Sunday 16 August 2009

16/8

No problems with Chelsea who, erm, comfortably thrashed Hull, erm, 2-1 with a not-fluky-at-all-guvnor finish from didier " yes I did mean to do it" Drogba scoring in the 91st minute
So no trading opportunity there apart from the enhanced bet - 3.4 on Chelsea to win and it came off! An enhanced bet for those with GREAT FAITH I think!
Other enhanced bets? Galatasary went a goal down and then won 3-1.
210 PONTE
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Our Jonathan, 4/1 Licence To Till, 6/1 Newbury Street, 33/1 Sharp Shoes, 100/1 Psychopathicsandra.

DIOMED VERDICT: A good opportunity for OUR JONATHAN, whose Haydock form is working out really well.

Heavy odds on shot here after only one run, dropped now to 5 furlongs.Watch out for Sharp Shoes now 14/1 1.13 to place here.
2 places
230 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Bush Tucker, 7/2 Morgans Choice, 9/2 Devassa, Zelos Dream, 6/1 Art Summer, 11/1 Gooseberry Bush, 14/1 Pherousa, 100/1 Dolly Will Do.

DIOMED VERDICT: There isn't a great deal between the twice-raced pair Morgans Choice and BUSH TUCKER on the figures. Preference is for the latter.

8 down to 6 and 3 places still (?) Bush tucker has 2 2nds to his name but this is the 2nd 5 furlong maiden of the day - no room for error over the minimum trip for these youngsters 1.16 to place and 3 places -

245 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Casual Conquest, 7/2 Curtain Call, 5/1 Via Galilei, 8/1 Red Rock Canyon, 10/1 Deauville Vision,
Weld/Smullen on a short priced fav. Curtain call has shortened in price and Red Rock Canyon cannot be dismissed for Ballydoyle - 1.18 to place -

300 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Ramora, 5/2 Rougham, 4/1 Brilliana, 9/1 Westlin´ Winds, 20/1 Cecily Parsley, 33/1 Tubby Littlejohns, 50/1 Lady Of Ashcott, Star Of Memory, 66/1 Miss Totnes, 100/1 Barnes Bidge, Bute Street,

DIOMED VERDICT: Ramora sets the standard but ROUGHAM, on his second start, might just improve past her.

Only 4 under 20/1 and an experienced fav in Ramora for yet another maiden - 1.25 to place

325 DEAUVILLE
Goldikova is a price gapper in this race 1.15 to place

350 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Vacario, 11/4 Penyfan Dawn, 3/1 Pelennor, 16/1 Attrapeur, Madman, 25/1 Aconitum, Douglas Julian, Hi Tide, 40/1 Global Flyer, Lunan Bay, 50/1 Miss Zigzag, 66/1 Jonnos Dream.

DIOMED VERDICT: PENYFAN DAWN might prove good enough in a modest race.

Penfyn Dawn the slight mover into 7/4 joint favouratism for the excellent Richard Johnson/Tim Vaughan combo 1.29 to place

440 PONTEFRCT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 El Ameen, 5/2 Great Art, 5/1 Landofthefourones, 6/1 Life´s Challenge, 14/1 Mr Rainbow, 25/1 Towthorpe, 66/1 Convitezza, Fabled Dancer, Needy McCredie, 100/1 Foxholes Lodge.

DIOMED VERDICT: The step up to 1m will suit EL AMEEN, who can confirm Newmarket superiority over Great Art.

With GReat Art a non runner here surely this opens things up for El Ameen, for Johnston and Fanning, but only the one rrun and another fecking maiden 1.1 to place

445 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Famous Name, 3/1 Three Rocks, 5/1 Poet, 10/1 Quinmaster, 12/1 Man Of Iron.
4/11 the fav now, but O'Brien has Poet and Man of Iron. 1.11 to place

510 PONTEFRACT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Park Lane, 11/4 Dalesway, 4/1 Tripbiyah, 7/1 Mydy Easy, 10/1 Kessraa, 12/1 Tobrata, 16/1 Step Into Sunshine, 50/1 Yes Please, 100/1 Freda´s Rose, Sleepy Dove.

DIOMED VERDICT: Park Lane sets the standard but may find DALESWAY improving past him.

Consistent form and looks a 6 horse race with 3 clear outsiders - 1.19 to place

535 TRAMORE
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Hayabusa, 9/2 Ballinvassa, 5/1 Cailin Oran, 6/1 Broadway Allstar, 8/1 Back Nd Bleu, Noradoran, 10/1 Golden Miss, Salleva, 12/1 Brownstown Girl, Crevelea Lass, Garden Valley, 14/1 Khayber One, 16/1 Conrich, Flamon Brilliant, 20/1 Suil Brook,

Fav is now a price gapper for Mullins in a bumper - illiquid market

FOOTBALL
With Chelski and Arse winning yesterday, Man Utd must win and 1.22 is a nice enough price for their home game against Brum
Looks the default one a day really in a tricky day

SHORTLIST
Man Utd head of the list at the price of 1.22 which exceeds pretty much all of the place only prices today
210 PONTE - Our Jonathan in a potential 4 horse race is 1.13 ( 2 clear outsiders at least)
NEgative - only one run and 5 furlongs
300 BATH - Ramora at 1.25 to place is enticing if those at 20/1 or bigger can be ignored
325 DEAuville - Goldikova is a very big price gapper here and is 1.15 to place
440 Ponte - El Aleem is missing nearest market rival and surely chould take advantage and place at least

ONE A DAY
Easiest opportunity is Man Utd at home at 1.22 to react to Arse and Chelsea wins yesterday in a game against newly promoted Brum who could keep things tight but Man Utd should make the breakthrough and hopefully score first. The acid test for the new team this season - will they gel - will sick note Owen stay fit for more than 10 minutes?
Horses? Well the shortlisters all look good for placing

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