Monday 24 August 2009

24/8

The horse placed and Inter Milan scored first 1-27 to back reduced to 1.10 after the goal and a nice 1.17 trade . Final result was 1-1 and I did back Inter at 10.5 with 3 minutes or so to go as an enhanced bet gut it wasn't to be.
Anyone fancy Rangers yesterday? 1-1 and a man down and they won 2-1 - enhanced bet heaven for those who chose them!!
Watch out for Bordeaux, 3rd match in a row scoring 4 goals -they look hot this season.And Barca were superb at 3-0 yesterday- should be plenty of opportunities from them this season

20:00 Liverpool vs Aston Villa 2/5
21:00 Real Madrid vs Rosenborg 1/7
the 2 matches of interest, the latter a friendly so bear in mind possible team changes throughout the match. Still a strong side with kaka, Ronaldo, Robben, Benzema et al should score first AT LEAST shouldn't they to allow a nice trade

230 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Sunraider, 4/1 Robinson Cruso, 5/1 Dance East, 6/1 Kalypso King, 7/1 Gallant Eagle, 10/1 Sternlight, 12/1 Lost Cause, 14/1 Deely Plaza, 33/1 Kilt Rock, 50/1 Swift Return, 66/1 Pie Poudre.

DIOMED VERDICT: The betting should offer some important clues, but LOST CAUSE could represent each-way value.

Odds on ( all red) across the boards now this Sunraider in a tricky maiden with plenty of newcomers 1.17 to place

240 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Elusive Trader, 7/2 Barlaman, 5/1 Haadeeth, 10/1 Gold Crusher, 11/1 Avenuesnalleyways, 12/1 Maashooq, Mount Juliet, 20/1 Gypsy Boy, Rain On The Wind, 25/1 Brick Red, Rum King, 33/1 Motty´s Gift.

DIOMED VERDICT: Haadeeth and, in particular, Barlaman are interesting newcomers but ELUSIVE TRADER has already shown plenty of ability and may be able to make previous experience count.

A race dominated by Moore and Dettori? Only 3 under 16/1 here in another maiden where a one time outer and a debutant dominate the betting 1.21 and 1.4 the front 2 to place

310 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Sharaayeen, 4/1 Navy List, 5/1 Udabaa, 13/2 James Barrymore, 8/1 Togiak, 9/1 Trewarthenick, 14/1 Christopher Wren, 16/1 Hellenio, Veni Vedi Veci, 25/1 Keleyf Byon Belief, Rock Of Eire, 28/1 Clayton Flick, 50/1 Downtoobusiness.

DIOMED VERDICT: With Richard Hills evidently preferring SHARAAYEEN to Udabaa, Barry Hills' Group 1-entered colt is the suggestion.

Group 1 entered debutant " all red" but how on earth do we know how he will fare against other newcomers 1.39 to place

410 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Bagber, 9/4 Attainable, 7/2 Bengal Tiger, 9/2 Pyrus Time, 20/1 Be Kind, Rainiers Girl, 25/1 Largem, 66/1 Alltheclews, Mr Plod.

DIOMED VERDICT: Bagber and Pyrus Time have had plenty of chances and the twice-raced ATTAINABLE, whose dam is a sister to Dancing Brave, is an unexposed alternative.

Only 4 under 20/1 here and all have experience - Ryan Moore's Bagber the default place selecction? 1.31 to place

430 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Serious Impact, 6/1 Anice Stellato, 7/1 Emperor Court, Humble Opinion, 9/1 Outlandish, Special Reserve, 10/1 Black Rain, 16/1 Lady Brora, 20/1 Morbick.

DIOMED VERDICT: SERIOUS IMPACT has serious potential, particularly over this trip. The chief concern is his absence since May.

BEst price gapper of the day - 1.2 to place

500 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 5/6 Laughing Boy, 9/2 Zemario, 13/2 Cherish The Moment, 7/1 Millharbour, 12/1 Mistoffelees, 16/1 Morning Dress, 25/1 Sioux City Sue, 33/1 Red Army Commander, Stanley Rigby, 66/1 Walls =Way.

DIOMED VERDICT: Well-bred newcomer Zemario may well be all that stands between LAUGHING BOY and his first win.

Price gapper here and nearly " all red" -has experience for a maiden which should help get him placed? 1.13 to place

Heavy ground at Hamilton precludes a bet there and as you can see above, a day full of "potential" as they are mostly maiden races , and a couple have one time outers priced very short indeed

SHORTLIST
Immediately taken by Real Madrid at 1.14 in tonight's friendly with Rosenborg and that looks the most solid bet of the night IF we see some of the big boys out for Real ( and with the new season a sniff away I suspect we will)
410 Kempton sees 4 under 16/1 and quite similar profiles with baGBER AND Pyrus Time who have great consistent placed form. As ever the risk is avoiding the one of these 3 who will NOT place. Consider taking cues from the live market here
430 and 500 Windsor have the ebst price gappers but both are maiden races. Serious Impact not run since May 2009, but is well backed "all red"LAughing Boy is also all red and odds on, form of 442 is progressive and the excellent Richard Hughes is in the plate

ONE A DAY
For simplicity's sake really, Real Madrid should given us a good run for our money today and are a good way to avoid any maiden races
From a horse racing perspective, fav in 410 Kempton to place would be my pick (follow the money) in order to distinguish one of the 4 under 16/1

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