitive affair -UPDATE - Ave was similarly profiled yesterday - not necessarily strong in the market but he did have the advantage of 3 palces - Confront does not - 1.46 to place

500 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Wiseman´s Diamond, 6/1 Emperor´s Well, 8/1 Salerosa, 10/1 Silly Gilly, 12/1 Bivouac, Coole Dodger, 16/1 Ermine Grey, Josephine Malines, Royal Fantasy, 20/1 Director´s Chair, Grethel, Uhuru Peak, 25/1 Millie´s Rock, 33/1 Bernix, Jarvo, Transmission, 50/1 Chicamia.

DIOMED VERDICT: WISEMAN'S DIAMOND is unpenalised for her 7l success at Newcastle last week, when looking better than ever, and should be capable of following up.

Amateur riders handicap here with 17 runners and 4 places and a favourite in very good form and unpenalised - dare we trust these amateurs in such a big field. 1.35 to place

625 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Benvenuto, 5/2 Behtarini, 7/1 Cool Marble, 8/1 Enjoy Your Life, 10/1 Butler, Lastofthemohicans, 12/1 Virgil Caine, 14/1 Elusive Award, Granville Bennett, Rio Command, 20/1 Whiskey Bay.

Purple Heart placed yesterday for Ballydoyle and Benvenuto fits into the category of possible improver for 2nd run - illiquid market

720 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Criticize, 11/4 Manere Bay, 5/1 Milldown Story, 10/1 Poppet´s Lovein, 14/1 Diamond Paula, 33/1 Devon Diva, 50/1 Red Willow,

DIOMED VERDICT: CRITICIZE (nap) only just missed out on a highly promising Newbury debut and can gain compensation here.

Was 9 runners but 2 "doubtful" lead me to believe it may be o nly 2 places. Again Richard Hughes on a strong fav, albeit a maiden with only one run AGAIN! Good news -3 to be placed and Criticise looks good at 1.14 - 7 runners -2 horses at 33/1 and 50/1 can hopefully be discounted

725 LEOP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Mourayan, 100/30 Profound Beauty, 9/2 Shreyas, 7/1 Fiery Lad, 8/1 Stately Home, 12/1 Nafaath, 16/1 The Bull Hayes.

Oxx/Kinane on the fav and some strong stables/jockeys in opposition 1.28 to place

730 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Igoyougo, 11/2 Future Gem, 13/2 Fasliyanne, 8/1 Gee Gina, Iachimo, 9/1 Arjemis, 10/1 Bees River, 14/1 Dispol Kylie, 25/1 Soviet Rhythm, 33/1 Blow Your Mind, Oceanic Dancer.

DIOMED VERDICT: IGOYOUGO (nap) won well at the weekend and can follow up despite a 6lb penalty.

0-65 class 6 handicap price gapper and these are usually highly reliable place backers 1.36 to placae

825 LEOP
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Alakhan, 4/1 Livaleo, 9/2 Shalambar, 6/1 Flattery, 8/1 Alazan, 14/1 Zahroun, 20/1 Night Spark, Vonnas, 33/1 Intyre Trail, Shadayid Khanum, 40/1 Buckle Away.

Only 5 under 33/1 and Oxx/Kinane on the fav 1.25 to place

TENNIS
Murray is 1.18 v Ferrero in the tennis today - Murray has only played him twice and is 2-0 and seems to have the clear advantage here

SHORTLIST
250 SANDOWN - Waseet looks in here by default -1.14 the place and the niggle is this is another one time outer BUT he comes from a race full of promise and was clear of a number of "future winners" -"outstanding" claims says Diomed and his mate Spotlight

400 SANDOWN - Mezenah has the placed experience, Dettori, and is one of 4 under 20/1 - 1.09 alas is a bit short

720 CHEPSTOW - Criticise is 1.14 and tere's 3 places - another alas with only the one run but Richard Hughes is onboard and there are 2 clear outsiders - nose 2nd to PRince of Johanne who was a place only selection coincidentally

Andy Murray is 1.18 and is 2-0 against Fererro and seems to have the Spaniard. Murray is hot 2nd fav for this tournament and is expected to reach the final or semi's at least

ONE A DAY

250 SANDOWN - yes 2 places but Waseet is highly thought of by Spotlight and Diomed and this is always a good sign and he will be my one a day today. 2 places is a pain and we risk a one time out 2 year old not replicating initial form, but Richard Hills is an adequate jockey
In fact, again, I am taken by all shortlisters today and at a bigger price and in the hope that this will be a sturdier bet, Murray and Criticise could be able alternatives

Update at 1pm





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