30/6

Good day yesterday, especially with Frozen Fire for O'Brien at 16/1 in the Derby at the Curragh - laying the draw in the footy paid off too
315 PONTE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Indian Art, 4/1 In Transit, 9/2 Senatorial, 8/1 Reve De Soleil, 16/1 Keeptheboatafloat.

Indian art may be worth laying at odds on in a race where there have been a lot of winners

415
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Lee Miller, 3/1 Siyasa, 13/2 Ghizlaan, 12/1 Etta Place, 25/1 Miss Serena, 33/1 Faraway Bay, Proficiency.

Place only on Lee MilLer _ 3 prospective candidates here?

330 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Precision Break, 13/2 Ministerofinterior, 7/1 Novestar, 9/1 All Lit Up, Boy On A Swing, 12/1 Love Empire, 25/1 Don´t Stop Me Now ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With doubts about most of his rivals, this looks a good opportunity for PRECISION BREAK to continue his winning run. If he slips up, Ministeroftheinterior would seem the most likely to take advantage, though Boy On A Swing would be a danger if if coming back to his best.

On a 4 timer here, and worth laying - currently 5/4 may indicate winning streak is over - again preference in securing an odds on lay, either pre race or using keep bets

My may return to the blog around midday once the prices are shown - it's too early now to work on any bets without early market

30/6

The Irish Combos have come good this weekend after some waiting . 12/1 and 16/1 winners yesterday, especially frozen fire in the Derby. The outsiders , especially Hind Kush, were used as pace setters, and after Alessandro VOlta swerved near the finish, Forzen Fire under Jamie Heffernan won going away. Great result. Slam Dunk placed at 11/1 for Murtagh in the first,



225 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Mohanad, 11/2 Oratory, 7/1 Dreamwalk, Supernoverre, 14/1 Perfect Shot, Spit And Polish, 16/1 Captain Walcot, The Cheka, 33/1 Crystallize .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of the strength of the threat presented by the newcomers, but MOHANAD's second at York sets a good standard and he has obvious prospects

Oratory 5/2 currently - significant? And it's not because of the non runner who ,at 16/1 betting forecast, won't affect prices. Looks good for a place

330
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Special Reserve, 3/1 Craigstown, 6/1 Sinaaf, 8/1 Purely By Chance, 10/1 Lobby, 12/1 Chioroscuro, Kijani, 66/1 Age Of Miracles .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Special Reserve and Craigstown set the standard but they have had a few chances and there could be some mileage in taking them on here. Sinaaf is a possible, but LOBBY is bred to appreciate this longer trip and may be worth chancing now tried in a tongue ti

Special Reserve - as I talked about earlier - look at the form of this maiden - 32227 - the 7 coming in a class 2 race at Epsom.
Booked for a place I would suggest and perhaps his turn for a 1 in the form book

215 UTTOXETER - looks a good race to dutch outsiders and leave the front 3 out of the equation. Small stakes and potential big rewards - far vbetter than lumping on the hot pot

235 WINDSOR
Wilkandoo unimpressive in victory at a very short price 3 days ago may be worth taking on. A big price, relaitvely speaking for a lay, but I'll chance

FOOTY

The big one tonight - Racing Club versus Belgrano ! - only kidding
Michael Bollock is an injury doubt tonight - yes the German nation might miss this egotistical whinger! Spain look to have too much for the ultra efficient germans.
I am contemplating a lay the draw scenario again although what part will nerves and not wanting to concede play on the minds of the players and managers well, we'll have to wait and see.
If 0-0 at half time, I will back OVER 2.5 goals at enhanced odds hoping for fireworks second half.

29/6

In contrast to great Knight , Every second made no mistake yesterday. These types of races are worth noting for the strong chance the fav has of placing at least. Multiple placed maidens will win eventually .
Tarzan, at 7/4 was a great lay, finishing 5th. Bridgewater boys won at odds on, so that lay perished, but Marie Louise lost at 11/8 SP. WEald Park won at evens

Irish Combos
Impossible Dream -Smullen - 1st 12/1
Westphalia - 1st 2/5 - Born to be king unplaced 10/1
310 - 2 unpalced at 11/1
345 - 2nd 9/2 - unpalced 6/1
415 - 1st 4/1 and 4th 6/1
445 - 1st 1/2 and last 40/1
515 - 3rd 5/2 and 5th 11/2

TODAY - again action at the Curragh. Nice for the 12/1, 2/5, 4/1, 1/2 winners yesterday. Probably will pay to be a bit more picky today with all qualifying selections, as Aiden O'Brien will adopt his usual pacesetter tactics with multiple entrants.
Races such as the 310 see multiple Aiden O'Brien entrants - in a small field, I will infact go against convention and back the 20/1 and 40/1 entrants each way - it's races like this where possible surprises occur
Again prices in the 350 indicate , of the 4 O'Brien entrants, one is fancied. Hindu kush is fresh in my mind after an, ahem, surprise 25/1 win last time which I availed myself of last time. Far too many to be ecomomical with the ebtting so the 500/1 and 100/1 entrants can be ignored from both the Weld and O'Brien stables.

225 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Mohanad, 11/2 Oratory, 7/1 Dreamwalk, Supernoverre, 14/1 Perfect Shot, Spit And Polish, 16/1 Captain Walcot, The Cheka, 33/1 Crystallize .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of the strength of the threat presented by the newcomers, but MOHANAD's second at York sets a good standard and he has obvious prospects

Oratory 5/2 currently - significant? And it's not because of the non runner who ,at 16/1 betting forecast, won't affect prices. Looks good for a place

330
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Special Reserve, 3/1 Craigstown, 6/1 Sinaaf, 8/1 Purely By Chance, 10/1 Lobby, 12/1 Chioroscuro, Kijani, 66/1 Age Of Miracles .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Special Reserve and Craigstown set the standard but they have had a few chances and there could be some mileage in taking them on here. Sinaaf is a possible, but LOBBY is bred to appreciate this longer trip and may be worth chancing now tried in a tongue ti

Special Reserve - as I talked about earlier - look at the form of this maiden - 32227 - the 7 coming in a class 2 race at Epsom.
Booked for a place I would suggest and perhaps his turn for a 1 in the form book

215 UTTOXETER - looks a good race to dutch outsiders and leave the front 3 out of the equation. Small stakes and potential big rewards - far vbetter than lumping on the hot pot

235 WINDSOR
Wilkandoo unimpressive in victory at a very short price 3 days ago may be worth taking on. A big price, relaitvely speaking for a lay, but I'll chance

FOOTY

The big one tonight - Racing Club versus Belgrano ! - only kidding
Michael Bollock is an injury doubt tonight - yes the German nation might miss this egotistical whinger! Spain look to have too much for the ultra efficient germans.
I am contemplating a lay the draw scenario again although what part will nerves and not wanting to concede play on the minds of the players and managers well, we'll have to wait and see.
If 0-0 at half time, I will back OVER 2.5 goals at enhanced odds hoping for fireworks second half.

28/6

Cornish Rose won, but as an odds on lay, we are effectively backing over evens. faraway flower was a significant early mover and won. Silvanus race was won by Amicus Meus. Rio Royale won. Autumn blades was a very short price lay but won and really no great losses! Well Great Knight lost again - looks the type of horse to bottle it! I got out at 1.30 in running but didn't profit as all my profit was on great Knight
The 655 was won by the fav, but throughout the day there were many races where backing the outsiders in a dutch would have paid off well - Silvanus 'race being one of them

215 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Every Second, 3/1 Mazzola, 9/2 Countrywide City, River Rye, 7/1 Missus Christie, 25/1 That Boy Ronaldo, 66/1 Ballarina, Rock On Ciara .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: EVERY SECOND is compiling a record of seconds but he has plenty going for him from a decent draw here and can enjoy a change of luck. Entitled to reverse Windsor form with River Rye at the revised weights, he could find Mazzola his most dangerous rival.

A bottler like Great knight? Booked for a place I would imagine albeit at restrictive odds - is this Every second's day today to produce a 1 to accompany all of those 2's?

640 DON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Doctor Crane, 11/4 Tarzan, 7/2 Thunderball, 5/1 Royal Executioner, 10/1 Pilot Light, 12/1 Ruud Revenge .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Very little in the way of a form guide and the betting should be informative. THUNDERBALL turned in a satisfactory effort when unfancied on his debut and is the tentative choice to beat Doctor Crane

tarzan worth laying if you can get odds on in a maiden where there's no form to go on

550 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Bridgewater Boys, 4/1 Kyles Prince, 5/1 Just Intersky, 6/1 Missie Baileys, 8/1 Soldiers Quest, 10/1 Soundbyte, 12/1 Thermidor, 14/1 Competitor, 20/1 Thirtyfourthstreet, 100/1 Ello Lucky .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Kyles Prince would have an obvious chance if back to form, but that's quite a big if and a better option is the in-form BRIDGEWATER BOYS (nap), who can be relied upon to run a big race at this level over a C&D that suits wel

Won 3 of the last 5, and now in a seller, again if I can engineer an odds on lay, I'll take on Bridgewater boys

650 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Marie Louise, 3/1 Mezzanisi, 4/1 Soggy Dollar, 6/1 Sensible, 12/1 Kimbolton, 14/1 Miss Carlotta, 20/1 One Oi, 25/1 Sponge, 33/1 Harting Hill, Ubiquitous, 100/1 Eau Sauvage .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The experienced pair Mezzanisi and Soggy Dollar set a fair standard, but they lack the scope of MARIE LOUISE, who looks sure to build upon her solid debut fifth in a race that's worked out well.

Lay the fav if I can get odds on - a maiden race which looks messy

Scoop 6 at Newcastle signals perhaps a dutch of outsiders as spoken about yesterday

155 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Weald Park, 4/1 Worth A King´S, 9/2 Africa´s Star, 5/1 Imaam, Reaction, 16/1 Howard, 25/1 Al Mukaala, Silent Hero, 33/1 Dazinski, 40/1 Are Can, 50/1 Ocean´s Minstrel .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It will be interesting to see how the newcomers Imaam, Reaction and Worth A King's figure in the betting but this is a race Richard Hannon has virtually made his own in recent years and WEALD PARK, with the benefit of a previous run behind him, may be equal to the task. Africa's Star is also expected to improve on her debut effort and may get in the money.

Weald Park " may be equal to the task" - some newcomers - again would be good lay if getting odds on

IRISH COMBOS ARE AT THE CURRAGH

A Satrday and my attention largely turns to laying rather than backing. As long as the lays can be got at odds on, then we're effectively backing at odds against.

27/6

No luck with the Irish combos, But Special Cuvee placed, Tasheeba won, Master Nimbs was a nice short priced lay, as was Tazeez. Laying the draw certainly paid off in the footy

I was experiementing yesterday with a "lay what you would normally back" dutch strategy in certain races. ie we would dutch the outsiders and lay the horses which are the most obvious dutching material. This worked superbly in Ireland yesterday with payouts of around 6/1 -ie £36 stake produced a return of £165!
Chester's first race looks an ideal type, being, as it is, an apprentice handicap.
715 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Cornish Rose, 11/2 Lady Salama, 7/1 Musical Maze, 9/1 Rosy Mantle, 10/1 Granny McPhee, 16/1 Our Apolonia, 20/1 Lunar Romance ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CORNISH ROSE is the most interesting of those with experience, having shaped well on her debut at Newmarket. Positive betting signals for any of the newcomers, notably Rosy Mantle and Granny McPhee, would be worth noting

If odds on, then Cornish Rose is layable ONLY if odds on

CURRAGH - usual Irish combos - Aiden O'Brien, Murtagh, Weld, Smullen. Watch out for the bigger odds selections. We should see some retrn tonight I hope

220 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Peter´s Gift, 6/1 Dream In Waiting, Exceedingly Good, Faraway Flower, 12/1 Claphands, Moonlight Affair, 33/1 Adozen Dreams, Eyesore, 50/1 Alacity.
Faraway flower now 9/4? Place only for sure. Perhaps signals a lay of Peters Gift if, again, ODDS ON
250
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Silvanus, 4/1 Rowaad, 8/1 Royal Encore, 14/1 Virtuality, 16/1 Amicus Meus, Hardanger, 25/1 Braille, 33/1 Mollyatti, Tump Mac, 100/1 Tendulkar´s Diva .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SILVANUS is difficult to oppose with his main opponent Rowaad still to prove himself at the trip

"difficult to oppose" - trigger words for me. Place only on Silvanus - each way afficionados will be able to dig out an each way contender here I'm sure

230 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Rio Royale, 5/1 Zebrano, 6/1 Desire To Excel, Lahaleeb, 8/1 Temperence Hall, 9/1 Wilbury Star, 10/1 Blusher, 20/1 Starlight Wish, 25/1 Charismatic Lady, 33/1 Ba Globetrotter, Indian Fiesta, 50/1 Cashed Up, 66/1 Paymaster In Chief .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RIO ROYALE (nap) has shown enough to win a race like this and the number one stall, which has proved a significant advantage on the straight course here this year, looks the perfect launching pad - especially with his principal form rivals drawn wide.[

Place only on the fav here? Expereince and good draw could help

305
BETTING FORECAST: 1/6 Autumn Blades, 12/1 Global Glory, Silver Diamond, 16/1 Pajada, 33/1 Joe Rich, Station Place, 50/1 Bakers Boy, Bluebird Chariot .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AUTUMN BLADES isn't the sort that you would want to be lumping on at short odds, particularly in blinkers for the first time, but each of his runs has earned a higher RPR than any attained by his rivals. Conditions won't be a problem and he really will never get a better chance. Silver Diamond and Pajada could be the best each-way alternative

In line with my "lay what you'd back and back what you'd lay" philosophy in obvious races, this fav must be laid -the liability is ultra low and ,well,you never know!

415
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Great Knight, 4/1 Miss Poppy, Town And Gown, 5/1 Filemot, 10/1 Hucking Harmony, 16/1 In Toto, 33/1 Lithaam .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Great Knight has been beaten at 11-4 or shorter on all four starts and although he is up to winning a similar race, he looks worth taking on. Miss Poppy and Town And Gown are both capable but FILEMOT showed good pace here on her debut and is worth another chance to confirm that promise.

Again, GReat Knight sounds like a lay but may be backable today

655 NEWC
BETTING FORECAST: 11/2 Moment Of Clarity, 7/1 Seyaadi, Trouble Mountain, 8/1 Dechiper, Nesno, 10/1 Calcutta Cup, Dan Tucker, Grandad Bill, Moonstreaker, 12/1 Keisha Kayleigh, Tizzy May, 14/1 Getrah, Thornaby Green, 25/1 Trans Sonic, 33/1 Carefree, 50/1 Betteras Bertie, Whittinghamvillage .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A competitive opener with plenty of runners in form and no shortage of C&D form either. Preference is for SEYAADI who is gradually recapturing some form for his new yard and, judged on last week's rather unlucky Redcar defeat, can now reverse earlier C&D form with Trouble Mountain, Nesno and Calcutta Cup. Moment Of Clarity, who is unpenalised for last Saturday's Haydock success, and Dechiper and Thornaby Green, who both have a good record over this C&D, have to be considered too.

A race for me to back the outsiders in a dutch leaving out, say, the first 7 or so horses.

26/6

Tepmokea and SloopJohnB both came 2nd for the place only bets - they always seem to be thereabouts but going for the win bet is a difficult call as it proved! Roly boy won and Our Choice won at 5/2. The accumulator bet for the places came good


NAAS
600 - Tornado dancer 8/1 - 2nd
630 - Moving state 10/1 - 7th 12/1
700 - The emperor Nero -7/2 - 1st 9/4
730 - Nazdaaq and My dolly madison - 8/1 and 10/1 - 16th 7/1 and 12th 14/1
800 - Theocritus - 5/1 - 2nd 4/1
830 - Second glance and stairway to glory - 5/1 and 10/1 - 4th 5/4 and 8th 4/1
900 - Almohalek - 4th 6/1
Could have done with Tornado dancer winning to kick of the Irish boiys! Some big prices but 3 palces and a win - net loss on the day. We await the big priced winner which will come


3.00 – Carlisle – Hula Ballew - 4th 9/2

3.35 – Carlisle – Carlitos Spirit 13th 5/1

5.10 – Carlisle – Divine Spirit - 10th 18/1

5.20 – Salisbury – Colorado Blue 6th 6/1

6.50 – Kempton – Astroleo 9th 50/1

7.20 – Kempton – Inactualfact* - 8th 14/1

8.50 – Kempton – Phluke 4th 10/1

9.20 – Kempton – Colwyn Bay 9th 8/1

7.40 – Bath – Wahoo Sam 1st 7/1

9.10 – Bath – Dressed To Dance 1st 10/3
A couple of winners for Chris yesterday but he did mention minimum price of 5/1 so do we discount Dressed to Dance?
With the footy, backing Turkey fro a trade paid off as they scored first, and equalised at 2-2 with minutes on the clock ( market makers priced up a draw so if waiting that long a bigger profit would have ensued) - unders blown out of the water!

FAIRYHOUSE
555 - Kilmore Times - 8/1 and Lara Celeb 3/1
625 - King of the Nile - 3/1
655 - Mojito Royale - 2/1 and shining armour 4/1
725 - Carrie McCurry 8/1

210 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Sir Geoffrey, 3/1 Special Cuvee, 100/30 Mabait, 5/1 Kheylide, 14/1 Sapphire Prince, 25/1 Catenaccio, 33/1 Elusive Ronnie .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sir Geoffrey's experience on this surface will stand him in good stead but he faces a likely improver in the shape of SPECIAL CUVEE who comes from a race which is working out well

Place only Special Cuvee looks the obvious choice here. Interesting to note that Kheylide at 5/1 in the betting forecast is 14/1 early market? Spotlight's comments on the horse are favourable so why the "perceived" drift. I may opt for this one each way but am mindul he has to come 1st or 2nd for me to see a return

240
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Tasheba, Ultimate Quest, 8/1 Novestar, 10/1 Caffari, Seedless, Silver Waters, 12/1 Hellzapoppin, Maximus Aurelius, 16/1 Crimson Mitre, Flash Of Fire, 20/1 Askar Tau, Colorado Springs, Rivington Pike, 25/1 Ben Ami, Tamrai Dancer, 50/1 Funseeker .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ultimate Quest is potentially miles ahead of his mark now tackling a more suitable trip, and if he is strong in the market it may pay to take notice. Silver Waters and Seedless are others of interest, but TASHEBA is going the right way and won't be inconvenienced by this return to 1m6f.[PSm]

Watching some handicaps yesterday it was interesting to note that generally the slight price gappers performed well. Here we have Tasheba and Ultimate Quest at 7/2 and 3rd fav at 8/1
We will get about evens for the place here too
I will chance a level stakes dutch on these 2, both hovering around the 3/1 mark, OR a place only on Tasheba with race fitness

700 HAM
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Master Nimbus, 9/4 Forrest Flyer, 7/2 Bolckow, 9/1 Bed Fellow, 14/1 Front Rank, 16/1 Spume, 25/1 Bollin Thomas, Mt Desert, 33/1 Bramantino, 40/1 Besi, 50/1 Compton Commander, Hunting Haze .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Forrest Flyer and Bolckow both escape penalties for comfortable wins in apprentice handicaps and have to be respected, but they may find it hard to cope with MASTER NIMBUS (nap) who ran away with a similar race last week, will not be inconvenienced if the forecast rain arrives and can defy a penalty.

A potential lay of the fav here if short enough, although I may adopt a keep bets bet at under 2.00 to ensure I lay at odds on. Race type suggest there may be jockey errors/misjudgements.

330 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Tazeez, 5/1 Benandonner, 13/2 Zero Tolerance, 8/1 Flipando, Rio Riva, Scartozz, 12/1 Kingsdale Orion, Striving Storm, 16/1 Plum Pudding, 25/1 Collateral Damage.

A class 2 handicap and a chance perhaps to lay the favourite - competitive and a fav whose form has been 2-2-1 will signifiy he has picked up some penalties? Again preferably for me
is trying to secure an odds on lay using keep bets

FOOTY

Spain v Russia tonight and this should be a great game. Another lay the draw perhaps in the hope that we will have both teams looking for that win in 90 minutes?

25/6

Quiet day yesterday - the lay came in , and the 2 big priced Irish bets were unplaced
BATH
Again starts with a maiden where a short priced once ran horse is favourite - will he replicate his previous good run?
The rest of the card is handicaps and maidens - probably a good opportunity to try out the market movers in handicap races, where they run off a winnable mark and there has been a 16/1 system type move for them
2 maidens begin the card at Carlisle and it looks like 2 potential place only bets in Tepmokea and SloopJohnB
Soft ground throws the unknown in with this card!
Kempton begins with an apprentice handicap - GIVE ME STRENGTH!
650
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Roly Boy, 8/1 Fisher Hill, 9/1 Mister Dee Bee, 10/1 Learo Dochais, 12/1 Duke Of Aquitaine, 16/1 Northumberland, Rockfella, 20/1 Killmarnock, 25/1 Astroleo, Celtic Spur, My Kingdom, 33/1 Corredor Sun, Oil Man .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of the threat presented by the newcomers, but ROLY BOY (nap) sets a decent standard on his Woodcote Stakes fourth and is likely to prove hard to beat. Duke Of Aquitaine may be the best each-way alternativ

Again, typical of today's maiden races ,including Tepmokea and SloopJohnB - a horse installed as favourite based on one favourable last run. Live market essential again given some newcomers, but another place only bet?

NAAS
600 - Tornado dancer 8/1
630 - Moving state 10/1
700 - The emperor Nero -7/2
730 - Nazdaaq and My dolly madison - 8/1 and 10/1
800 - Theocritus - 5/1
830 - Second glance and stairway to glory - 5/1 and 10/1
900 - Almohalek
Irish combos with early prices indicative of chances. If there's an early winner, I'll take the profit

2 maiden fillies races followed by handicaps at Salisbury
220 WORC
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Tot Of The Knar, 2/1 Our Choice, 25/1 Joint Reaction, Over Ice, 33/1 So Extreme, 40/1 Cleric, 50/1 Ireland Dancer, Tight Corner, 66/1 Christalini, Vesta Flame, 100/1 Gracefull Model .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TOT OF THE KNAR has done enough to suggest she can get the better of Our Choice in what looks to be a match. The race for third place should be interesting, to say the least

Our Choice place only

WHat I might do today is an accumulator on the 4 place only bets ( much against my better judgement) carrying over stake +winnings onto the next bet. and see if I can profit that way.

Chris from Kachina Racing has kindly given me some selections today after a 7/1 winner yesterday. LEt's see how he gets on



3.00 – Carlisle – Hula Ballew

3.35 – Carlisle – Carlitos Spirit

5.10 – Carlisle – Divine Spirit

5.20 – Salisbury – Colorado Blue

6.50 – Kempton – Astroleo

7.20 – Kempton – Inactualfact*

8.50 – Kempton – Phluke

9.20 – Kempton – Colwyn Bay

7.40 – Bath – Wahoo Sam

9.10 – Bath – Dressed To Dance

all qualifiers, everything advised to £10 Ew, @ SP

Minimum qualifying price 5/1

It's a new service 6 months is £35 admin@kachinaracing.co.uk

FOOTY
The Germans meet what's left of the Turks this evening, and I feel the Turks keeper will be a big loss tonight - he was superb against Croatia.

1.46! - YIKES! A lot shorter than I expected. Have the Turks drafted in Stavros from the Kebab shop into centre midfield?
Given the nature of the game as a semi final 1.83 for under 2.5 goals looks good to trade, BUT as mentioned how significant will be their excellent keeper's loss?
Germany lack any flair but have Podolski, Schweinsteiger and Ballack as goal threats. Value looks to be Turks at 9.6 incase they score first.

24/6

4/11 for Manyriverstocross was a surprise - not quite the 11/4 in the paper, thanks to the defection of the fav! Near misses with the others for wins and places
Beverley has a number of maidens and we're relying, with the favs, on their running to the potential shown on a single outing!
In the 215, I'll chance laying Inheritor as Fastnet and Yokosuna are close up price wise, the latter a potential market mover
Small fields at Brighton and 3 maiden events at Newbury!

IRISH COMBOS
Sligo 555 - Mountain Melody - 12/1
655 - Nazamar

A day to sit out in all honesty, bar following any market moves

23/6

A couple of winners yesterday and got the footy right!
720 CHEP
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Ordination, 11/4 Manyriverstocross, 11/2 Special Reserve, 7/1 Syvilla, 10/1 Manalito, Nisaal, 14/1 Special Branch Ami, 16/1 Yes Sir, 25/1 Requia, 50/1 No Nukes, 66/1 Snake Hips, 100/1 Lockstone Lad, Suprendre Espere .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ORDINATION's second at Yarmouth looks pretty useful in the light of Amerigo's subsequent improvement and he can go one better. Manyriverstocross, who sidestepped Royal Ascot because of the very fast ground, is feared mos

With Ordination out, does this open the doors up to Manyriverstocross - certainly as a place only proposition he should be strong ( and I guess that'll be reflected by the short odds)

820
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Victoria Reel, 4/1 Barliffey, 11/2 Light From Mars, 7/1 Street Devil, 14/1 Addiena, 25/1 Trireme, 50/1 Topsy Maite, 100/1 Break Out, Danjoe .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Barliffey is the only one of the likely candidates to be proven under firmish conditions, but there's no solid case to say that VICTORIA REEL (nap) won't handle this sort of going (both sire and dam winners on good to firm) and, possessing the most progressive profile of these, she can take advantage of what looks a decent opportunity

A bit of each way thievery? Barliffey each way should place and will hopefully be comeptitive for the win

215 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Timeteam, 9/2 Red Rossini, 8/1 Art Preview, Good Buy Dubai, 12/1 Luvmedo, 14/1 Mean Mr Mustard, 16/1 Mr Willis, Southoffrance, 20/1 Edith´s Boy, 33/1 Usual Suspects .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Money for Art Preview would look significant, but Red Rossini and TIMETEAM set the standard here and the latter can build on his encouraging second at Bath last time.

Red Rossini a non runner opens this up to Tony Robinson and his hippy mates at Timetean?

740 WIND
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Onceaponatime, 4/1 We Have A Dream, 13/2 Sam´s Cross, 7/1 Dunn´o, 10/1 Tadalavil, 12/1 Lodi, 14/1 Mudhish, 16/1 Westwood, 20/1 Just A Dancer .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A few of these could still do better, but ONCEAPONATIME looks to have the most potential having won two of his three starts and a 4lb higher mark back on turf may not be enough to stop his forward momentum. We Have A Dream should take them along for a good way, while Sam's Cross and Dunn'o are others likely to be involved

Chance on Sams Cros each way - currently 12/1 (note 13/2 in the betting forecast - possible reverse 16/1 bet?)

Very quiet day

22/6

Macarthur, Honolulu, and BAshkirov won. 2 impossible races at AScot. Slam 3rd for each way backers, and Morinqua ran herself out of the places

315 DOWNROYAL

BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Heaven Bound, 4/1 Drunken Sailor, 6/1 Camolin, Proud Ruler, 8/1 Balgriffin, Dictation, Sophist, 10/1 Samsha Cailin, 14/1 Mountain Coral, 16/1 Burley Firebrand, 20/1 Coadys Pond, Four Corners, Gulladoo Gold, The Jealous Wall ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: If able to handle the likely rain-softened ground, HEAVEN BOUND will be a hard one to beat

Big enough price for one "hard to beat"

GOWRAN
225 - Sawtooth Mountain, Grand Admiral, Dark Humour
255 - Tenacious Greg
325 -Street style
355 - Cloone River

All of the above are irish combos. Decent enough prices but the races are poor.

Quiet day today.
These quarter finals are difficult to predict too. Will it follow the last 2? If so then under 2.5 goals