SATURDAY1245pm - Newcastle v Everton - 2.34 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 05.03.2011 | |||||
| 18.09.2010 | |||||
| 22.02.2009 |
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 16th - 10 matches for Newcastle and 9 for Everton. Everton shoot up a tight table to as high as 8th with 3 points.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDW - draws against current 5th and 7th and wins against 15th, 18th and 20th. Fulham, Blackburn and Wigan are hardly an impressive list of teams to beat.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWDDWWDWW -obviously highly impressive but if we scratch the surface we may uncover what we saw with home form. Teams beaten were hardly red hot teams. 5 wins have come against the current bottom 7. Newcastle have not yet played the established top 5 either home or away and are still not meeting them this week. THis suggests perhaps they can hold that unbeaten run for another week? Demba Ba really looks like the key to this unbeaten run. The sheep is on fire scoring 8 goals, 4 at home and 4 away. Scorelines of 2-1, 2-1, 3-1 against teams around Everton's position in the league but remember only 10 matches played.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. 4 of the last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. The exception was a 1-0 home win over Wigan. Have only failed to score in 2 against Arse and QPR.
STREAKS - 10 overall without defeat.Have scored in last 4 at home and last 6 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - EVERTON
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLW - win against Blackburn 0-1 pen in 90th minute and 1-3 win over Fulham quite impressive given Fulham's home rep.Losses against Man City and Chelsea and despite geordie's lofty position, they are not in that company just yet.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDWLLLWL - unlike Newcastle, Everton have been playing the top 5, losing to Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Man Utd. Only 1 draw this season and losses against current 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th. Wins have come against current bottom 6 sides.
GOAL TRENDS - have failed to score against 3 of current top 6. Have kept a clean sheet in only 1 match this season. 50/50 overs away from home.
STREAKS - 4 away without a draw, 6 overall without a draw. Have conceded in all of last 7 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - shortest odds of 2.34 recount a lot. The bookies think these 2 are well matched. They also hint that maybe Newcastle's unbeaten run will be at risk.This is a difficult game to get an angle in but let's look at the standout points for each side.Newcastle - playing at home so obvious advantage in current form. Demba Ba quite simply the difference for Newcastle at present. He must play to entertain any interest in Newcastle and goals.Wins at home against current 15th, 18th and 20th suggests Newc not been stretched yet.5 wins for Newcastle were against current bottom 7 so unbeaten run "lucky" based on avoiding strong recent form sides ? Not played top 5 home or away.4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.Have scored in last 4 at home and last 6 overall.Everton - recent 1-3 win away v Fulham is solid form in my book. Recent losses were against United, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City.Have conceded in all bar 1 this season.GOAL TRENDS - only 10 matches - 60% overs for Newc at home and 50% away for Everton.2-1, 3-1, 2-1 for Newcastle winning scorelines v teams currently around Everton's.CONCLUSION - this looks the kind of match where Newcastle's unbeaten run could come under jeopardy. The odds suggest the bookies find this as difficult as I do. Demba Ba an obvious threat. Both sides like conceding. Everton will see this as an easier assignment than against the top 5 teams they have played. Remember Newcastle have had an easier run in than Everton.
230pm - Dortmund v Wolfsburg - 1.36 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 29.01.2011 | |||||
| 11.09.2010 | |||||
| 01.05.2010 | |||||
| 13.12.2009 | |||||
| 12.05.2009 |
2 clean sheets in last 2 most recent matches.
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 12th after 11 matches
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Dortmund
RECENT HOME FORM - WWLWW - loss against 10th placed Hertha Berlin. Wins against 11th, 14th, 16th ,17th in a league of 18. Again, like Newcastle, may have not played the best current teams at home. 3 of wins were without conceding.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWDLLWWWWD - losses away v 7th and 9th. 5 of 6 wins against bottom 8.
GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. The other 2 could have been successful over 2.5 goal trades given the time of the 2nd goal.Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches against 4th, 11th and 17th .
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak. No draw in 5 at home.Have scored in last 5 and last 7 overall.2 clean sheets at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wolfsburg
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLLLD - defeats away to 5th, 8th and 9th, scoring and conceding in each. Vulnerable to 3rd?
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLWLWLWDL - a single draw only this season. Lost to 1st, drew with 2nd at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home and 8/11 this season over 2.5 goals.Have only failed to score in 2 and kept clean sheet in 2 matches.
STREAKS - 5 without a win away. Have conceded in 5 away,Have scored in last 7 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - strong goal trends for both home at home and away away is the first thing that stands out.Dortmund - solid home form, without a draw, wins against 11th-18th in the league. Playing 12th today so should be comfortable right? Last 2 head to heads wins to nil.Clean sheets in last 2 at home. Clean sheets in 3 of last 4 ties in with head to heads.Wolfsburg - defeats away to 5th, 8th and 9th make them vulnerable to current 3rd away?Overs in 8/11 matches this season .5 without a win away and have conceded in 5 away.CONCLUSION - solid home form against teams around Wolfsburgs v poor away form losing against top 10 sides away.Home win to nil a possible for the speculator?
230pm - W Bremen v FC Koln - 1.54 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 22.01.2011 | |||||
| 28.08.2010 | |||||
| 24.04.2010 | |||||
| 06.12.2009 | |||||
| 03.05.2009 |
Overs kings always worth researching. Overs in last 2 head to heads. How about this season.
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 11th after 11 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -W Bremen
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWL - no draw at home.Loss v 3rd Dortmund, and wins against 10th, 13th, 16th, 18th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWWWDWLLDW - only 1 win in last 4.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home not quite up to Werder norms. 3 2-0 scorelines don't help matters. 4 unders in 7 matches. Have scored 8 goals, an overwhelming majority, in the last 15 minutes of matches.
STREAKS - Have only kept a clean sheet in 2 matches. Have failed to score in only 2 matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Koln
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWWLL - no draw away.Have failed to score in last 2 losses against 3rd and 10th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDWLWWLWLW - no draw overall in 8 matches and entertaining certainly away from home.The last 5 matches have been interesting. Koln winning at home to nil, ans losing away to nil. Last 5 matches were to nil scorelines. Now the sequenced based punter would see this and say the likelihood of another win to nil will get even slimmer.
GOAL TRENDS - 8 overs in 11 this season and the other matches had 2 goals in them, 2 of those matches were profitable over 2.5 goals trades as well. 6-7-5-3-5 total goals away from home. Highly Keeganesque. have kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 and have failed to score in last 2 aways. 100% overs away from home, with 4 of 5 matches over 4.5 goals.
STREAKS - 5 without a draw,8 overall. Have conceded in last 5 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
the reason I mainly look at Werder Bremen is for goals. And with only goals in mind, Koln seem welcome bedfellows for Werder and overs. Look at their total goals away from home. Always a danger of a 2-0 and in that case, it is the time of the 2nd goal that will be all crucial.
3pm - Arsenal v West Brom - 1.44 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 19.03.2011 | |||||
| 25.09.2010 | |||||
| 22.09.2009 | |||||
| 03.03.2009 |
Over 2.5 goals a general trend when these 2 meet.
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 13th after 10 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Arsenal
RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWW - back in the groove at home and the recent win over Chelsea away really will boost the Arse considerably. The loss was an unlucky one, it must be said, against Liverpool. Other wins v Swansea, Stoke, Sunderland and Bolton. West Brom surely sit well with this group? West Brom are currently 13th and Arse have beaten current 10th, 11th and 14th .
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLLWLWLWWW - no draw now in 9 retells perhaps a new tactic from Arsenal. A need to go with the win. 3-3-1-2-2-5 scored in last 6 matches. Losses , both away, v Blackburn and Spurs. Blackburn win care of 2 Arsenal own goals.
GOAL TRENDS - Last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. 7 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored and conceded in last 4 matches. Have only failed to score in first 2 matches of the season.
STREAKS - 4 match home winning streak. 5 at home without a draw.9 overall without a draw.Have scored in last 8 matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - WBA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLDW - losses v Chelsea and Swansea. Wins against Norwich and Villa.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLWLDDWWL - nice recent run of unbeaten form ended with loss to Liverpool. Have lost against 2nd, 4th and 6th
GOAL TRENDS -80% overs away from home. 2 2-1 scorelines against the estblished top 5 may be replicated again ( both losses)
STREAKS - no draw in 3 overall. No strong trends.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
Arsenal are in the winning groove and their win against Chelsea really will boost confidence which may spell danger for WBA. WBA did score against established top 5 sides , losing 2-1 and this could be a starting point. They could score again and this could be an other WBA heartbreaker, and possible late show a la recent top 5 defeats? 2-1, 3-1, 4-1 for the speculator? Arsenal have scored and conceded in last 5 matches.
3pm - Aston Villa v Norwich - 1.9 home
HEAD TO HEADSno head to heads since 2005 - beware no recent head to heads -it can always lead to a degree of complacency and a shock result.
LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 8th after 10 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Aston Villa.
RECENT HOME FORM - WDDWL - loss v Man City not unexpected.WIns have come against bottom 3 sides .
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDDDDWLLD - losses against Man City and West Brom ( derby) and recent 2-2 draw with Sunderland returns us to the drawitis of earlier. the WLL can be foreseen ( Wigan - rubbish at the moment , loss v City, and loss in a derby). More draws than tom Jones gets thrown at home.
GOAL TRENDS -40% overs at home. 1-1 and 2-0 scorelines help. last 3 matches overs. Have scored and conceded in last 3 matches. Have only failed to score in 2 matches this season. 1-1 draw v promoted QPR perhaps something Norwich can replicate.
STREAKS - have scored in last 7 overall,
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Norwich
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWLD - win v a poor Bolton and losses v Man Utd and Chelsea requiring late late goals from the big boys. Against lesser lights such as Villa, this augurs well.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDLLWWLWDD - great form all things considered. One loss only in last 6 matches. Draws against Liverpool and Blackburn latest. WIns against Bolton, Sunderland and Swansea should instill Norwich with some confidence against today's opposition.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs away. Have conceded in all matches this season. ( have shown a propensity to score so 1-1 a starting scoreline today? - fits in with Villa drawitis) Have failed to score in only 2 matches this season.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 10 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS –
VILLA – wins at home against bottom 3 sides may flatter home form – the WLL was foreseen really leaving 6 draws in its wake. Have scored and conceded in last 3 matches. Overs at home scuppered largely by draws.. Villa have scored in last 7 overall.
Losses v Man Utd and Chelsea away for Norwich required late late goals and this can only encourage a team who have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of last 6. Norwich have conceded in all matches this season so to win, perhaps Villa need a clean sheet. What chance 1-1 at some stage in this match? If Villa score first, throwaway lay at short odds?
At some stage, you feel, Norwich might slip , and away against a forward as devastating as Bent, this might be the match
3pm - Blackburn v Chelsea - 1.5 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 15.01.2011 | |||||
| 30.10.2010 | |||||
| 21.03.2010 | |||||
| 02.12.2009 | |||||
| 24.10.2009 | |||||
| 17.05.2009 |
Chelsea scored 2 in last 2 but something of a sticky patch at present.
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 4th after 10 matches
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Blackburn
RECENT HOME FORM - LLWLL - wholly undeserved win over Arsenal. Losses v City, Spurs, Everton and Wolves.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLDWLLDLD - sole win that lucky win. Draws, all score draws, against Norwich, QPR and Fulham. Have lost to Man Utd, Newcastle and Tottenham of the top sides.
GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs at home. Have conceded in all matches this season.Have failed to score in only 2 matches this season. 5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. The exception saw 2nd goal after 24 minutes.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 10 matches.No draw in 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - CHELSEA
RECENT AWAY FORM - DWLWL - draw v Stoke, wins against Sunderland and Bolton were generally straightforward. 1-0 loss to QPR very suprising. Were down to 9 men apparently ( I missed the match) Wins away have come against current 14th and 19th in the league.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWWLWWWLL - surely we cannot envision a 3rd loss on the trot, compounded by a 1-1 draw v Genk mid week!
GOAL TRENDS - 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. 60% overs away from home. 80% overs overall.
STREAKS - 9 overall without a draw, have conceded in their last 9
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - hard fought draw and 1-2 win in head to heads. Bear in mind the following - Chelsea lose to QPR. chelsea lose to Arsenal conceding 5. Chelsea draw 1-1 against Belgian sunday leaguers. A loss today will not be tolerated. A draw at the very least and a win assumed. Blackburn are poor, their win v Arsenal down to lady luck, nothing else, 80% over 2.5 goals at home.
3pm - Hull v West Ham - 2.72 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 20.02.2010 | |||||
| 21.11.2009 | |||||
| 28.01.2009 |
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 2nd. Hull have played 14 matches and West Ham 15 matches. Win for Hull could take them as high as 3rd with that game in hand.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Hull
RECENT HOME FORM -
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm - Liverpool v Swansea - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADSno head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 10th after 10 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDD - last 3 1-1 draws saw Liverpool take the lead -have played Norwich of the promoted sides this season , drawing 1-1.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWLLWWDDW - losses away to Stoke and Spurs. All draws occured at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 30% overall this season. 3 2-0's and 3 1-1's the cuplrits. Have conceded and scored in all home matches this season.
STREAKS - 5 without defeat at home. Have conceded and scored in last 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Swansea
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLD - finding it hard on the road. 2-2 draw v Sunderland.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDLWLWLDW - wins against Bolton, Stoke and West Brom all at home. All wins and draws against bottom 10. Have lost all 4 away against top 8.
GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs away from home because average concession rate of 2.8 away. Have scored and conceded in last 3. Have scored in last 6 after famous first 4 without scoring. 5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - 5 away without a win. Have scored in the last 6 and conceded in the last 5 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
Home draws suggest Liverpool are more likely to score first today, but then can they keep a Swansea side who have found the net consistently now out? This beckons 2-1, 3-1 home win then ( which ties in with Swansea's poor away form and goal concessions.) HAve conceded and scored in last 5 at home too, have Liverpool. If they are on form, then, add a 4-1 to our speculative home scoreline?
2-0's and 1-1's have scuppered overs at home. But Swansea's away 80% overs is down largely to conceding 2 or more ( another tie in to a potential win for Liverpool conceding a solitary goal?) I would maybe put a line through the poor overs trend for the home team and take my cues from Swansea.
Swansea have lost all 4 away to current top 8 sides.They could conceivably score first for any reactive traders.
3pm - Man Utd v Sunderland - 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 26.12.2010 | |||||
| 02.10.2010 | |||||
| 02.05.2010 | |||||
| 03.10.2009 | |||||
| 11.04.2009 |
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 14th after 10 matches
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man Utd
RECENT HOME FORM - -WWWWL - loss v Man City. Have beaten current 3rd, 5th, 7th and 8th so 14th should hold no fears. At home, United have scored 2 against Sunderland in last 2.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWDWDLW - sole loss v Man City.Draws away to Stoke and Liverpool not wholly unexpected.
GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs at home. Have scored in all matches this season.
STREAKS - 5 at home without a draw. Have scored in last 10 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sunderland - beware Fergie's old pupils!
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLLW - win against Bolton. Losses against 7th and 8th, draws against 6th and 10th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLDLWLDLWD - totally inconsistent.Last 3 losses have all been 2-1, but in 2 of the matches, Sunderland's goals were in 86th and 90th minute and meaningless to the result. They did make it 1-1 against Arsenal until capitulating late on. 4 losses and a draw against the top 8 home and away.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs away from home. 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. The exception was a 2-0 win v Bolton.Have not conceded more than 2 goals away so far this season or scored more than 1 away this season.
STREAKS - have scored in the last 7 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - all wins at home for United against current top 8. Loss v City was not unexpected. United draws away to Stoke and Liverpool again not really a shock. So the consensus seems to be that they win when expected. The only thing about Sunderland is that Bruce is the "apprentice" to Old Red Nose . United have scored 2 in last 2 home head to heads.
Sunderland - against top 10 away this season, have lost to 7th and 8th and drawn against 6th and 10th -
Goals - United have scored in all matches this season. 80% overs at home - 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals for Sunderland, the exception was a successful over 2.5 goals trade. Sunderland have not conceded more than 2 goals away this season. Is this likely to be the cap on United's goal scoring this afternoon?
3pm - Rangers v Dundee Utd - 1.31 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 10.09.2011 | |||||
| 10.05.2011 | |||||
| 19.04.2011 | |||||
| 02.04.2011 | |||||
| 18.09.2010 | |||||
| 01.05.2010 |
LEAGUE POSITION -1st v 8th after 13 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM - Rangers
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWWD - 2nd draw a little unexpected. 1-1 v St Mirren. Rather unlucky though -90th minute equaliser by St Mirren. Have beaten 7th, 9th and 10th without conceding.
GOAL TRENDS - 17% overs at home not down to a lack of Rangers scoring, rather a number of 2-0's and 1-1's. 1-2-4-2-1-1 scored at home recently. Only 1 overs match in last 5. 9 clean sheets in 13 this season.
STREAKS - have scored in all matches this season. Unbeaten this season.No defeat in 6 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Dundee United
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLDDLW - symmetry about form.Have lost to 1st and 2nd at home. And lost away to Celtic 5-1.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDLWDLLDW - inconsistent form -have lost against current top 3 home and away.
GOAL TRENDS - 83% overs away from home. Have conceded 5-3-3-3-1-1 away from home. Rangers can certainly score 3. Have kept a clean sheet in only 2 matches this season.
STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 5 away from home.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
Rangers - have kept a clean sheet in last 3 head to head wins, and with a current clean sheet record this season of 9 in 13, a win to nil ( worse case 0-0) is an obvious starting point. Playing 8th today and have beaten 7th, 9th and 10th already without conceding.
Dundee United - always look at Old Firm -and Celtic smashed them 5-1 this season.Have conceded 5-3-3-3-1-1 away from home , certainly an ominous sign if Rangers click.
Goals - only 1 of Rangers last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Poor trend at home for overs for Rangers is down to 1-1's and 2-0 scorelines. They have scored only 1 goal on 3 occasions at home. So 1-1 might be the logical trading point for correct score? Rangers have scored in all matches this season.
83% overs for Dundee United away from home down largely to their concession rate.
5pm - Galatasaray v Mersin Idman Yurdu - 1.46 home
HEAD TO HEADS2005 cup head to head suggests Mersin newcomers.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 9th after 9 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Galatasary
RECENT HOME FORM -- WWWL - loss was 2-4 v current 15th. Wins have come against current 10th,11th and 17th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDWWWDLW - have only played one of the current top 9 home and away, losing 2-0 to 3rd.
GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 home matches over 2.5 goals. The exception a 2-0. Have kept a clean sheet in 4 of last 6. Only failed to score in 2 away matches.
STREAKS - no draw in 4 at home. HAve scored in last 4. Have conceded in last 2 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mersin
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDL - positive results against bottom 6 sides. Loss was away to 8th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWWDLLLW - have lost all matches against top 10 sides, 3 at home and 1 away.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs away from home. Have conceded in all matches away. Have kept a clean sheet in only 1 match this season. Have failed to score in 2 of last 3.
STREAKS - no win in 2 away. Have conceded in last 4 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - no recent meetings between these 2 could we smell a shock result?
Galatasary - playing 9th today and have not played any of top 10 at home. Lost 2-4 to 14th recently.
Mersin - have lost all 4 matches played home and away against current top 10 sides.
Goals - Gala have kept a clean sheet in 4 of last 6 matches. But remember they have only played one match home and away against current top 10 teams ( and playing 9th today).Away side have conceded in all matches this season. Both sides 75% overs ( but remember only 4 matches each played home and away)
HEAD TO HEADSno head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 1st after 10 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - QPR
RECENT HOME FORM - LDDDW - beat Chelsea with lady luck playing a key role. Draws against Newcastle, Villa and Blackburn really have City, erm, running scared.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLDWDLDWL - 2 of 3 wins have come away from home. HAve only played one of the big 5 so far, and yes that 1-0 v Chelsea.
GOAL TRENDS - 20% overs at home but remember only 5 matches. Last 4 unders at home may signal deliberate defensive focus for the QPR fairies. Last 3 overs came away from home.
STREAKS - 4 without defeat at home. Have scored in last 3.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Chelsea
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDWW - dropped points in London 2-0 up v Fulham ended up drawing. Wins against Bolton, Spurs, Blackburn and Man Utd scoring 3-5-4-6.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWDWWWWW - superb goalscoring form - 4-3-5-3-2-2-4-4-6-3
GOAL TRENDS - 100% overs away from home. 90% overs overall. Have conceded in 4 of 5 away matches.
STREAKS - 10 without defeat, have scored in last 10, 5 match winning streak.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - knee jerk - this looks a HUGE price for a tean with City's goalscoring record. I was expecting much shorter.
QPR - draws against Newcastle, Villa and Blackburn and a luckladen 1-0 v Chelsea. That is not reflective at all re QPR and top sides. 2 of 3 wins have come away from home so draw is the best case scenario. The probability of QPR taking consecutive top 3 scalps is low.Man City tend to be bankers ( that’s with a B ) and overs can be speculated above and beyond the usual 2.5 goals . Look for the devastating duo of Aguero and Dzeko who would increase confidence in goals.
745pm - Feyenoord v NEC Nijmegen - 1.45 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 15.05.2011 | |||||
| 26.09.2010 | |||||
| 28.03.2010 | |||||
| 02.08.2009 | |||||
| 01.02.2009 |
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v15th after 11 matches
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Feyenoord
RECENT HOME FORM - -WDWLW - wins have come against bottom 5 without conceding and NEC are currently in that bracket.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDWWLLWDL - a bit ropey last 5.Lost to 1st, 8th and 11th and drew with 5th away.
GOAL TRENDS - 3-2-4-0-4 sc0red at home to help 100% overs at home. 6 of last 7 matches are over 2.5 goals. Average 2.6 scored at home per match
STREAKS - 3 at home without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - NEC
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLLL - no win away. Have failed to score in last 4 away losses.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWLWLLLLLLW - 3 wins at home against 9th, 13th and bottom. Away draw v Heerenveen at start of season saw Heer 2-0 up.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs away from home largely down to NEC unable to score away. 4 of the last 5 matches under 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in 5 of last 7 matches.
STREAKS - no draw in 10. 4 match away losing streak - have conceded in all of last 9 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – what to make of the recent 1-1 head to heads?
Feyenoord – wins against the bottom 5 without conceding and NEC are firmly in that bracket.loss of form last 5 overall include losses to 1st, 8th and 11th.
Goals - 100% overs at home for Feyenoord scoring 3-2-4-0-4. 6 of their last 7 matche sover 2.5 goals.
NEC’s failure to score in last 4 away losses might signal a Feyenoord win to nil, or is this scoreless sequence going to end?NEC have failed to score in 5 of last 7 matches. No draw in 10 for NEC a possible angle in and with only 1 draw for Feyenoord in last 7, this might work.
8pm - Lille v Evian TG - 1.36 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 14th after 12 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - LILLE
RECENT HOME FORM - LWDDWW - sole loss 0-1 against current 2nd in the league.HAve played current top 11 only at home and done well so logic dictates 14th in league should be within their compass.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLWWWDDDWWWD - don't like losing . Solid unbeaten run so far. 3 draws have come against the bottom 6 away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs overall so based on opponents.2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet and failed to score in only 2 matches each this season.
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak. 5 at home without defeat. No defeat in 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - evian
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDLDD - best case a draw? The last 3 1-1 draws all saw Evian concede first and equalise in the 62nd, 75th and 90th minutes.
RECENT OVERALL FORM -DWDLDDLLDLDW - only 2 wins this season against current 13th and 16th and both at home. All draws have come agains the bottom 10 away from home. Have not played top 8 away from home yet.
GOAL TRENDS - 17% overs away from home down largely to the large number of draws. 3 1-1 draws and a 2-0 don't help overs.
STREAKS - have scored in the last 5 and conceded in last 7. 6 away without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – no head to heads doesn’t need repeating – ask the QPR fairies in their win against Chelsea. Sole loss was against current 2nd, and 2nd match of the season 0-1 for Lille. Their sole loss of the season. 3 draws have come against the bootm 6 away from home for Lille.Lille have done well at home, playing and not losing to top 11, so 14th should be in their comfort zone.
Best Evian can hope for is a draw. 5 in 6 away - last 3 1-1 draws all saw Evian conceded first and score 62nd, 75th, 90th minute goals. So Lille perhaps the first goalscorers. Overs not a strong trend given so many draws for the WaterMen. Evian have scored in last 5 and conceded in last 7. 1-1 therefore could be the insurance bet?
830pm - Olhanense v Porto - 1.31 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 26.02.2011 | |||||
| 25.09.2010 | |||||
| 06.03.2010 | |||||
| 04.10.2009 |
Unbeaten sequences will end but Porto have it ingrained in them. Worse case could suggest a neutral goals bet?
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 1st after 9 matches.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Olhanense
RECENT HOME FORM - DLWW - Have not played any of the top 6. Wins against 8th and 12th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL -DDWLDWLWL - inconsistent form winning and losing in turn. Have played 2nd and 3rd, losing and 1-1 draw but away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs at home, but only 4 matches. General trend towards unders overall.Have scored in all home matches . Only failed to score in 1 match.
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak.No draw in 4 overall. Have scored in 4 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Porto
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDW - the draw - was against 0-0 home specialists Feirense and I actually mentioned this scoreline when analysising that match so not unexpected.Have scored 1-5-3 in the wins. 3 clean sheets in 4.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDDWWW - again the draws were foreseen - Feirense away and against rivals Benfica .
GOAL TRENDS - 7 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals .Have kept 5 clean sheets in the last 6 matches. Have only failed to score against Feirense.
STREAKS - no defeat in 4 away and 9 overall.Clean sheet kept in last 3 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Porto have kept 3 clean sheets in 4 head to heads.Olhanense’s wins against 8th and 12th at home. Not played any of top 6.Have scored in all home matches and only failed to score in 1 match this season.Sole away match for Porto without a win was a 0-0 v Feirense which was no surprise to me as that is one of 3 0-0’s at home for feirense. 3 out of 4 clean sheets away for Porto and have scored 1-5-3 in the wins.Clean sheet in last 3.
Nothing about Olhenanse’s form leads me to expect a shock. Potential away win to nil. Niggle though that this season Olhenanse have not played the top 6 yet so we have no yardstick.
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