26/8

Running a bit late as I'm trying to find a missing cat!!
Swedes did well yesterday for the one a day 3-0 and an early goal - trader's dream.
230 WaRWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Marine Spirit, 7/2 Take Ten, 6/1 White Daffodil, 7/1 Ginger Grey, 8/1 Gundaroo, 10/1 Ever So Bold, 16/1 King´s Approach, 25/1 Cane Cat, 33/1 Azif, Lofthouse.

DIOMED VERDICT: MARINE SPRIT (nap) is the likeliest winner and Ever So Bold makes some appeal as an each-way alternative.

Straight 8 now and MArine Spirit to continue Godolphin good streak? Place at least? 1.18 signifies a degree of confidence here but this being a 2 year old nursery ( scene of my last losing bet on Gunner Lindley) leaves me thinking the footy is the way to go - AGAIN during this spell of poor racing

320 CATTERICK
BETTIN FGORECAST: 5/1 Harcas, Spiders Star, 6/1 Abstract Folly, Casual Garcia, Promise Maker, 8/1 Sir Sandicliffe, 10/1 Bright Sparky, Fell Pack, 12/1 Fenners, Snowberry Hill, 66/1 Treetops Hotel.

DIOMED VERDICT: HARCAS looked to have a bit in reserve when scoring at Redcar last time and he can follow up here off a 4lb higher mark.

Fav out bit why is 2nd fav as low as 6/4 - the gamble did not come off yesterday in a handicap - will this one? 1.34 to place for the gamble Spiders Star

430 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Asateer, 5/1 Herecomethegirls, Layer Cake, 10/1 Step Into Sunshine, 14/1 Love Call, Silvester, 33/1 Balzarine, 50/1 Lady Meg.

DIOMED VERDICT: HERECOMETHEGIRLS was bogged down in testing ground on her debut but is worth another chance on this forecast much quicker ground.

Odds on in this maiden and has had experience ( exposed perhaps?) 7 runners and 3 places(?) - only 3 under 16/1

What a poor day - 7 runner races (2 places) or tricky handicaps or maidens -any hope football wise? 1.12 to place and ,yes, 3 places make life a little easier. Price gapper here and typical of today's racing, is not as rock solid as the 1.79 would have us believe
BUT will he get beaten by 3 others i a 7 runner race?One is 66/1 so should be 6 runners and 3 places and there are only 3 horses under 16/1 so the bookmakers are making this a 3 horse race
Scandinavian countries cups today at 5pm see a number of very short odds on shots away from home

17:00

Sollerod-Vedbaek vs AB Copenhagen

5/1

10/3

2/5

17:00

FC Vestsjaelland vs Esbjerg

19/4

7/2

2/5

17:00

Greve vs SonderjyskE

8/1

7/2

2/7

18:00

Frem vs Koge

8/1

4/1

1/4

18:00

FC Fyn vs AaB Aalborg

12/1

11/2

1/5

18:00

Hjorring vs Silkeborg

14/1

9/2

1/6

These latter 2 games interest me Look at the draw in the Fyn game - 11/2 - compare that with the 9/2 in theHjorring game. Can we assume Ladbrokes think Aalborg are more likely to win their game because the draw price is HIGHER than that of a team 1/6 to win?
14/1 and 12/1 tell you that Ladbrokes think Fyn and Hjorring are beaten already

18:00

Lolland FA vs Lyngby

10/1

22/5

1/5

19:00

KR Reykjavik vs IBV

4/11

17/5

6/1

19:45

Newcastle vs Huddersfield

4/7

11/4

5/1

An interesting price for Newcastle this as they have been solid at home and Ameobi has found his level scoring regularly- how seriously Newcastle take the CArling Cup is anyone's guess

19:45

West Brom vs Rotherham

2/5

7/2

7/1

19:45

Doncaster vs Tottenham

6/1

10/3

4/9

The Spuds are flying and have a superb attacking force and team news will determine the worth of the 4/9

19:45

Arsenal vs Celtic

1/3

No Cesc Fabregas tonight a blow for the Arse. Celtic did beat Dynamo Moscow by the required 2 goals to progress last round but there is a gulf in quality between Premiership and Scottish PRemier LEague

19:45

Olympiacos vs Sheriff Tiraspol

1/4

9/2

11/1

19:45

Stuttgart vs Timisoara

2/7

4/1

10/1

Bundesliga teams have a habit of scoring goals so this could be a good trading match here?

19:45

Hibernian vs Brechin City

2/9

9/2

7/1

All the scottish shorties obliged yesterday - more of the same tonight

SHORTLIST
430 WARWICK- Asateer - desparate attempt to justify this as a bet - 3 under 16/1, still odds on here - has run class 2 and class 4 with a 3rd in class 5 last time out - 1.12 - 3 places - 7 runners - 1 66/1 shot makes this a 50/50 race?
And that's it folks - a short short list for the horses
Football wise, well The Racing Post tells us NEwcastle have a few injuries so I'll leave them.
THe question is which team will easily justify their odds?
Silkeborg interest me away to Hjorring at 1/6 - the market really has no liquidity -Ladbrokes offer 1.16 and there's plenty of 1.16 available at Betfair - NOT IN RUNNING
Champions LEague odds have been spot on for the shorties and Olympiakos are 1/5 while Stuttgart are 1/4 - in running this game - both take 2-0 away results back home
TEam news required for West Brom and Spurs who both look great IF strong teams are played - the latter - we can lay DOncaster at 8.4 for a 1.12 bet
ONE A DAY
I am drawn to Silkeborg here (but know nothing about team news etc) at 1.16 as long as the 1/6 quoted by Ladbrokes for an away side is a good reflection
Elsewhere the horses do not appeal (again! - patience my Son)
Stuttgart look good and West Brom and Spuds I would wait for team news - strong Spuds side and it's a lay of Doncaster in an in running match