BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Dylan Ross, 4/1 Silverlord, 8/1 Falcon Island, 12/1 Rookery Rebel, 16/1 Anderson Mcauley, 16/1Indubitably, 20/1 Firm Foundations, 20/1 Noble Jack, 20/1 Some Fool, 33/1 Baraka Boy, 33/1 Nearest The Pin, 33/1 Respectueux, 50/1 Nodelay, 50/1 Rassi Maguire, 50/1 Se Beag, 66/1 Highland Flash, 100/1 Eddie Zero, 100/1 Fascinating Paddy, 100/1 Silver Cygnet, 100/1 Uncle Taffy.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks to be a good opportunity for the promising DYLAN ROSS to make a winning start to his hurdling career. Silverlord looks to be the one for the forecast. [Kevin Blake]
This should be a 4-5 horse race with the odds on Dylan Ross of obvious interest. The betting markets are not fully formed yet, so I will update again. We simply take a chance on hurdles ability because Dylan Ross is a bumper winner. 3 under 20/1 but Dylan Ross is new to hurdling -if he takes to it the market tells us he will place at worst.
1240 DOWNROYAL
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Drumbaloo, 6/1 Its All Hush Hush, 7/1 Couleur De La Loi, 7/1 Flemenscall, 9/1 Golan Guy, 9/1 He´s Our Man, 10/1 Crude, 10/1 Yes Tom, 20/1 Another Palm, 20/1 Qoubilai, 20/1 Whatdouthink, 25/1 Kid Curry, 33/1 Connie De Mar, 33/1 Tix All The Boxes, 50/1 Izind An Affair, 50/1 Lavish Blue, 50/1 Mc Paddy, 50/1 Tammys Hill, 66/1 Oscar´s Ballad.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Drumbaloo is likely the most talented of these but he has to prove he can take to hurdling on his first bid. Ready preference is for ITS ALL HUSH HUSH (nap), who can step up beyond his rating and get off the mark.
Yes Tom is a big market mover here in another maiden hurdle.
140 DOWNROYAL
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Tharawaat, 7/2 Monastrell, 10/1 Like Your Style, 10/1 Paradis De Thaix, 12/1 City Of Doral, 16/1Inverglen, 20/1 Farmaland, 33/1 Rocklet, 50/1 Amber Bob, 50/1 Maple Valley Gale, 50/1 Not A Native.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Monastrell is an interesting recruit to chasing, but THARAWAAT was significantly better than him over hurdles and has the benefit of experience over fences. [Kevin Blake]
Beginners Chase and a fav unseating rider last time out - has had 2 chase runs but we know these horses have L plates on
Heavy ground at Downroyal and heavy ground at Leopardstown.
100 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Toner D´oudairies, 11/4 What A Charm, 6/1 Kalann, 10/1 Fearless Falcon, 10/1 Kristal Komet, 12/1Narima, 14/1 Sailors Warn, 16/1 Accidental Outlaw, 20/1 Days Ahead, 25/1 Al Dafa.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: What A Charm is a very interesting recruit to hurdling, but it will take a high-class performance from her to get the better of the penalised TONER DOUDAIRIES. Kalann can be expected to close the gap on the selection.
Only 3 under 14/1 here and Toner is now odds on. Value alternative in What a charm? Won his last 2 hurdles races and if handling the ground should place surely for Gordon Elliott who loves his raids in Ireland.
200 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Mikael D´haguenet, 6/1 Loosen My Load, 8/1 Realt Dubh, 10/1 Noble Prince, 10/1 Torphichen, 12/1Saludos, 14/1 Gates Of Rome, 20/1 Pay The Bounty.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should provide ample compensation for Drinmore casualty MIKAEL D'HAGUENET who seems to retain the engine that made him such a good novice hurdler. Loosen My Load looks best for the forecast. [Alan Sweetman]
Mullins/Townend recruit who is dominating the betting , fell at the last last time out and set to gain " ample compensation" today - 8 runners and 3 places makes it ideal for place betting, but novice chases are inherently risky. The mover seems to be noble prince
1235 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Negotiation, 13/8 Edgeworth, 3/1 Urban Space, 16/1 Ting Ting, 66/1 Lord Lansing.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A small field and NEGOTIATION, who ought at least to be able to dictate as he likes, can gain a deserved success over Edgeworth.[Graeme North]
This should be a 3 horse race for 2 places if the betting is accurate at time of writing. This becomes a probability race therefore.
1245 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 I´m In The Pink, 9/4 Try Cat, 5/2 Perfect Reward, 6/1 Primera Rossa, 25/1 Barodine, 33/1 Bless My Soul, 50/1 Tiger Breeze, 66/1 King Of Magic, 100/1 Sir Clad.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Tuesday's Ffos Las third Try Cat has already failed in an identical contest here before and Perfect Reward wouldn't want conditions to dry out much more so preference is for I'M IN THE PINK, dropped to selling company and with McCoy on board, both for the first time.[Jeremy Grayson]
A selling hurdle perhaps not the ideal betting medium but the betting market indicates a 4 horse race with the 4 under 20/1 set to compete for the places? Perfect Reward is the early market mover but as you can guess these horses will not be following in Big Buck's footsteps!
225 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Semi Colon, 11/4 Chilli Rose, 3/1 Mizzurka, 10/1 Tazzarine, 12/1 Lost Two Stars, 14/1 Lucy´s Perfect, 14/1 Piggy Back, 16/1 Hill Forts Gloria, 50/1 Karinga Dream, 50/1 Sun Des Mottes, 100/1 Molly Round, 200/1 Dark Haven.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A strong race of its type but CHILLI ROSE might be able to make a winning return against Semi Colon, who showed a good deal of ability in bumpers, and Mizzurka, who will doubtless come on a good deal for her hurdle debut at Exeter back from a break.[Emily Weber]
3 under 14/1 here and Chilli Rose for King/Thornton could be a good place only chance if there are no accidents and the betting is accurate.
SHORTLIST
Downroyal sees 2 hurdling debutants and a beginner chaser who fell last time out! I think I will avoid, particularly in the heavy ground .
100 LEOPARDSTOWN - Gordon Elliott is full of confidence in Toner D'Oudaires , as is the market - as one of only 3, currently, under 20/1, a clear round should suffice? Davy Russell takes the ride. As ever, the other 2 under 20/1 may be the value bets against the favourite. The trainer has no reservations about the ground for Toner.
200 LEOPARDSTOWN - Mikael D´haguenet is priced to win but when Willie Mullins has his suspicions that the race may come a bit quick, then we have to account for this. A faller last time ( well he slipped at the last rather than any jumping error), we will be betting on the horse being ok to run today . If he is, and completes ( as ever) he will place.
1235 LINGFIELD - this race is included as it looks like a 3 horse race for 2 places with negotiation and edgeworth set to dominate?
1245 TAUNTON - a selling hurdle and 4 under 20/1 here makes this of interest for place only backers, but trusting these mongrels to be consistent is another matter entirely.
225 TAUNTON - 3 only under 14/1 for this mares novices hurdle and another race where we have to have faith in the betting market. Chilli Rose of interest under Thornton/King but a difficult race to assess.
Oh how I wish it was yesterday's racing today as it is niggly today with heavy and soft ground in Ireland, and probability races elsewhere.
No football today. Perhaps we can wait to new year's day for the stronger betting opportunities. Looking at the racing , there is nothing as solid as Club Brugge for instance. But which of the above can I shortlist again?
100 LEOPARDSTOWN - there are some unexposed sorts here ( literal dark horses!!) but the market points at dominance from 3 horses and the trainer's confident words regarding Toner D'Oudaires puts him firmly in my mind to place under Davy Russell.1.18 to place in a very illiquid market. HEadline in the Racing Post " I'll be disappointed if Toner D'oudaires gets beaten" says Gordon Elliott.
1235 LINGFIELD - the prices in the place market are very enticing Edgeworth is 1.42 to place and Negotiation is 1.52 to place - 5 horses and 2 places
1245 TAUNTON - 4 under 25/1 so it's pot luck with the front 4 - 3 should place- default to the fav Perfect Reward (just to make selection a little easier? ) - this is a selling hurdle though so really it would not be a surprise were one of the market leaders to falter.
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