Wednesday, 4 June 2008

4/6

Quiet day and the horse beaten by a 40/1 shot
Meanwhile the Frenchies won by a penalty against Columbia - another under 2.5 goals and a sign perhaps that France are lacking something which does not augur well for their Euro 2008 campaign.
400 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Grasp, 4/1 Indian Star, 7/1 Monash Lad, 10/1 Ede´s We Go Again, 14/1 Prince Des Neiges, 16/1 Night Groove, 33/1 Troublesome Gerri, 66/1 Bournonville .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GRASP, who goes well around here, has every chance of following up last year's win in this contest. Indian Star looks the obvious danger but a decent show by Ede's We Go Again would not surprise

Fav looking to win race for 2nd time - I will oppose from a probability point of view with Monash Lad each way

500
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Apocalozzo, 7/2 Sovereign Spirit, 9/1 Montys Tan, 16/1 Nod´s Star, 20/1 Belledesaro, Spot The Lady, 25/1 Etendard Indien, Gem Mill, Nautic, 33/1 Pollover, Silistra .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Unless one or two of these suddenly burst into action, this seems to lie between the pair at the top and bottom of the weights. Sovereign Spirit is proven over C&D but APOCALOZZO (nap), racing off 17lb lower than his current chasing mark, has to be the choice

2 horse race - ? If so, then surely Sovereign Spirit at 9/2 each way is the consideration here

LEOPARDSTOWN
Again, Weld, Smullen, Murtagh, O'Brien will be standard selections here
600
Lunduv, Diamond star, My Dark Rosaleen - preference as always for each way but I doubt that will be the case here

630 - Sea of MArmara looks like win only
700 - THat's hot and Campfire glow
730 -BEachbound in a very competitive handicap
800 - Summit surge
830 - Le LEopard and Stage Manager
900 - TEach Niua - dropped from 2 miles to 1 mile last time and lost at 2/5 - hmmm - conspiracy theorists say it was just to get a favourable handicap mark. BAck up in trip but amateur riders -

THe hope, as ever, is for an each way perceived outsider to pop home - could do with Diamond star at current 20/1!

150 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Elmaleeha, 4/1 Miss Rochester, 11/2 Siyasa, 7/1 Sphere, 8/1 Basanti, 10/1 Rabeera, 14/1 Colourways, 16/1 Ginos Destination, 33/1 Bobster, Code Violation, Corking .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The improving Miss Rochester has to be feared, but her form to date isn't as strong as that of ELMALEEHA, who's shaped well on both start

Interesting early signs - Elmaleeha is 5/2 now, ditto Miss Rochester - the latter a potential signal of strenngth? Colourways is 13/2 - a potential 16/1 system bet. I know it's a bit early but perhaps win only Miss Rohester and each way Colourways just incase there is reasoning behind the price diswcrepancies

FOOTY
More fecking friendlies - but interesting friendlies - Estonia, those world powerhouses of football, take on another Titan in the Faroe Iswlands in a game which has any true football fan salivating .............NOT!
This looks a straightforward task I would imagine, and an over 2.5 goals punt rather than trade? Half time/Full time Estonia will enhance the match odds

Spain take on the USA tonight, and the Spanish boys will be looking to put down a marker - I suppose we can take the England score as something to work with? What chance Torres to score anytime. BAck Spain to win to nil as well - 1-0 , 2-0, 3-0 ? HAlf time/Full time Spain/Spain.

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