Sunday 20 November 2011

20/11

1230pm - Brondby v FC Copenhagen - 2 away - knee jerk - nice odds for dependable Copenhagen - does the form back this up?
HEAD TO HEADS
27.10.2011CupBrøndby IF0-3FC København
24.09.2011D1Brøndby IF1-2FC København
08.05.2011D1Brøndby IF1-1FC København
20.03.2011D1FC København3-1Brøndby IF
19.09.2010D1FC København2-0Brøndby IF
02.05.2010D1Brøndby IF0-2FC København
Nice recent head to heads where Copenhagen do not lose.
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 1st, so why the tempting price for Copenhagen?

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Brondby

RECENT HOME FORM - DLDWLWD - not enough wins yet for Brondby at home.Losses against 5th and Copenhagen ( 1-2 in Sept) at home. Wins at home against 11th and 12th ( 12th is bottom)

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLLWLLDD - recent wins, as mentioned above do not impress. Consecutive draws came against 6th and 7th.

GOAL TRENDS - 71% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. 5 under 2.5 goals in last 7 - sporadic over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 4 without a win overall. Scored in 7 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Copenhagen

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWWWLW - and explain to me why they are evens again? It is like the St Pauli odds yesterday and St Pauli won.
Loss came against 5th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWWWDLLWW - losses against 2nd and 5th soon put to bed with 2 wins on the trot against 7th and 11th, scoring 3 goals.

GOAL TRENDS - 43% overs away from home. Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have only failed to score in one match this season.

STREAKS - 7 away without a draw - have conceded in their last 3 matches away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - like St Pauli yesterday, I am surprised that Copenhagen are available at the odds they are. Does it hide some negative team news? Unbeaten in head to heads, and against a Brondby team who have only beaten bottom 2 at home, worse case for Copenhagen today a draw surely. 71% overs for Brondby at home played 43% overs for Copenhagen away and Brondby's 5 of last 7 matches unders. They may put up some resistance. Perhaps 0-2, 1-1 scoreline or another 1-2 eventually?
1230pm - Eintracht Frankfurt v Aachen - 1.34 home
HEAD TO HEADS
22.12.2010CupAlemannia Aachen1-1/p.5-3Eintracht Frankfurt
23.09.2009CupEintracht Frankfurt6-4Alemannia Aachen
05.05.2007D1Eintracht Frankfurt4-0Alemannia Aachen
Not the strongest head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 17th so 2nd from top v 2nd from bottom. On soccerstats so worth investigating. A win takes Frank top on goal difference.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Frankfurt

RECENT HOME FORM - DDDWWW - draws against 1st, 3rd and 4th, wins by 3-4-3 goals signal intent against other than the top sides at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWDDWWWWWDW - solid and unbeaten this season. Against bottom 6 have scored 3-4-3 and had an anomolous 1-1 draw away to bottom side - that was only 2 matches ago.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home. Average 2 scored at home. 6 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals and 7 matches successful trades. Have only failed to score in one match. Against bottom 11 home and away, have scored 3-3-4-2-2-3-4-4-1 - general trend towards 2+ goals here. Have scored 9 goals just before the end of 1st half and 12 just before end of 2nd half.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home. 6 without defeat at home, 14 overall without defeat at home. Have scored in the last 8 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - aachen

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDDLDL - no win away - lost 3-1 to 3rd placed. 2 0-0,s 2 1-0 losses and a 1-0 may hint at a defensive set up

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLLDDDDLLDWLD - only 1 win all season at home to bottom side - signals best chance a draw today. 3 0-0's and a 3-1 loss in home and away matches against top 5. Interesting.

GOAL TRENDS - 14% overs because of solid away defence.3 of last 5 over 2.5 goals but those 3 part of only 4 overs matches this season

STREAKS - 7 away without a win, have conceded in last 6 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - draws against top 5 at home signals that Frankfurt should find all others easier. Indeed they score 2+ goals regularly against others and 3-4-3 at home against those outside the top spots. Unbeaten this season.
Against bottom 11 home and away, have scored 3-3-4-2-2-3-4-4-1 .
Aachen have not won away from home. but note this - 3 0-0's and a 3-1 loss against top 5 home and away this season. 0-0 insurance bet perhaps ?
Aachen relatively solid away defensively and likely not to get spanked 2-0, 3-0 highest goals I would suggest with a 0-0 cover?
1230pm - G Furth v FSV Frankfurt - 1.4 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Fri04/02/112.BFSV Frankfurt0 - 0Greuther Fürth
More info
Fri17/09/102.BGreuther Fürth1 - 0FSV FrankfurtView eventsMore info
Fri22/01/102.BFSV Frankfurt0 - 5Greuther FürthView eventsMore info
Fri14/08/092.BGreuther Fürth4 - 0FSV Frankfurt
CLEAN sheet from Furth in last 4 head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION- 4th v 14th, dependent on other results, Furth will go 2nd.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Furth

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWWL - losses against 2nd and 7th saw Furth concede 3. 4 of the 5 wins were without conceding. Have played 12th and 13th and won 2-0 and 2-1 ( playing 14th today).

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWWWWWDWDWWLD - only 2 defeats this season were those 2 home defeats. 2 wins and 2 draws home and away against bottom 6.
GOAL TRENDS - 57% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. 3 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 1 match this season. 2-2-2-2-1-2 the goals scored by Furth in last 6 matches. Have scored 9 goals after the break so the halftime team talk works! Score first in 85% of matches.
STREAKS - 7 at home without a draw. Have scored in last 7 at home and last 6 overall

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - FSV Frank

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDWLWL - wins away against 15th and 17th ( bottom 4) should not concern home side. Lost against 3rd and 6th conceding 2 and 4.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLDDLWDLDWLLLD - last 3 losses v 9th, 3rd and 1st and playing 4th today. Have played 4 matches home and away against the top 6 and lost 2-5, 0-4, 2-1, 4-0.

GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs away from home. That's 2/3rd of away matches overs. 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 matches this season - 2 were 0-0's at home.

STREAKS - 4 away without a draw -have scored and conceded in last 2 away matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Furth have kept a clean sheet in last 4 head to heads.
Furth - hom losses were v 2nd and 7th. 4 out of 5 home wins were to nil .
2-0 and 2-1 v 12th and 13th augurs well against 14th today.
2 losses only all season.
GOALS - 57% overs at home for Furth. Furth have scored in all homes. Failed to score only once this season. Furth scored 2-2-2-2-1-2 last 6 matches so figure a 2 into correct scores? Scored 1st in 85% of all matches so expectations for a successful back to lay match odds trade? 67% overs for Frank away.
FRANK - wins away v 15th and 17th and playing 4th today.
Losses away v 3rd and 6th and playing 4th today.
4 matches home and away v top 6 saw Frank concede 5,4,2,4 - consistent concession.
CONCL - look to a potential win with a minimum 2 goals scored by Furth. Speculators factor in 4/5 perhaps .

115pm - Millwall v Bristol City - 1.94 home
HEAD TO HEADS
12.04.2011LChMillwall FC0-0Bristol City
07.08.2010LChBristol City0-3Millwall FC



Pre the transfer market and a 0-0 so highly inconclusive.

LEAGUE POSITION - 20th v 22nd after 16 matches - we had a similar struggersfest yesterday with Wigan and Blackburn which ended 3-3 so this should emphasise what I said yesterday. These matches become less about form and more about who is best on the day in a must win for both sides as they are so nearly 1/2 way through the season. Millwall are the safer on 18 points ( and note 14th place is only on 21 points) while Bristol are a little adrift on 13 points.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Millwall - surely home advantage here is massive at the Den - a place I would love to visit for a match.

RECENT HOME FORM - WDDDLDWW - only 1 loss at the Den - sole loss was a 0-1 v 21st - is this ominous against 22nd today? The pressure of the bottom sides.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLLLDDWWWL - 2 of last 3 wins were home wins against 16th and 17th - 1-0 loss v Blackpool down to a 61st minute goal so a tight match. Millwall scored 3-4-3 in their 3 wins against 13th, 16th and 17th so if you solve this puzzle, 1.94 looks a good price. Will it go edgy like the 1-0 loss v 21st or emphatic like those 3 wins.

GOAL TRENDS - 38% overs at home - 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals because of Millwall's 3-4-3 goals.

STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak - 3 at home without defeat, have scored in last 3 at home. No draw in 4 away.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bristol City

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDLLLWD - 4 losses and a draw against top 8 away, and 1-2 wins against 13th and 15th and 1-1 draw against bottom away. This signals that Bristol might be competitive today .
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDLLLLLWDW - like Millwall, Bristol have recent winning form. Wins against 15th away and 21st at home and 0-0 away draw with West Ham, who are solid away, could be a marker against the Lions , another London side, today. ( remember that 0-1 loss for Millwall against 21st. )

GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs away from home. 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. 2 clean sheets only this season. Failed to score in 4 of last 7.

STREAKS - no defeat in 2 away and 3 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - you have to make up your mind on this math - will Millwall's match be as tight as the 1-0 loss v 21st, or will they be as emphatic as the last 3 wins , scoring 3-4-3 , including winning their last 2. You solve this and you have an angle in. Bristol City have come into form too , albeit only 3 matches. A recent 0-0 with West Ham away is quite a good result and could hint more at unders than overs.
For me this is a game as open as Wigan v Blackburn ( 3-3) as we have 2 struggling sides desparate for 3 points ( Bristol more)
130pm - Groningen v VVV - 1.2 home
HEAD TO HEADS


LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 17th - Groningen could go 4th ( dependent on other results) with a win.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Groningen

RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWDW - only loss at home was 0-3 v top side. Have beaten 15th 4-2 and 18th 2-0 at home and playing 17th today. Only dropped points at home against AZ and Twente

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDLLWWWLDWD - 3 losses away to 5th, 9th and 13th. All bar one win has come at home. Against bottom 4 have won 4-2, 3-2 and 2-0, and playing 2nd bottom today.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs depends on the team they are playing. Inconclusive overs recently. HAve failed to score in only 2 matches this season.

STREAKS - 4 without defeat at home. Have scored in last 4 home matches. Have scored in last 7 overall.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - VVV

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLL

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
2pm - Genoa v Novara - 1.59 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
2pm - Juventus v Palermo - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
230pm - Stuttgart v Augsburg - 1.44 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm - Leicester v C Palace - 1.75 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
330pm - Excelsior v AZ Alkmaar - 1.33 away
HEAD TO HEADS
05.02.2011D1SBV Excelsior2-1AZ Alkmaar
29.08.2010D1AZ Alkmaar1-1SBV Excelsior
13.04.2008D1SBV Excelsior1-1AZ Alkmaar
Only 2 recent relevant head to heads see 2 tight matches and Excelsior unbeaten but this season is belonging to AZ at the moment. And this momentum may negate these head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 1st or Bottom v Top.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Excelsior

RECENT HOME FORM - LDLLLW - -sole win was a 1-0 against 12th. Losses against 6th, 8th and 9th were 0-2 losses. Lose 2-3 against 11th .

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLDLLLLDLLWD - only one win this season makes that AZ price look relatively big. Draws against 3rd, 16th and 17th. 6 losses and a draw in the matches played home and away against the top 10.5 matches were 2-0 losses, the others a 2-2 draw and 6-1 loss.

GOAL TRENDS - 17% over 2.5 goals at home. Down to those 2-0 scorelines mentioned.Have not played any of the top 5 at home though so this unders is on thin ice. Only 3 matches over 2.5 goals all season. Have failed to score in 5 of the last 7.

STREAKS - 4 at home without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team -AZ Alkmaar

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWWWDW - loss against Twente, draw against Ajax ( 2-2) infers that it is only the Dutch Triumvirate which hold any fears for AZ. Won 1-3 against 2nd bottom so might not be a win to nil against bottom basement. Scored 3-1-2-3 win away wins against 7th, 9th, 12th and 17th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWWWWWWDWWW - 2 of last 3 wins 1-0 wins , perhaps teams are figuring AZ out and AZ are still winning.

GOAL TRENDS - 67% over 2.5 goals away from home. Have kept a clean sheet in the last 3 matches. Have only failed to score against Twente this season. 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals games ended with 2 1-0's and a 3-0 . 3-0, 4-0 and 1-3 scorelines home and away against bottom 5. Scored 13 in last 1/2 hour so expect to get involved if draw coming up to 60th minute.

STREAKS - no defeat in 10, have scored in the last 10. No goal conceded in 3.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it would seem that Excelsior are likely to lose by 2 clear goals minimum, and likely 3 or 4 if AZ can replicate scorelines against bottom 5. Speculators may like to load up on over 4.5 goals taking the approach that Excelsior have not played top 7 yet and may be in for a rude awakening. I think head to head tightness can be negated with AZ's recent consistent form.
0-3, 0-4, 1-3 scoreline very speculative, could easily be a win to nil but 17th did score 1 against AZ.
4pm - Chelsea v Liverpool - 1.91 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Sat05/05/12PRLLiverpool15 : 00Chelsea
More info
Tue29/11/11LECChelsea19 : 45Liverpool
More info
Sun20/11/11PRLChelsea16 : 00Liverpool
More info
Sun06/02/11PRLChelsea0 - 1LiverpoolView eventsMore info
Sun07/11/10PRLLiverpool2 - 0ChelseaView eventsMore info
Sun02/05/10PRLLiverpool0 - 2Chelsea
Feb 2011 was way before the recent transfer window and as we well know there have been changes abounding in key positions for both sides which might negate the head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 7th after 11 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Chelsea - 23rd November CHampions league match away to BAyer Leverkusen - 3 days enough of a rest period?

Andre Villas-Boas is expecting everyone but Michael Essien to be fit.

Daniel Sturridge was set to shake off a knock picked up yesterday that caused him to miss training on Friday, while fellow striker Didier Drogba has recovered from the arm surgery he underwent while suspended prior to the international break.

Goalkeeper Hilario is back from a bout of flu, while Essien is on course to return from knee surgery at the turn of the year.

Chelsea: Cech, Bosingwa, Ferreira, Ivanovic, Terry, Cole, Luiz, Mikel, Romeu, Ramires, Lampard, Mata, Malouda, Meireles, McEachran, Torres, Drogba, Kalou, Sturridge, Anelka, Lukaku, Turnbull, Hilario.


RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWL - no draw at home so far but only 5 matches. Chelsea have played 10th to 14th inclusive, winning all at home, but in a single foray v the top 6, lost 3-5 v Arsenal. Chelsea have conceded in all home matches which is a good signal for overs ( unless today's match is a typical big clash 1-0 either way?)

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWLWWWLLW - 2 defeats away to United and QPR and that loss at home v the Arse. Only 3 clean sheets for Chelsea all season, and in the 2 matches home and away against top 9, Chelsea have lost the 3 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 100% overs at home, scoring and conceding in every match but yet to play the typical "derby feel" sides at home, like Man Utd, Liverpool ( today), City etc.Chelsea have only kept a clean sheet in 2 matches this season.And only failed to score in 2 away matches. 2 of last 3 matches 1-0's. Only 3 matches all season under 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - no draw in 5 at home - have scored and conceded in last 5 home matches. No draw in 10 overall.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Liverpool

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLWW - again no draw away same as Chelsea no draw at home. And this is a typical match which has a chance of ending in a draw. Losses against Stoke and Tottenham, and wins against Arsenal, Everton and WBA were all 0-2. So Liverpool fail to score away, they lose. Liverpool keep a clean sheet away, they win.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWLLWWDDWD - only 2 losses all season as mentioned above. 2 frustrating 1-1 draws - frustrating because Liverpool led in both matches

GOAL TRENDS - those 0-2 away scorelines mean obviously a low % over 2.5 goals away - 20% - in fact the last 5 matches were under 2.5 goals and 4 of those matches had 2 goals.

STREAKS - no draw in 5 away, no defeat in 6 overall. Clean sheet in last 2 matches. Liverpool have not conceded more than 1 goal in last 6 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - one of those matches where form can be thrown out and it is the best performer on the day who will get the spoils.
Well, what does the form say? Well no draw at home and no draw away so far ( albeit 5 matches only to work on)
Also Chelsea have lost against top 9 ( 3 matches played) under Villa Boas. Hugely contrasting goals trends suggest we might be on the cusp of 2 goals today? A 2-0, 1-0 ( either way), 1-1 ? Chelsea look layable surely initially in what will be a tricky encounter. Watch out for team changes for Chelsea with the Champions League 3 matches away - no problem on that count for Liverpool.
Arse Banjo Torres to score?
Highly Speculative Value bets/trades? - well try the 0-0. Try laying Chelsea at odds on ( remember Liverpool's last 2 1-1 matches saw them score first).
REmember , folks, these matches can be unpredictable as both teams are generally well matched.
5pm - Anderlecht v Sint Truiden - 1.18 home
7pm - Atl Madrid v Levante - 1.69 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Sun24/04/11PRDAtlético Madrid4 - 1LevanteView eventsMore info
Sat04/12/10PRDLevante2 - 0Atlético Madrid
Only 2 relevant recent head to heads and inconclusive.
LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 4th - after 11 matches and rarely do you see the favourite being the lower positioned side.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Ath Madrid

RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDDW - unbeaten at home. Draws against 5th and 11th both 0-0 and 1-1 draw v 15th. Won against 16th, 17th and 18th. Not played at home against any of the top 4 until this evening. So while the form is good, Ath have not really been tested.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLWWLDDDLWL - lost against 2nd and 3rd away from home perhaps a sign of vulnerability against the better sides. All losses have come in away matches

GOAL TRENDS - 50% overs at home. Score an average of 2 at home and concede an average 0.33 at home. Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, and the 3 before that were unders. madrid had a problem scoring, they failed to score in 6 of their first 9 matches, and have scored in their last 2.

STREAKS - 6 at home without defeat. Have scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Levante

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWWWL - sole loss away came against 11th.Wins away against 8th, 10th and 13th, and Madrid are 12th. Levante have not played any of the top 7 away from home yet, so will continue a relatively easier fixture list today against 12th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWWWWWWWLL - losses, both 2-0, came against 3rd placed Valencia at home and 11th placed Osasuna away.

GOAL TRENDS - 33% overs away from home. 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, but the 2 2-0 losses were both successful over 2.5 goals trades. Levante have failed to score in 2.

STREAKS - 4 away without a draw, 9 overall without a draw. Have conceded in the last 3 and kept a clean sheet in last 2.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - strange that home side should be odds on favourites against a team 4th in the league.
What do we make of that 4-1 emphatic last head to head. Is that the reason behind the short odds. Because the form does not justify those odds. Madrid are unbeaten at home, but wins have come against 16th, 17th and 18th so slightly flattering. All losses for Madrid have come away, and they have lost away to 2nd and 3rd ( yes playing at home but does that hint at vulnerability).
Although Madrid average around 2 goals at home, this is because of emphatic wins against bottom sides. Remember they did fail to score in 6 out of their first 9 matches .
Levante are on a 2 match losing run, losing 2-0 against 11th away ( playing 12th today). Last 5 Levante matches were successful over 2.5 goals trades.
Tough to call, this one. Value lies in the lay of Madrid initially as Levante seem a lot more competitive this season and Madrid's wins came against 16th+ teams.
745pm - Roma v Lecce - 1.39 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Fri04/03/11SEALecce1 - 2RomaView eventsMore info
Sat30/10/10SEARoma2 - 0LecceView eventsMore info
Sun19/04/09SEARoma3 - 2Lecce
LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
8pm - Paris St-G v Nancy - 1.31 - more money than sense trying to sign Beckham. What about Bobby Charlton - he's be far better value?
HEAD TO HEADS
10.05.2011D1Paris St. Germain2-2AS Nancy
22.12.2010D1AS Nancy2-0Paris St. Germain
13.02.2010D1AS Nancy0-0Paris St. Germain
03.10.2009D1Paris St. Germain1-1AS Nancy
01.03.2009D1Paris St. Germain4-1AS Nancy
Nancy unbeaten in 4, but the general vibe is that PSG post transfer are changed.

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 19th ( 2nd from bottom) after 13 matches. PSG are joint top with Montpellier so must win home matches especially when priced to do so and when playing 2nd from bottom.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSG

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWWW - 0-1 bad start to season but made amends since, scoring 2 or more in 5 of the 6 wins. Against 16th, 17th and 18th at home, it's 1-0, 2-1, 2-1

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWWWDWWWWWWD - only 1 loss all season was 1st match of season. All draws, score draws, have come away from home. In 4 matches against bottom 5, PSG have won them 1-0, 2-1, 2-1, 1-3 ( away) - perhaps today's opponents could lose, but get a consolation goal?

GOAL TRENDS - PSG have scored only 3 goals in the first half hour all season. They have scored 17 goals in the 2nd half all season. So halftime traders, take note. 43% overs at home. OOOUOUOU ( where O is overs and U is unders) recently . PSG have failed to score in only 1 match, that first match of the season.

STREAKS - 6 match winning streak at home, no draw in 7, no defeat in 12, have scored in last 12.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Nancy

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDLLL - poor away form - have played all of the top 8 away so immediately points to a defeat against top of the pile? Lost 2-0 against joint top , so is this a guide?

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLDDDLDLWLW - only 2 wins this season have come in last 3 matches, against 16th and 18th at home.

GOAL TRENDS - 33% overs away from home. Only 4 over 2.5 goals matches all season. Have kept a clean sheet in only 2 matches this season. 3 of 4 matches where Nancy failed to score were away matches and remember all aways against top 8 sides.

STREAKS - 6 away without a win, have conceded in last 6.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this is another match where the head to heads recount a Nancy side who are strong against PSG historically, but then we have this current season which sees Nancy unable to win away against top 8.
Compelling evidence for a PSG win , scoring possibly 2 goals minimum? - 5 losses and a draw against top 8 sides away, and losing 2-0 to joint top. Nancy have only seemed to be strong against bottom 9 , especially at home, where they have not lost.
43% and 33% overs for home and away sides home and away, down largely to 2 goal total matches.

815pm - Sp Lisbon v Braga - 1.94 home


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