Friday, 2 March 2012

29/2


515pm - Egypt v Niger - 1.34 -  October 2011 saw an Egyptian 3-0 head to head win.

hu01/10/09FRIEgypt4 - 0MauritiusMore info
Wed04/11/09FRIEgypt5 - 1TanzaniaMore info
Mon04/01/10FRIEgypt1 - 0MaliMore info
Wed03/03/10FRIEngland3 - 1EgyptView eventsMore info
Wed11/08/10FRIEgypt6 - 3Congo DRMore info
Fri22/10/10FRIEgyptCANCBotswanaMore info
Wed17/11/10FRIEgypt3 - 0AustraliaMore info
Thu16/12/10FRIQatar2 - 1EgyptMore info
Mon14/11/11FRIEgypt0 - 2Brazil

Losses to Brazil and Qatar lately.
Over 2.5 goals pervades recent friendlies.

Wed09/01/08FRIEgypt1 - 0MaliMore info
Tue25/03/08FRIEgypt0 - 2ArgentinaMore info
Wed19/11/08FRIEgypt5 - 1BeninMore info
Thu22/01/09FRIEgypt1 - 0KenyaMore info
Wed11/02/09FRIEgypt2 - 2GhanaMore info
Tue11/08/09FRIEgypt3 - 3GuineaMore info
Thu01/10/09FRIEgypt4 - 0MauritiusMore info
Wed04/11/09FRIEgypt5 - 1TanzaniaMore info
Mon04/01/10FRIEgypt1 - 0MaliMore info
Wed11/08/10FRIEgypt6 - 3Congo DRMore info
Fri22/10/10FRIEgyptCANCBotswanaMore info
Wed17/11/10FRIEgypt3 - 0AustraliaMore info
Mon14/11/11FRIEgypt0 - 2Brazil

A degree of solidity at home , and losses only to 2 South american heavyweights in recent years. 2 1-0 wins over Mali and a 1-0 win over Kenya largely stopping a successful round of overs trading with Egypt at home in friendlies.

Sat27/09/08FRILibya6 - 2NigerMore info
Sat19/06/10FRINiger1 - 1ChadMore info
Wed17/11/10FRILibya1 - 1NigerMore info
Wed09/02/11FRIMorocco3 - 0NigerMore info
Wed10/08/11FRINiger3 - 3TogoMore info
Tue06/09/11FRIGabon1 - 0NigerMore info
Tue15/11/11FRINiger1 - 1BotswanaMore info
Tue17/01/12FRICameroon1 - 3Niger

The only friendlies on record for Niger. Largely African opposition for what looks like a new footballing nation. Great boost with a win over Cameroon, but that was part of a 3 loss, 1 score draw away record in friendlies.Niger have conceded in 7 of 8 friendlies.



730pm - Croatia v Sweden - 2.12 home -
Croatia are unbeaten in their last 16 friendlies so the inference is that they use them wisely and take them seriously enough.Last 2 matches 0-0 v Eire and France.7 Croatian clean sheets in last 9 friendlies.
Croatia have won their last 6 home friendlies and 8 of last 9, only losing to Netherlands.In those 8 wins, Croatia scored 2 or more on 7 occasions at home.
Sweden have lost 2 of their last 4 friendlies against England and Denmark.
Only 3 draws in last 25 friendlies.
Only 1 draw in last 16 away friendlies,winning 9 of the matches. 8 of Sweden's last 9 victories have come without conceding. So if you see the team news and the defence looks particularly solid, then the suggestion is an away win is imminent.
A largely unders trend for the Swedes whose scorelines tend towards 2-0, 0-2, 1-0, 0-1 .
2 well matches sides . Defences to dominate? 7 clean sheets in last 9 for Croatia and Swede scorelines around 1-0, 2-0 ( either way). 2-0, 0-2, 1-0 scorelines a possible?


745pm - Germany v France - 1.77 home - more balanced than the odds would suggest? Only 1 defeat in last 12 friendlies was a 1-2 v Australia where the Ozzies won care of a penalty.
10 of last 12 friendlies over 2.5 goals see Germans scoring 1-1-2-3-2-3-3.

Sat05/09/09FRIGermany2 - 0South AfricaView eventsMore info
Wed18/11/09FRIGermany2 - 2Côte d'IvoireView eventsMore info
Wed03/03/10FRIGermany0 - 1ArgentinaView eventsMore info
Thu13/05/10FRIGermany3 - 0MaltaView eventsMore info
Thu03/06/10FRIGermany3 - 1Bosnia-HerzegovinaView eventsMore info
Wed09/02/11FRIGermany1 - 1ItalyView eventsMore info
Tue29/03/11FRIGermany1 - 2AustraliaView eventsMore info
Sun29/05/11FRIGermany2 - 1UruguayView eventsMore info
Wed10/08/11FRIGermany3 - 2BrazilView eventsMore info
Tue15/11/11FRIGermany3 - 0Netherlands

Found their goalscoring boots at home last 3 matches after the shock Aussie win. In friendlies, the Germans could concede at least one which could help overs. They have conceded in 5 of last 6 home friendlies.
Unbeaten in last 8 friendlies, the French, under Laurent Blanc, have obviously focussed on defensive solidity with total goals in the last 7 matches as follows - 1-0-5-1-2-1-0 ( 1-4 v Ukraine saw Frogs score 4).
5 of last 7 friendlies under 1.5 goals with the 1-1 draw v Chile a successful under 1.5 goals trade.
Since November 2000, France have only failed to score in 2 matches away from home against Netherlands and Spain. Inferes a goal at least today?
Germany have not won any of the last 4 head to heads, albeit as far back as 2005 and beyond so what relevance these have is questionable.
Germans tend to concede in friendlies and Frenchies tend to score in friendlies, so over 2.5 goals obvious but French. defensive solidity  makes 0-0 a back to lay for as long as you dare.

745pm - Italy v USA - 1.63 home - defences to dominate? 0-0 backable initially? 12 of last 14 Italian friendlies have been, guess what?, under 2.5 goals. Only 1 draw in 6 2011 matches .

Sat14/11/09FRIItaly0 - 0NetherlandsMore info
Wed18/11/09FRIItaly1 - 0SwedenView eventsMore info
Wed03/03/10FRIItaly0 - 0CameroonMore info
Thu03/06/10FRIItaly1 - 2MexicoView eventsMore info
Tue10/08/10FRIItaly0 - 1Côte d'IvoireView eventsMore info
Wed17/11/10FRIItaly1 - 1RomaniaView eventsMore info
Tue07/06/11FRIItaly0 - 2Ireland RepublicView eventsMore info
Wed10/08/11FRIItaly2 - 1SpainView eventsMore info
Tue15/11/11FRIItaly0 - 1Uruguay

Shocking home friendly form for Italy with a highly contrasting 2-1 victory over the Spanish as recently as August 2011. An obvious tendency towards defending and hoping to nick a 1-0 which is scuppered if the opponents score first ( note defeats to Cote Divoire, Eire and Uruguay all without Italy scoring)

Wed17/11/10FRISouth Africa0 - 1United StatesView eventsMore info
Sun23/01/11FRIUnited States1 - 1ChileView eventsMore info
Sat26/03/11FRIUnited States1 - 1ArgentinaView eventsMore info
Wed30/03/11FRIUnited States0 - 1ParaguayView eventsMore info
Sat04/06/11FRIUnited States0 - 4SpainView eventsMore info
Thu11/08/11FRIUnited States1 - 1MexicoView eventsMore info
Sat03/09/11FRIUnited States0 - 1Costa RicaView eventsMore info
Tue06/09/11FRIBelgium1 - 0United StatesView eventsMore info
Sat08/10/11FRIUnited States1 - 0HondurasView eventsMore info
Wed12/10/11FRIUnited States0 - 1EcuadorView eventsMore info
Fri11/11/11FRIFrance1 - 0United StatesView eventsMore info
Tue15/11/11FRISlovenia2 - 3United StatesView eventsMore info
Sun22/01/12FRIUnited States1 - 0VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu26/01/12FRIPanama0 - 1United States

US have won their last 3 friendlies, last 2 by an Italian like 1-0. In fact, 7 of USA's last 8 friendlies have been 1-0 scorelines either for or against.
Only 2 draws away for the USA in friendlies since, wait for it, 1999!! That is some angle in isn't it?
4 of USA's last 5 matches were 1-0 results ( for and against).
My initial knee jerk reaction seems founded. 1-0, 0-1, 2-0 possibles. I avoid the 1-1 score draw  given the lack of an away draw really in USA friendlies. Back to lay of 0-0 is very obvious in the hope defences out for a concerted period of time.

8pm - England v Netherlands - 2.7 away - experimental England side meets a Dutch side bristling with talent in all positions and who very rarely lose any international matches. The dutch just look exceptional, particularly up front with Wesley Snjeider, Van Der Vaart, Huntelaar, Van Parsley, Arjen Robben, and any others I've missed. Alongside Spain, Dutch are blessed with a generation of superb footballers available at one time for the national side. England layable initially, particularly if they score first!
I don't know how relevant past form will be for England today under Psycho and will fresh faces.
830pm - Spain v Venezuela - 1.16 home - Spain at home are usually strong but , if I recall, they have a generally poor friendly history.

Thu03/06/10FRISpain1 - 0Korea RepublicView eventsMore info
Tue08/06/10FRISpain6 - 0PolandView eventsMore info
Wed11/08/10FRIMexico1 - 1SpainView eventsMore info
Tue07/09/10FRIArgentina4 - 1SpainView eventsMore info
Wed17/11/10FRIPortugal4 - 0SpainView eventsMore info
Wed09/02/11FRISpain1 - 0ColombiaView eventsMore info
Sat04/06/11FRIUnited States0 - 4SpainView eventsMore info
Tue07/06/11FRIVenezuela0 - 3SpainView eventsMore info
Wed10/08/11FRIItaly2 - 1SpainView eventsMore info
Fri02/09/11FRISpain3 - 2ChileView eventsMore info
Sat12/11/11FRIEngland1 - 0SpainView eventsMore info
Tue15/11/11FRICosta Rica2 - 2Spain

Only 1 win in last 4 friendlies for Spain tells you their attitude to such matches ( and I suppose relative strength of opposition.) A 3-0 away win v Venezuela in June 2011augurs well for the home leg and is pretty much the scoreline you'd expect for a 1.16 side.
Note that David Villa is out injured.

Fri02/09/05FRISpain2 - 1CanadaMore info
Tue28/02/06FRISpain3 - 2Côte d'IvoireMore info
Fri26/05/06FRISpain0 - 0RussiaMore info
Fri02/06/06FRISpain2 - 0EgyptMore info
Tue10/10/06FRISpain2 - 1ArgentinaMore info
Wed15/11/06FRISpain0 - 1RomaniaMore info
Wed06/02/08FRISpain1 - 0FranceMore info
Wed26/03/08FRISpain1 - 0ItalyMore info
Sat31/05/08FRISpain2 - 1PeruMore info
Wed04/06/08FRISpain1 - 0United StatesMore info
Wed19/11/08FRISpain3 - 0ChileView eventsMore info
Wed11/02/09FRISpain2 - 0EnglandView eventsMore info
Sat14/11/09FRISpain2 - 1ArgentinaView eventsMore info
Sat29/05/10FRISpain3 - 2Saudi ArabiaView eventsMore info
Thu03/06/10FRISpain1 - 0Korea RepublicView eventsMore info
Tue08/06/10FRISpain6 - 0PolandView eventsMore info
Wed09/02/11FRISpain1 - 0ColombiaView eventsMore info
Fri02/09/11FRISpain3 - 2Chile

At home it's a different ball game. Only one defeat in friendlies since 2001! Astounding. 6 clean sheets in last 9 home matches.David Villa has been a regular goalscorer for Spain in friendlies. Surely they are too good in all areas? Pedro for instance is equally as lethal, and David Silva has been scoring as well for Spain.

Sat26/03/11FRIJamaica0 - 2VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Wed30/03/11FRIMexico1 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu02/06/11FRIGuatemala0 - 2VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Tue07/06/11FRIVenezuela0 - 3SpainView eventsMore info
Sun07/08/11FRIEl Salvador2 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu11/08/11FRIHonduras2 - 0VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Fri02/09/11FRIVenezuela0 - 1ArgentinaView eventsMore info
Wed07/09/11FRIVenezuela2 - 1GuineaView eventsMore info
Thu22/12/11FRIVenezuela0 - 2Costa RicaView eventsMore info
Sun22/01/12FRIUnited States1 - 0VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu26/01/12FRIMexico3 - 1Venezuela

A total contrast with venezuela  home and away in friendlies.Have failed to score in 4 of last 6.

Thu18/11/10FRIEcuador4 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu17/03/11FRIArgentina4 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Sat26/03/11FRIJamaica0 - 2VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Wed30/03/11FRIMexico1 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu02/06/11FRIGuatemala0 - 2VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Sun07/08/11FRIEl Salvador2 - 1VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu11/08/11FRIHonduras2 - 0VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Sun22/01/12FRIUnited States1 - 0VenezuelaView eventsMore info
Thu26/01/12FRIMexico3 - 1Venezuela

REcent wins against the might of, erm, Jamaica and Guatemala.
Spain should convert that 1.16 into goals. As this is a friendly, they will probably take their foot off the gas if 2 or 3 are scored, and look to concentrate on not conceding. Obvious chance for scoreline to nil. Inplay, note the Spain v Costa Rica match . 2-0 down and backable at much better odds. Please, Spain, let Venezuela go 2-0 up because I'll be backing the Spanish at better odds all day long.

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