Monday 31 August 2009

31/8

Should have done my research yesterday!! Germany ladies played a 2nd string, AND THIS INFO WAS AVAILABLE PRE MATCH AT WWW.FIFA.COM , hence the 0-0 at half time.
Had I known this, then perhaps I would have had a rethink
But no harm done 1-0 win
There was a great 0-60 handicap price gapper in Vital Point yesterday for anyone searching for a horse to place back, and he won.
On to today, and I believe it's bank holiday in the UK so no doubt TONS of racing
As it's a little early, I'll start with the footy because Barca make their debut this La Liga season and seeing Real Madrid winning they need to stay close to them points wise.
Dinamo Kiev v Metalurgs 1.29
Rosenborg v Lyn 1.24
Benfica 1.24 v Setabul
Barcelona 1.17 v Gijon
1.13 over 1.5 goals

US Open egins today and amazingly Federer cannot be backed on Betfair! Noone is willing to put any odds up for him!
Set 1 winner is 1.03 for Fed
Djokovic is 1.07 to win
Andy Murray is 1.04
Perhaps a double Djokovic and Murray?
Venus Williams is 1.1

Horse racing today looks loaded on quantity rather than quality
215 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Mr Corby, 11/4 Caldercruix, 7/2 Cono Zur, 11/2 Unshakable Will, 16/1 Sixties Rock, Starry Mount, Stratton Banker, 33/1 Drubinca, Generoso, Vittachi, 66/1 Wing Forward.

DIOMED VERDICT: Caldercruix and Cono Zur are interesting newcomers who should be monitored closely in the betting. Of those with experience, MR CORBY makes the most appeal.

Only 4 under 16/1 - 1.37 Mr Corby to place

320 HUNTINGDON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Press The Button, 7/2 Duty Free, 4/1 Choctaw Nation, 6/1 Seader, 13/2 Wester Ross, 10/1 Tollishill, 14/1 Director´s Chair, 20/1 Mid Valley, 25/1 Escardo, 50/1 Empire Seeker, 100/1 Shannon Weir, Wee Ziggy.

DIOMED VERDICT: PRESS THE BUTTON has already had a good summer on the Flat and is a potentially decent recruit to hurdling.

Duty Free 5/2 under McCoy who can hopefully enale this one to place yet again 1.4 to place but an illiquid market

325 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 She´s In The Money, 9/2 Dance Club, Sanvean, 13/2 Poppet´s Lovein, 9/1 Leonid Glow, 12/1 Hansomis, 14/1 Tina´s Best, 16/1 Carnival Dream.

DIOMED VERDICT: SHE'S IN THE MONEY (nap) looks ahead of the handicapper turned out before she's reassessed for last Wednesday's narrow defeat at Catterick.

Price gapper in a class 5 handicap. Sraight 8 here 1.31 to place

340 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 King´s Parade, 3/1 New Christmas, 4/1 Dahaam, 9/2 Sea Dubai, 12/1 Sundream, 16/1 Ice Viking, Sierra Alpha, 20/1 Sefton Park, Sounds Of Thunder, 66/1 Antoella, Ellen Vannin, 100/1 Draco Boy.

DIOMED VERDICT: NEW CHRISTMAS, the only one with Group entries this autumn, is given a chance to make amends for his Yarmouth misadventure.

Hmm Betty, the horse has left me in the stalls. So said Frank Spencer after New Christmas's last run. In a race with only 4 under 12/1 it is hoped a new jockey can race this one to its potential - 1.29 to place New Christmas under Martin Dwyer

345 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Firebet, 13/8 Tranquil Tiger, 13/2 Midnight Cruiser, 40/1 Maxwil.

DIOMED VERDICT: Effectively a match between likely pacesetter Tranquil Tiger and FIREBET, with the younger, more progressive horse probably still open to improvement.

A 2 horse race? 1.14 the front 2 to place in a 50/50 race - well really a 3 horse race if we can get rid of Maxwil

405 CARTMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 River Ripples, 11/4 Getinbybutonlyjust, 11/2 Stoneriggs Merc, 17/2 Merry Path, 16/1 Feeling Peckish, 20/1 Dasher Reilly, Jballingall, 33/1 Iloveturtle, 50/1 Silver Dagger, 100/1 Good Man Again.

DIOMED VERDICT: RIVER RIPPLES (nap) bounded back to form last time and has a strong chance of following up in a weak contest.

Big move for Stoneriggs Merc for the Vaughan yard, now 7/4 but I am not too keen on a 7l claiming jockey taking over from a true pro -1.48 to place

440 CARTMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Rockys Choice, 13/8 Spellchecker, 100/30 Wor Rom, 8/1 Madman, 33/1 Run Free, 66/1 Bocciani, 100/1 Bombie Boy, Night Reveller.

DIOMED VERDICT: SPELLCHECKER gets the marginal vote ahead of Rockys Choice and bumper winner Wor Rom.

Only 3 really under 16/1 should be the ones to concentrate on albeit in a maiden hurdle 1.13 Rockys to place in an illiquid market

SHORTLIST
From a horse racing perspective,325 Newcastle, 345 Epsom and 440 Cartmel are my 3 to focus on. I am drawn by the 345 Epsom in a race with a clear outsider leaving 3 horses and 2 places,but we need to e confident that the front 2 will be the ones to finish 1 and 2 .
Elsewhere, Venus Williams at 1.1 looks like a great bet in the US Open
Barcelona at 1.17 this evening should click into gear with ease and , if scoring first, trade at 1.04 or thereabouts . They really HAVE to win, at home, with Real winning last time out.
ONE A DAY
Must be Barcelona again at 1.17 to win this evening. 345 Epsom, Tranquil Tiger and Firebet are both 1.14 to place and should dominate this race. I would plump for the live market favourite here to place, but as things stand, it really is Barca as the very strong ONE A DAY bet

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