Wednesday 25 June 2008

25/6

Quiet day yesterday - the lay came in , and the 2 big priced Irish bets were unplaced
BATH
Again starts with a maiden where a short priced once ran horse is favourite - will he replicate his previous good run?
The rest of the card is handicaps and maidens - probably a good opportunity to try out the market movers in handicap races, where they run off a winnable mark and there has been a 16/1 system type move for them
2 maidens begin the card at Carlisle and it looks like 2 potential place only bets in Tepmokea and SloopJohnB
Soft ground throws the unknown in with this card!
Kempton begins with an apprentice handicap - GIVE ME STRENGTH!
650
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Roly Boy, 8/1 Fisher Hill, 9/1 Mister Dee Bee, 10/1 Learo Dochais, 12/1 Duke Of Aquitaine, 16/1 Northumberland, Rockfella, 20/1 Killmarnock, 25/1 Astroleo, Celtic Spur, My Kingdom, 33/1 Corredor Sun, Oil Man .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of the threat presented by the newcomers, but ROLY BOY (nap) sets a decent standard on his Woodcote Stakes fourth and is likely to prove hard to beat. Duke Of Aquitaine may be the best each-way alternativ

Again, typical of today's maiden races ,including Tepmokea and SloopJohnB - a horse installed as favourite based on one favourable last run. Live market essential again given some newcomers, but another place only bet?

NAAS
600 - Tornado dancer 8/1
630 - Moving state 10/1
700 - The emperor Nero -7/2
730 - Nazdaaq and My dolly madison - 8/1 and 10/1
800 - Theocritus - 5/1
830 - Second glance and stairway to glory - 5/1 and 10/1
900 - Almohalek
Irish combos with early prices indicative of chances. If there's an early winner, I'll take the profit

2 maiden fillies races followed by handicaps at Salisbury
220 WORC
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Tot Of The Knar, 2/1 Our Choice, 25/1 Joint Reaction, Over Ice, 33/1 So Extreme, 40/1 Cleric, 50/1 Ireland Dancer, Tight Corner, 66/1 Christalini, Vesta Flame, 100/1 Gracefull Model .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TOT OF THE KNAR has done enough to suggest she can get the better of Our Choice in what looks to be a match. The race for third place should be interesting, to say the least

Our Choice place only

WHat I might do today is an accumulator on the 4 place only bets ( much against my better judgement) carrying over stake +winnings onto the next bet. and see if I can profit that way.

Chris from Kachina Racing has kindly given me some selections today after a 7/1 winner yesterday. LEt's see how he gets on



3.00 – Carlisle – Hula Ballew

3.35 – Carlisle – Carlitos Spirit

5.10 – Carlisle – Divine Spirit

5.20 – Salisbury – Colorado Blue

6.50 – Kempton – Astroleo

7.20 – Kempton – Inactualfact*

8.50 – Kempton – Phluke

9.20 – Kempton – Colwyn Bay

7.40 – Bath – Wahoo Sam

9.10 – Bath – Dressed To Dance

all qualifiers, everything advised to £10 Ew, @ SP

Minimum qualifying price 5/1

It's a new service 6 months is £35 admin@kachinaracing.co.uk

FOOTY
The Germans meet what's left of the Turks this evening, and I feel the Turks keeper will be a big loss tonight - he was superb against Croatia.

1.46! - YIKES! A lot shorter than I expected. Have the Turks drafted in Stavros from the Kebab shop into centre midfield?
Given the nature of the game as a semi final 1.83 for under 2.5 goals looks good to trade, BUT as mentioned how significant will be their excellent keeper's loss?
Germany lack any flair but have Podolski, Schweinsteiger and Ballack as goal threats. Value looks to be Turks at 9.6 incase they score first.

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