Ruby Murray was too hot for Ferrero
220 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Malt Or Mash, 100/30 Phoenix Flight, 11/2 Guiseppe Verdi, Polish Power, 10/1 Nawamees, Samurai Warrior, 14/1 Canton Road, Hambledon Hill, 33/1 Boffin.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Question marks over most but PHOENIX FLIGHT is a dependable sort and can defy top weight. |
Only 2 under 10/1 look the ones to concentrate on in this claimer 1.4 the front 2 to place
235 NOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Sister Clement, 5/1 High Achieved, 7/1 Feelin Foxy, Misplaced Fortune, 8/1 La Capriosa, To Be Or Not To Be, 9/1 Dubai Legend, 10/1 Solitary, 11/1 Queen Sally, 16/1 Allexes, Kheskianto, 20/1 Aunt Nicola, Peper Harow.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Hard to be sure whether there'll be a draw bias, but HIGH ACHIEVED should be capable of leaving behind the form of her maiden-race success. |
High achieved is the big mover here into 13/8 1.46 to place
245 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Diamond Daisy, 5/2 Off Chance, 100/30 Chantilly Pearl, 8/1 Jenny´s Pride, 12/1 Bow To No One, 20/1 Madam´X, 50/1 Accumulation, Kneesy Earsy Nosey, Rose Avelina.
| DIOMED VERDICT: OFF CHANCE might just have the edge here now that her sights are lowered, though Diamond Daisy won't be easy to beat. |
4 over 25/1 reduce the competitive field (hopefully) 1.5 and 1.38 to place
320 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Darcey, 11/4 Richo, 4/1 Tina´s Best, 6/1 Another Decree, 12/1 Hettie Hubble, 20/1 Carnival Dream, 25/1 Hawkleaf Flier, Romantic Interlude, 33/1 Mujada, Nino Zachetti, 66/1 Home Before Dark, Recoil.
| DIOMED VERDICT: DARCEY comes here in better form than either Richo or Tina's Best and that gets her the vote. |
3rd and 5th betting forecast favourites are non runners which surely makes life easier for those that were 20/1 and under 1.3 and 1.24 to place in an illiquid market
405 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Rapid Water, 3/1 Getcarter, 6/1 Lucky Leigh, 7/1 George Thisby, Raimoardond Ridge, 8/1 Miss Chamanda, 10/1 My Best Bet, 16/1 Bold Ring, 20/1 Fiftyfourth Street.
| DIOMED VERDICT: There should be more to come from RAPID WATER (nap) who looked a sprinter on the upgrade at Ascot. |
Mentioned because he's "all red" at the betting site meaning all of the bookies are shortening him - Get Carter has Richard Hughes onboard but this is a competitive handicap 1.39 to place Get Carter
415 NOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Asateer, 5/2 Poyle Meg, 11/2 Mustakmil, 7/1 Gearbox, 11/1 Group Leader, 14/1 Duke Of Urbino, 25/1 Doctor Of Music, 40/1 Balzarine, 66/1 Hohrod, 100/1 High Tensile, Mythical Thrill.
| DIOMED VERDICT: ASATEER was very disappointing when last seen in May but sets a fairly useful standard on what he achieved at Newmarket on his reappearance. |
5 under 20/1 shoudl be the ones here but yet another maiden 1.29 and 1.34 the front 2 to place
615 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Gold Fix, 5/1 Drinking Buddy, 11/2 Raine Supreme, 13/2 Thaliwarru, 10/1 Musiara, 12/1 Steel My Heart, 20/1 London Girl, 33/1 Double Rollover.
| DIOMED VERDICT: GOLD FIX has leading claims on the pick of her form and can bounce back from a disappointment last time. |
Price gapper here in this seller is now odds on 1.22 to place - 2 year old seller and ran poorly last time out but clearly it is thougt that this drop in company will bring the win
650 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Ascendant, 11/10 Akbabend, 12/1 Elusive Muse, 20/1 Just Call Me Dave, 33/1 Informal Affair, 50/1 Minstalad, 100/1 Mistic Academy, Skybob.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Akabend sets the standard, but ASCENDANT could be a handful if primed after 328 days off. |
Is it maiden day today? Crazy amount of maidens with Criticise-like dilemma
Here we have 2 under 12/1 and one coming back from nearly a year off Akhaband is a Johnston horse versus one coming back from a long break 1.11 in an illiquid market
750 TRAMORE
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Paramount, 9/2 Marhaba Million, 6/1 Whats Up Bob, 8/1 The Grey Friend, 10/1 Miley Byrne, Pagan Magic, Square Ball, 12/1 Canitellyou, Clifton Debut, Come To The Party, 16/1 Genuine Easy, The Buck, 20/1 Hot Commodity, Wedontknow, 25/1 Take Your Mark,
Ruby rides for his Dad here and is default fav really by reputation 1.37 to place -illiquid market
755 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Tournedos, 7/2 Obe Gold, 15/2 Nomoreblondes, 9/1 Silvanus, 14/1 Red Cell, 20/1 Faraway Sound, 25/1 Strensall, 40/1 Coconut Moon.
| DIOMED VERDICT: TOURNEDOS should be hard to beat and can provide his trainer with a third win in this race in the last four years. |
If it's not a maiden it's a claimer. 8 down to 7 runners and " SHOULD BE HARD TO BEAT" declares Diomed. You saw Waasaat was " outstanding" yesterday and obliged. 1.12 to place
815 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Superduper, 9/4 Whiskey Junction, 15/2 Hatman Jack, 10/1 Freepressionist, 12/1 Ridgeway Silver, 25/1 Monte Mayor Eagle, Mr Forthright, 33/1 Umpa Loompa, 66/1 Cheetah Beetah,
| DIOMED VERDICT: SUPERDUPER has been struggling in handicaps since her reappearance but if she can run to anything like that, she will be hard to beat. |
Another fecking claimer and Hatman Jack is he non runner which actually distances the front 2 price wise from the rest f the horses. 1.12 and 1.08 the front 2 to place
845 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Musleh, 4/1 Grand Vizier, 6/1 Laudatory, 8/1 Soccerjackpot, 10/1 Bomber Command, 12/1 Tudor Key, 14/1 Easy Target, 16/1 Full Toss, Nightjar, Touching.
| DIOMED VERDICT: A cracking race in which LAUDATORY is taken to enhance an already creditable record at this venue. |
Frankie Dettori does not wait til 845 at Kempton to ride donkeys I'm sure and we could take the hint here for a fav with consistent form and a price gapper in the live market - Musleh is the horse (incase you were thinking it was Diomed's selection) 1.24 to place
With maidens . claimers and handicaps abounding, it's worth looking at other sports
FOOTBALL
| 16:00 | Lokomotiv Sofia vs Svoge | 1/7 |
| 18:00 | Debrecen vs Szombathelyi Haladas | 4/11 |
| 19:30 | Nantes vs Clermont | 1/2 | 5/2 | 5/1 |
| 19:45 | Bray Wanderers vs Tralee Dynamos | 1/6 |
| 19:45 | Crumlin Utd vs Waterford Utd | 7/1 | 11/4 | 4/11 |
Another Cup Game
TENNIS
Murray is 1.33 today v Davydenko after dispatching Ferrero with ease. The increase in odds relays the fact it's getting tougher
Federer is 1.18 ( Murray's price yesterday) against Tsonga
Only one head to head which was won by Fed 6- 4 6 -1
SHORTLIST
615 CATTERICK is the first real price gapper of the day and NOT in a top heavy market - but in a 2 year old seller (YUK!) - 1.22 to palce is reasonable enough
650 CATTERICK - Akhabend herre would be my perference - a Mark Johnston horse clearly fancied , albeit in a top heavy market but sharing favouratism with a horse coming abck from 324 days off -1.11 is perhaps not indicative of the true place price given the illiquid market at time of writing
755 CATTERICK - Tournedos is another price gapper well fancied here in another poor race type it must be said
845 KEMPTON - Musleh simply because Mr Dettori won't be waiting until quarter to 9 on a Friday night to ride a 3 legged donkey
LOKOMOTIV SOFIA at 1.17 simply because their opposition have been priced at 14/1 by Ladbrokes and that is a huge hint as to their chances
Laying Clermont at 8 v Nantes covers the draw - equivalent of a 1.13 bet
Bray Wanderers are playign Tralee Dynamos and 1.25 looks a great bet here. Yes I do go on about the poor quality geneally of the Irish League
Here's some news from their website "Head Coach Jason Fitzgerald has been pleased with the high turnout for trainings" lol! At least they're turning up for training which is a good sign I suppose!!
Federer today for me at 1.18 look the ebst of the tennis. Andy's price increases today against Davydenko but he was scintillating against Ferrero yesterday 4-4 between Andy and Davydenko means a toughy to call
ONE A DAY
Lokomotiv Sofia at 1.17 at 4pm look a great bet given their opponents are priced 14/1 by Ladbrokes, which, for me, is not usually the price when a fav is 1/7 -signifies that Laddies don't fancy them
In running at 4pm which is a good sign - warning though that this is an illiquid match .
All of the other shortlisters occur in the evening so there'd be no point picking one with some 6 +hours to go,
May update 6pm just to see if the markets are strong but chance taken on Sofia based solely on the odds because I know nothing about the leagues.
Instinctually this evening, Bray Wanderers Premiership side should beat Tralee Dynamos with ease, and 1.25 is a big price in an illiquid market which does not go in running
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