I am personally going to trade over 2.5 goals as I did with the Arsenal recently. I think that it will be a great shock if Waalwijk do not win.
***** ONE A DAY 745pm - Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard - back Waalwijk in the match odds at 1.18m currently*****
I will personally be backing over 2.5 goals. With over 1.5 goals at 1.1 the market seems happy that at least 2 goals will be scored. 1.3 over 2.5 goals will be traded by me.
Good win for Real pretty much replicated the scores of 1st and 3rd against Zaragoza at home.
6pm - Bursaspor v Kasimpasa - 1.36 home - home team have won the last 5 head to heads.
WWWDDLW at home for Bursaspor. The DDL is the difference , pretty much, between them and top place.
Dropped points at home have come against top 6 sides only, the others being wins although 1-0's against 15th and 16th ( Kasimpasa are bottom (18th) Do Bursaspor find it difficult against the bottom sides?
Kasimpasa have only won 1 game all season. DWWWWDD away from home.
At home, have been tonked by 1st and 3rd ( 7 goals and 6 goals conceded) - can Bursaspor ( 2nd) dish out a proportionate spanking ( considering they have home advantage)
DWDDL for Kasimpasa in their last 5 matches - not 4 matches without losing , then brought back down to earth by Galatasary latest.
745pm - Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard - 1.17 home - 3rd v bottom and contrast these points - 30 against 3!! And that explains the 1.17.
Waalwijk have played one more game than 2nd placed and are a point in deficit so must win this match really to stay in touch .
86% of Waalwijk's home matches have been over 2.5 goals and 81% Average. Impressive stuff.
Waalwijk have won 3 of their last 4 matches so are in good enough form and have kept up the over 2.5 goals in all 4 matches.
Against the bottom 4 sides at home, Waalwijk have won 3-0, 5-0, 5-0 and Fortuna will make up the 4th side ( bottom)
These scorelines fit perfectly into the profile of a match where the favourite is sub 1.2, and married with their propensity to score goals, perhaps we can look at over 2.5 goals to bump up the match odds - 1.3 for over 2.5 goals relays the fact that the market is relying solely on Waalwijk to dish the goals.
1 win only all season for Fortuna Sittard and 2 draws ( apparently they have been deducted 2 points for those clued up enough to notice that 1 win and 2 draws do not equal the 3 points I pointed out earlier)
Away from home, it's LLDLLLLL
100% of all matches have been over 2.5 goals. Now sequentially, this will end at some time, but for a home team priced 1.17, we should expect over 2.5 goals.
WWWDDLW at home for Bursaspor. The DDL is the difference , pretty much, between them and top place.
Dropped points at home have come against top 6 sides only, the others being wins although 1-0's against 15th and 16th ( Kasimpasa are bottom (18th) Do Bursaspor find it difficult against the bottom sides?
Kasimpasa have only won 1 game all season. DWWWWDD away from home.
At home, have been tonked by 1st and 3rd ( 7 goals and 6 goals conceded) - can Bursaspor ( 2nd) dish out a proportionate spanking ( considering they have home advantage)
DWDDL for Kasimpasa in their last 5 matches - not 4 matches without losing , then brought back down to earth by Galatasary latest.
745pm - Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard - 1.17 home - 3rd v bottom and contrast these points - 30 against 3!! And that explains the 1.17.
Waalwijk have played one more game than 2nd placed and are a point in deficit so must win this match really to stay in touch .
86% of Waalwijk's home matches have been over 2.5 goals and 81% Average. Impressive stuff.
Waalwijk have won 3 of their last 4 matches so are in good enough form and have kept up the over 2.5 goals in all 4 matches.
Against the bottom 4 sides at home, Waalwijk have won 3-0, 5-0, 5-0 and Fortuna will make up the 4th side ( bottom)
These scorelines fit perfectly into the profile of a match where the favourite is sub 1.2, and married with their propensity to score goals, perhaps we can look at over 2.5 goals to bump up the match odds - 1.3 for over 2.5 goals relays the fact that the market is relying solely on Waalwijk to dish the goals.
1 win only all season for Fortuna Sittard and 2 draws ( apparently they have been deducted 2 points for those clued up enough to notice that 1 win and 2 draws do not equal the 3 points I pointed out earlier)
Away from home, it's LLDLLLLL
100% of all matches have been over 2.5 goals. Now sequentially, this will end at some time, but for a home team priced 1.17, we should expect over 2.5 goals.
8pm - Valencia v Osasuna - 1.41 home - Valencia have won last 2 head to heads , scoring 3 in both matches. ( 2010 and 2009) so can we comfortably establish that this is representative of what Valencia are capable of against Valencia.
WDWLDWW at home for Valencia.
LLLDLLL for Osasuna away from home.
3 1-0's and 1 3-0 for their 4 away games against top 8 sides. Those 1-0's for Osasuna may cause some concern.
1215 CORK
WDWLDWW at home for Valencia.
LLLDLLL for Osasuna away from home.
3 1-0's and 1 3-0 for their 4 away games against top 8 sides. Those 1-0's for Osasuna may cause some concern.
1215 CORK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Dare To Doubt, 9/2 Silverlord, 6/1 Foildubh, Sir Vincent, 8/1 Captain Paulie, O Fortuna, 12/1 Character Actor, 14/1 Bargyman, Rockfield Abbey, 20/1 Abbey Raynger, Cootamundra, Prayer From Heaven, Rendezvous Bay, 33/1 Country Flora, Slievenamon Dew.
2nd fav a non runner and Bishopsfurze won for Dare to Doubt's connections yesterday.
1235 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Comedy Act, 6/1 Wulfrida, 15/2 Viviani, 8/1 Bun Oir, Omaruru, 9/1 Ultravox, 14/1 Balerina, 40/1 Jewellery, Wavertree Bounty, 66/1 Green Art, Mr Muddle, 100/1 Steely Bird.
| DIOMED VERDICT: COMEDY ACT has a clear advantage on Flat form and is introduced to hurdling at an ordinary level. Omaruru may be the best each-way alternative. |
Now 8/13 and a hurdle debutant - follow the market? 8/13 all red - - - -- - - 6/1 - trust the price gap here?
320 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Quality Art, 11/4 Steps, 5/1 Crystallus, 10/1 Mandy´s Hero, Pizzarra, 11/1 Doesn´t Care, Lady Mango, 14/1 Layla´s Princess, 16/1 Zareena, 25/1 Inde Country, Pickled Pumpkin, 100/1 Renesmee.
| DIOMED VERDICT: QUALITY ART looks ripe for a win and may defy his draw at the main expense of Steps. |
Only 3 under 16/1 makes this interesting despite the fact it is a 2 year old maiden 5 furlong on the all weather.
Steps is the one for the money - all red and 13/8
520 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Lady Rossetti, 2/1 Midnight Strider, 9/4 Farmers Dream, 20/1 Ryan´s Rock, 25/1 Chifah, Maitre ´D, 50/1 Bluegrass Gal, Jack Jicaro.
| DIOMED VERDICT: LADY ROSSETTI can improve past Midnight Strider and Farmers Dream in a weak contest. |
8 runners and 3 places and only 3 under 20/1 - can we trust the front 3 to dominate and place in another allw eather maiden?
SHORTLIST
6pm - Bursaspor v Kasimpasa - 1.36 home - perhaps take a chance here on the home side given the away side have only won 1 match all season and conceded 7 and 6 when they played 1st and 3rd in the league at home ( Bursaspor are 2nd)
745pm - Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard - 1.17 home - 100% over 2.5 goals for Fortuna and 86% home over 2.5 goals for Waalwijk
1.31 over 2.5 goals is very interesting. The niggle remains that sequences always end.
1215 CORK - given Bishopsfurze won yesterday, and the 2nd fav is a non runner today, can connections do the biz again on Dare to doubt 1.26 to place
The last 2 races are maidens on the all weather and the 520 Wolves would be the race of interest if focussing purely on the market. This is 8 runners and 3 places and only 3 under 20/1
1.16 to place for Lady Rosetta - follow the market?
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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