HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
1130am - Breda v PSV - 1.59 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
1130am - CSKA Sofia v Kaliakra - 1.11 home
1pm - Leverkusen (W) v Duisburg (W) - 1.06 away
115pm - Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.81 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 14.01.2012 | PR | Celtic FC | 2-1 | Dundee United | |
| 04.12.2011 | PR | Dundee United | 0-1 | Celtic FC | |
| 13.08.2011 | PR | Celtic FC | 5-1 | Dundee United | |
| 01.05.2011 | PR | Celtic FC | 4-1 | Dundee United | |
| 13.02.2011 | PR | Dundee United | 1-3 | Celtic FC | |
| 20.11.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 1-1 | Dundee United |
Scottish Cup and the market expects a tight game like last 2. Dundee beat Rangers 2-0 to get this meeting with Celtic.
Celtic have only conceded 1 goal in their last 6 Scottish cup matches, so the inference is that they are to be the first goalscorers. I expect Celtic to get through somehow and perhaps the clean sheet is the angle in for CEltic and correct scores in what will hopefully be a tight match early on.
130pm - Ajax v Waalwijk - 1.23 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
130pm - Feyenoord v Utrecht - 1.38 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
2pm - AC Milan v Lecce - 1.23 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 23.10.2011 | D1 | US Lecce | 3-4 | AC Milan | |
| 16.01.2011 | D1 | US Lecce | 1-1 | AC Milan | |
| 29.08.2010 | D1 | AC Milan | 4-0 | US Lecce | |
| 05.04.2009 | D1 | AC Milan | 2-0 | US Lecce |
No head to heads in 2011 yet at Milan.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 18th. Juve face a tough away fixture this afternoon. Ideal time for Milan to increase the gap at the top
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AC MILAN
RECENT HOME FORM - DDWWWWWWLWDD - faltered last 4 home matches with the sole loss v Inter Milan 0-1 and draws at home to 2nd and 4th. All wins have come against 8th and lower. All dropped points have come against 8th and higher at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWLDWWDW - only 4 defeats this season, all coming against top 8 sides home and away. 9 matches played home and away against bottom 7, all wins and a good chance 2+ goals will be scored.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs /unders this season for AC Milan at home. Average 0.5 goals conceded. HAve failed to score in only 2 matches at home this season. Concede 73% of goals away from home. Ibra and Nocerino the key goalscorers at home.
STREAKS - 5 overall without defeat.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Lecce
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLDLWLLDLWLDW - against top 9, Lecce have lost all away matches and against those outside top 9, they have gained their positive results. Conceded 2-4 goals away to top 9. yet to play top 3 away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDLLWDWLDDWWD - only 1 defeat in 9 matches for Lecce but remember , 10 defeats and a win against top 9 home and away suggests this recent solid run has come against teams outside the top 9.
GOAL TRENDS - 54% overs away from home. All 4 defeats away to top 7 have been over 2.5 goals and have seen Lecce score at least one - will that continue against a top 3 side?
STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - immediately it seems that Lecce will lost against top 9, AC will win against bottom 5 and score 2+ goals, with Lecce conceding 2-4 goals and perhaps scoring.
I cannot see a shock here. If Ibra is in the form he was in last week, I would load up on over 3.5/4.5 goals as a trading option, made even sweeter if Lecce can score as they have against top 8 sides they have played away this season.
2pm - Genoa v Juventus - 1.98 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
2pm - Man Utd v West Brom - 1.32 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 14.08.2011 | PR | West Bromwich | 1-2 | Manchester United | |
| 01.01.2011 | PR | West Bromwich | 1-2 | Manchester United | |
| 16.10.2010 | PR | Manchester United | 2-2 | West Bromwich | |
| 27.01.2009 | PR | West Bromwich | 0-5 | Manchester United |
Talk about tight between these 2 - too tight to be backing United at 1.32?
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 12th - Woy has done a weally gweat job bwinging West Bwom to welative safety fwom welegation. United 2 points behind a City side away to Swansea ( hard to beat at home) .
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man Utd
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWLWDWWLWWW - 2 defeats against City and Blackburn and have been ropey at home in Europe recently. Signs of vulnerability.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLLWWWDWWW - last draw a 3-3 with Chelsea United had no right to draw. United have conceded in 5 of last 6, won 4 and drawn 1 of those.United have been scoring around 2 goals in matches against teams near to West Brom in the league.
GOAL TRENDS - 69% overs at home. United have scored in all home matches. 10 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals. United have failed to score in only 1 match this season.United have conceded only 2 goals in the first 1/2 hour of matches this season ( scoring 18) and have conceded only 6 in the first half this season ( scoring 28). Surely if there is to be a goal in the first half, United are to be the scorers. 78% of United goals are scored in the 2nd half. They score first in 82% of matches. Strangely Berbatov is the 2nd highest scorer at home for United.
STREAKS - 3 match home winning streak.Have scored in last 13 at home, and last 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - West Brom
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLDWLDWWLWDW - inconsistent away from home. Have lost 3 of 4 away to 3rd, 4th, 5th - a bridge too far?
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDLLLWDLWWW - great recent form sees a win at home v Chelsea and Sunderland without conceding. Can they transfer this defensive strength away from home? If they can, then they can keep UNited at bay and try to nick a 1-0.REcord against top 4 home and away is 4 losses and a 0-0 home draw v Man City. Away to 3rd and 4th, West BRom did not score.
GOAL TRENDS - 69% overs away from home identical to United at home. 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals.Clean sheets in last 2 matches ( home). Odemwingie the main man away from home. IF he does not play, United become a strong bet.
STREAKS - Have conceded in last 11 away matches. Current 3 match winning streak.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - first thing that stands out is the 62% overs at home for the home side and away for the away side. Will this continue today? United have scored in all home matches so expect a goal at some point. United likely to concede 2nd half. West BRom more than capable of spoiling and nicking a 1-0 ( that would see them playing to their optimum away, but as I just said, United tend to score at home).
Against top 4, West Brom tend to lose. Over 2.5 goals, perhaps a 2-1, 2-0 scoreline for United.
2pm - Swansea v Man City - 1.68 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 15.08.2011 | PR | Manchester City | 4-0 | Swansea City |
Despite being 0-0 at half time, this was as one sided as it gets. I would not be surprised were this 0-0 at halftime today.
LEAGUE POSITION - 15th v 1st - Swans win and they could be on the cusp of the top 10.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - swansea
RECENT HOME FORM - DDWWWLDWDDWDL - only 2 home defeats, 0-1 v United and 2-3 v Norwich where Swansea scored first.1-1 draw v Spurs and Chelsea and 3-2 home win over Arsenal. Swans are capable of something at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDLDDWWLDWLLW - 3 of last 4 wins have come away . Swans were 2-1 up at home v Arse, 1-0 up at home til 90th minute v Chelsea so this is their strength.Far better against top teams at home , than away( 5 losses and 2 0-0 draws away to top 10)
GOAL TRENDS - 31% overs at home. 0.76 conceded on average. 64% of points earned at home. 60% of goals scored at home. Graham and Sinclair the "must plays" at home with 7 goals each at home.
STREAKS - Have scored and conceded in last 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man City
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDWWWDLDLWLW - City will lose the title away from home you feel. Lost their way of late but come good with 2 wins , both 0-1 against Wigan and Villa, and you get with these scorelines an indication of that managers think when City visit. Keep it tight and hope we nick a 1-0, which goes out the window if City score first. City have won all away v bottom 8 ( where Swans reside).
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWWDLWWWLWWWW - 8 wins in last 9 matches for City sees them in imperious form. 5 wins at home scoring 2+, 2 wins away scoring 1 and a 1-0 loss v Everton. In fact, away, recently, City have scored 0-0-1-0-1
GOAL TRENDS - 54% overs away from home. 2.08 scored and 1 conceded away on average but as you can see, this has changed recently. City have conceded only 1 goal in the first half hour of matches this season and conceded only 4 in the first half.
STREAKS- 9 overall without a draw. City's big streaks all occur at home.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - City's 0-0-1-0-1 scored in last 5 matches away is a concern to them, because it will mean 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 pretty much .And in Swansea we have a team who keep United to 1-0, and who have only lost 2 this season at home. 0-0 is a back to lay if the ultra defensive Swans turn up today. I would back City at half time if this is 0-0. 0-1 perhaps a starter , or 1-1 as trading angles in.
As to goals, well I would err on the side of unders here
Lay Swansea at the start of the match for the first 1/2 hour as City have only conceded 1 goal in that half hour. Get out at the 1/2 hour mark if still 0-0. Hope City score in that 1/2 hour.
315pm - Olympiakos v Aris Thes. - 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 05.11.2011 | D1 | Aris Salonica | 2-3 | Olympiakos Pireus | |
| 12.02.2011 | D1 | Aris Salonica | 1-2 | Olympiakos Pireus | |
| 24.10.2010 | D1 | Olympiakos Pireus | 1-0 | Aris Salonica | |
| 16.05.2010 | D1PO | Olympiakos Pireus | 0-0 | Aris Salonica | |
| 28.04.2010 | D1PO | Aris Salonica | 2-0 | Olympiakos Pireus | |
| 18.04.2010 | D1 | Olympiakos Pireus | 2-1 | Aris Salonica |
Oly have struggled at home last 2 matches.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 7th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Oly
RECENT HOME FORM - WWDDWWWWWWWW - draws against 2nd and 8th - all bar one win at home came via 2+ goals scored. 1-1 v 2nd, 1-0 v 4th, 2-2 v 8th , 2-1 v 9th hints at Oly perhaps having a match on today against 7th? ( this is borne out too by head to heads)
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWWDWLWWWWW - last2 defeats came away from home. Have scored 2+ in the last 5 matches without conceding a single goal.
GOAL TRENDS - 50% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches this season. 0.5 conceded on average at home. 8 of last 10 matches under 2.5 goals. Clean sheets in 12 of last 14 matches.Have failed to score in only 3 this season, all away matches.
STREAKS - 8 match home winning streak. No defeat in 12 at home, 7 overall. Have scored in last 12 at home and 5 consecutive clean sheets overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Aris Thes
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLWLLLDDWWD - 0-0's away to 3rd and 4th ( are 1st and 2nd a step up?). Lost 3-0 away to 5th. Have not scored in 4 away matches against top 6 . 3 wins away have come against 8th, 9th and 16th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWDDWWWDDW - good recent form but only 1 match against top 4 was a 0-0 away at PAOK. Aris have conceded 1-0-0-1-0-0-1-1-1-0-1-0-0 recently. talk about typically greek!!
Against top 5 overall, they have conceded 3-1-1-0-1-0-0-3-1 .
3 against Oly at home and 3 against AEK away but generally tight as....!
GOAL TRENDS - 25% overs away from home. 1 in every 4 match away ends over 2.5 goals. 3 in every 4 ends over 2.5 goals. 11 of last 13 matches under 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in 50% of away matches and all away matches played against top 6 so far this season.
STREAKS - no defeat in 5 away and 9 overall. No goal conceded in 3 of the last 4 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - surely 0-0 is a goer here ( relying on Aris keeping it tight, and Oly -with 12 clean sheets in last 14 - keeping it tight. I see a concerted 0-0 and an eventual Oly breakthrough. Aris have not scored away v top 6 yet either and have failed to score in 1/2 away matches.
Again their price is layable but I ask " will the price rise with a 0-0 adequately enough and quickly enough to allow a profitable trade" and my answer? No. BUT if 0-0 at halftime, we should see the price rise enough to make it backable.
NIGGLE - 2-3 last time out in head to heads.
This could easily be a 1-0, 0-0, 2-0 kind of match.
330pm - De Graafschap v AZ Alkmaar - 1.42 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
4pm - Norwich v Wigan - 1.88 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 13.08.2011 | PR | Wigan Athletic | 1-1 | Norwich City | |
| 09.04.2004 | LCh | Norwich City | 2-0 | Wigan Athletic | |
| 04.10.2003 | LCh | Wigan Athletic | 1-1 | Norwich City |
Only 1 head to head of relevance sees 1-1. And the market favours Norwich today with home advantage.
LEAGUE POSITION - 13th v 20th. 3 points more will seal survival for Delia's boys. Wigan could actually get out of the bottom 3 with a win, with QPR and Wolves both losing yesterday. This makes this match difficult to read as it is a " relegation dog fight match" for one of the teams today.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Norwich
RECENT HOME FORM - DLWWDLWWLDDWL - 3 out of 4 defeats at home have come against the top 4. 4 matches played against bottom 6 at home sees 3 wins and a 3-3 draw with Blackburn. These lower table clashes are punctuated by largely over 2.5 goals.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDLDWWDLWWLL - the recent match v United showed you everything about Norwich. Unlucky to lose to a Giggs 90th minute winner.11 goals scored in last 4 matches and 9 of them 2nd half goals which hints at a defensive first half.
GOAL TRENDS - 54% overs at home. 5 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. 6 matches played home and away against bottom 4, with these total goals - 2-3-3-3-4-2 - hints at over 2.5 goals. 5 of the matches saw both teams score.
STREAKS - 5 overall without a draw. Major streaks occur away from home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wigan.
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLLLLWWLDLLW - 3 wins away against Sunderland, West Brom and Bolton ( all teams which seem to fit in with Norwich i.e CHampionship type sides). All wins 1-2. Wigan have scored in 7 of last 8 away matches. So inconsistent are Wigan that we see then beat team above Norwich 1-2 away and lose 0-2 to the team below Norwich in the league.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDDLDLLLLDWDL - only 1 win in last 12 matches was 1-2 away to Bolton.
GOAL TRENDS - 77% overs away from home. 0.92 scored and 2.15 conceded on average away. Wigan have scored only 2 goals in the first half hour of matches. Again lay them for this first half hour as the home team will be most likely to score. Only 4 clean sheets this season.
STREAKS - Have conceded in last 12 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this is a tough game to call as wigan could play above themselves today with their 2 nearest rivals both losing yesterday. This is a great opportunity to get out of the relegation zone. But Norwich are good at home. 3 out of 4 defeats have come against top 4 sides.. Have not lost any matches played against bottom 4 teams but tend to concede when winning/drawing.
THis may lead to a 1-1 trading start and a hint both sides will score. ( Lay the first goalscorers in the hope the scoreline goes 1-1 instead of 2-0!). Over 2.5 goals could come in, particularly with Wigan's strong away goal trends.
Lay Wigan in the first half hour of matches. They have scored only 2 goals. Hope Norwich score in that half hour, as they are most likely too based on the stats.
5pm - Santander v Barcelona - 1.24 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 15.10.2011 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 3-0 | Racing Santander | |
| 22.01.2011 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 3-0 | Racing Santander | |
| 29.08.2010 | D1 | Racing Santander | 0-3 | FC Barcelona | |
| 20.02.2010 | D1 | FC Barcelona | 4-0 | Racing Santander | |
| 22.09.2009 | D1 | Racing Santander | 1-4 | FC Barcelona | |
| 01.02.2009 | D1 | Racing Santander | 1-2 | FC Barcelona |
Comprehensive consistent wins of late at home and away, scoring 3+ goals regularly.
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 2nd. It's season over really for Barca this season - 13 points behind Real Madrid.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Racing
RECENT HOME FORM - DDDLWLWDWLDDD - only 3 defeats at home v 4th, 12th and 15th. Have played 7 matches at home against the top 11, losing that match against 4th and drawing 6 others, including 0-0 v 1st, 5th, 9th and 11th, and a 2-2 draw v 3rd. This makes the 1.24 a little short ?
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDDWWLDDDLDL - last 2 defeats came away from home, with Real gaining revenge with a 4-0 home win.
GOAL TRENDS - 23% overs at home. 0.69 scored, 0.76 conceded at home on average.Very strong unders trend of late. HAve conceded 4 goals in each of last 2 away matches.
STREAKS - 3 match home drawing streak. 4 at home without a win, 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Barca
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWWDLWDWDLW - defeats away have come against 7th and 15th and those dropped 6 points , along with 5 draws away, pretty much accounts for the gap between them and Real Madrid at the top. It is the away form which has ended Barca's domestic season. Scorelines of 0-0 and 0-1 against 17th and 19th away, and playing 18th today.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDWWDWLWWW - recent loss away to OSasuna 3-2 and last 2 draws away from home too.
GOAL TRENDS - 58% overs away from home. 13 of last 16 matches over 2.5 goals. 4 of last 6 away matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 3 this season. Barca score first in 68% of matches, that stat usually is 90+% in previous seasons.
STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - there is an argument for a contrarian view today. barca away are poor this season, and against teams near Racing we see 0-0 and 0-1. Racing have drawn most matches against the top teams at home. They are in the mess they're in because of the 2 dropped points for every draw.
Barca layable initially ( although this price will only produce the goods with a Racing goal and is unlikely to move much at 0-0), so perhaps 0-0 is best here, to back to lay and stay in for as long as you dare. Under 2.5 goals should offer value. It is always a risk with Barca ( Messi et al could just click). There is a cogent argument though for Racing being tough to beat at home this season.
615pm - Pacos Ferreira v Benfica - 1.42 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
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