Monday 17 August 2009

17/8

United got the win which was all important. A few of the horses palced with ease, especially Goldikova at Deauville, superb performance

215WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Implication, 7/4 Nbhan, 3/1 Formula, 100/1 Smart Tazz.

DIOMED VERDICT: NBHAN has compiled a solid profile during a brief stint in handicaps and is marginally preferred to Implication.

Interesting start to the day - clear 3 horse race and 2 places - Nbhan clearly the fancy here
at evens 1.21 to place

315 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Prescription, 13/2 Something, 8/1 Jaconet, 9/1 Crystal Moments, 10/1 Mutamared, 12/1 Aroundthebay, Baunagain, Luscivious, 16/1 Princess Valerina, Xpres Maite, 20/1 Baby Strange, 25/1 Bond City, 33/1 Hurricane Spirit.

DIOMED VERDICT: PRESCRIPTION looked an interesting prospect last time and she may be able to follow up in what looks a much stronger race.

Price gapper in this class 3 handicap, was a good winner last time out, strong again at 4/6 - - - - 7/1
1.21 to place

400 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Brief Look, 11/4 Moonbeam Dancer, 11/2 Opera Wings, Sana Abel, 12/1 Beauchamp Xenia, 25/1 Ingenue, Katya Kabanova, 66/1 Princess Aliuska.

DIOMED VERDICT: BRIEF LOOK leaves the impression she'll be suited by this further increase in trip and essentially has the most potential in this field.

Now odds on, this maiden has had 2 2nd places in a race where only 2 are under 10/1
1.12 to place

415 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Timely Jazz, 3/1 Logos Astra, 10/1 James Barrymore, 12/1 Temple Fair, 16/1 Green Community, 33/1 Chandrayaan, 100/1 Blade Of Glory, Carlcol Girl, Kit Kat.

DIOMED VERDICT: TIMELY JAZZ has contested some hot maidens at Newmarket and should make no mistake this time.

3 runs under his belt including 2 2nd places, Timely jazz is the very warm fav here at 1.09 to place-NOT run on the all weather before - 3 of the 9 are 100/1 or bigger

605 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Foxhaven, 4/1 Phoenix Flight, 9/2 Malt Or Mash, 10/1 Urban Space, 12/1 Nawamees, 20/1 The Saucy Snipe, 50/1 Sew´N´So Character, 100/1 Still Dreaming.

DIOMED VERDICT: All hangs on FOXHAVEN, a Listed winner no less when last seen in September.

Not seen since Sept 2008 but 8 runenrs now down to 6 runners and ready winner Malt n Mash 9place back horse a few days ago was provisionally 9/2 which is indicative, perhaps, of how the bookies see Foxhaven

1.15 to place with 3 places

805 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Speed Dating, 4/1 Hawk´s Eye, 11/2 Caster Sugar, 9/1 Featherweight, 10/1 The Dial House, 14/1 King´s La Mont, Shared Moment, 33/1 Mellow Mixture.

DIOMED VERDICT: SPEED DATING (nap) has a fine chance to complete a double.

Price gapper here 1.23 to place

830 ROSCOMMON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Dare To Doubt, Evs Dumitas, 33/1 Doonaghroe, Iwillifican, 50/1 Kaiser So Say.

Carberry v Mullins - a 2 horse race? 1.08 and 1.09 to place

FOOTBALL
19:00 Besiktas vs Antalyaspor 1/4
One of the big Turkish teams at home

ONE A DAY
Well today's one a day was done last night on Usain Bolt
Athletics > 100m : Winner Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£)
Usain Bolt 1.19 118.00 Back 16-Aug-09 17:22 22.42
Usain Bolt * 1.10 127.65 Lay -12.77
*Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 22.42
Lay subtotal: -12.77
Market subtotal: 9.65
Commission @ 4.87%: 0.47
Net Market Total: 9.1

Backed at 1.19 before the semi finals.
When he won so impressively in the semis, his price plummetted to 1.10 and the final had NOT even been run
I got out for an equivalent 1.09 bet

So I can chill out today, but hypothetically, I am drawn by the 215 Wolves and Nbhan into 10/11 now , in a race where 3 at a stratch are vying for 2 places - 1.18 is reasonable here to beat one horse to place after some strong support in the live market.
830 ROSCOMMON is my other good probability bet in a tricky day of maidens and handicaps.







No comments: