26/6

Tepmokea and SloopJohnB both came 2nd for the place only bets - they always seem to be thereabouts but going for the win bet is a difficult call as it proved! Roly boy won and Our Choice won at 5/2. The accumulator bet for the places came good


NAAS
600 - Tornado dancer 8/1 - 2nd
630 - Moving state 10/1 - 7th 12/1
700 - The emperor Nero -7/2 - 1st 9/4
730 - Nazdaaq and My dolly madison - 8/1 and 10/1 - 16th 7/1 and 12th 14/1
800 - Theocritus - 5/1 - 2nd 4/1
830 - Second glance and stairway to glory - 5/1 and 10/1 - 4th 5/4 and 8th 4/1
900 - Almohalek - 4th 6/1
Could have done with Tornado dancer winning to kick of the Irish boiys! Some big prices but 3 palces and a win - net loss on the day. We await the big priced winner which will come


3.00 – Carlisle – Hula Ballew - 4th 9/2

3.35 – Carlisle – Carlitos Spirit 13th 5/1

5.10 – Carlisle – Divine Spirit - 10th 18/1

5.20 – Salisbury – Colorado Blue 6th 6/1

6.50 – Kempton – Astroleo 9th 50/1

7.20 – Kempton – Inactualfact* - 8th 14/1

8.50 – Kempton – Phluke 4th 10/1

9.20 – Kempton – Colwyn Bay 9th 8/1

7.40 – Bath – Wahoo Sam 1st 7/1

9.10 – Bath – Dressed To Dance 1st 10/3
A couple of winners for Chris yesterday but he did mention minimum price of 5/1 so do we discount Dressed to Dance?
With the footy, backing Turkey fro a trade paid off as they scored first, and equalised at 2-2 with minutes on the clock ( market makers priced up a draw so if waiting that long a bigger profit would have ensued) - unders blown out of the water!

FAIRYHOUSE
555 - Kilmore Times - 8/1 and Lara Celeb 3/1
625 - King of the Nile - 3/1
655 - Mojito Royale - 2/1 and shining armour 4/1
725 - Carrie McCurry 8/1

210 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Sir Geoffrey, 3/1 Special Cuvee, 100/30 Mabait, 5/1 Kheylide, 14/1 Sapphire Prince, 25/1 Catenaccio, 33/1 Elusive Ronnie .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sir Geoffrey's experience on this surface will stand him in good stead but he faces a likely improver in the shape of SPECIAL CUVEE who comes from a race which is working out well

Place only Special Cuvee looks the obvious choice here. Interesting to note that Kheylide at 5/1 in the betting forecast is 14/1 early market? Spotlight's comments on the horse are favourable so why the "perceived" drift. I may opt for this one each way but am mindul he has to come 1st or 2nd for me to see a return

240
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Tasheba, Ultimate Quest, 8/1 Novestar, 10/1 Caffari, Seedless, Silver Waters, 12/1 Hellzapoppin, Maximus Aurelius, 16/1 Crimson Mitre, Flash Of Fire, 20/1 Askar Tau, Colorado Springs, Rivington Pike, 25/1 Ben Ami, Tamrai Dancer, 50/1 Funseeker .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ultimate Quest is potentially miles ahead of his mark now tackling a more suitable trip, and if he is strong in the market it may pay to take notice. Silver Waters and Seedless are others of interest, but TASHEBA is going the right way and won't be inconvenienced by this return to 1m6f.[PSm]

Watching some handicaps yesterday it was interesting to note that generally the slight price gappers performed well. Here we have Tasheba and Ultimate Quest at 7/2 and 3rd fav at 8/1
We will get about evens for the place here too
I will chance a level stakes dutch on these 2, both hovering around the 3/1 mark, OR a place only on Tasheba with race fitness

700 HAM
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Master Nimbus, 9/4 Forrest Flyer, 7/2 Bolckow, 9/1 Bed Fellow, 14/1 Front Rank, 16/1 Spume, 25/1 Bollin Thomas, Mt Desert, 33/1 Bramantino, 40/1 Besi, 50/1 Compton Commander, Hunting Haze .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Forrest Flyer and Bolckow both escape penalties for comfortable wins in apprentice handicaps and have to be respected, but they may find it hard to cope with MASTER NIMBUS (nap) who ran away with a similar race last week, will not be inconvenienced if the forecast rain arrives and can defy a penalty.

A potential lay of the fav here if short enough, although I may adopt a keep bets bet at under 2.00 to ensure I lay at odds on. Race type suggest there may be jockey errors/misjudgements.

330 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Tazeez, 5/1 Benandonner, 13/2 Zero Tolerance, 8/1 Flipando, Rio Riva, Scartozz, 12/1 Kingsdale Orion, Striving Storm, 16/1 Plum Pudding, 25/1 Collateral Damage.

A class 2 handicap and a chance perhaps to lay the favourite - competitive and a fav whose form has been 2-2-1 will signifiy he has picked up some penalties? Again preferably for me
is trying to secure an odds on lay using keep bets

FOOTY

Spain v Russia tonight and this should be a great game. Another lay the draw perhaps in the hope that we will have both teams looking for that win in 90 minutes?