1245pm -
Dundee Utd v Rangers - 2.6 away - as rare as an honest politician , these kinds of odds about Old Firm against non Old Firm.
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 2nd. 21 points behind Celtic.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Dundee United
RECENT HOME FORM - DDLLWLDWLWLDDWW - have lost 0-1 at home to 1st and 2nd , and a 1-1 v 3rd. Other defeats against 8th and 12th at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDLLDWDWWW - 6 match unbeaten run for Dundee United, coupled with tight matches against Old Firm, and perhaps we get a reason why Rangers are 2.6 away from home.Last 2 defeats were 2-1. 4 defeats home and away v top 2.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home. Alternate overs /unders of late. Have kept a clean sheet in last 4 matches.
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak, 3 overall. No defeat in 4 at home and 6 overall. 4 match clean sheet.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Rangers
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWWWWWLWLLWWW - no draw away for Rangers. Defeats against 1st, 7th and 9th ( 1st and 7th were 0-1 losses)
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWLLWWDWWLWL - 2 home defeats, the only 2 this season at home, came in last 2 matches - a reaction to off the field problems?Rangers have scored 2-4-4 last 3 away matches and also conceded in each. Not bad form
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs 0.57 conceded away from home on average. Rangers have conceded 3 only in first 1/2 hour of matches. 15 scored in first 1/2 hour and a massive 26 scored in first 1/2 hour of 2nd half so bear that in mind with any 0-0 halftime scored.
STREAKS - 14 away without a draw, 5 overall. Have conceded in last 5 away and last 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Dundee United have not beaten the Old Firm at home. want that to continue? Well then 2.6 for Rangers is a great price. 6 match unbeaten run and recent cup win over Rangers see Dundee in great form. BUT Rangers have scored 10 in their last 3 matches away.
I see another tight match again today , unders the option.
1245pm -
Everton v Sunderland - 1.99 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Everton at home have won 2-0 and scored against Sunderland in last 6 meetings.
EVERTON RECENT FORM OVERALL FA CUP
Up for the cup. Historical tight matches against Chelsea/United. Have scored 2 in last 3 home matches.
EVERTON RECENT FORM HOME CUP
An ability to score 2/3 regularly and then there was that dodgy run in the middle. Which Everton turns up today? And note only 1 draw.
SUNDERLAND RECENT FORM OVERALL FA CUP
Under O'Neill we might see a continuation of Sunderland's 2012 Cup form and, again, a
SUNDERLAND RECENT FORM AWAY
No away draw in the FA Cup, well not quite right as 2 matches have been won in extra time by Sunderland. They have generally scored away from home.
No real draws for Everton and Sunderland have had 2 draws in last 3.
Everton have won last 2 meetings at home. THis could be on the cusp of over 2.5 goals but not quite. Tough to call.
230pm -
Dortmund v W Bremen - 1.39 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Frustratingly just near over 2.5 goals last 3 times. At home, Dortmund scoring 2 and in 3 of last 4, Dortmund scored 2.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 6th Nice gap developing between Dortmund and Bayern at the top. They would want that pressure to remain with another 3 points.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Dortmund
RECENT HOME FORM - WWLWWWWDWWWW - single defeat at home came early season and since then, Dortmund have dominated. Sole draw 1-1 v bottom side.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDDWWWWWWWWD - 3 of last 4 draws came away from home. NO defeat in 19.
GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs at home. 2.66 scored on average. 0.66 conceded on average. only 2 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. Those 2 were when Dortmund conceded at least one goal. Have failed to score in only 3 matches this season. Have only conceded 4 goals in the first half of matches this season, scoring 23. Concede 75% of goals in 2nd half. Score first in 76% of matches.
Lewandowski and Kagawa key goalscorers at home.
STREAKS - 4 match home winning streak. No defeat in 19 overall. HAve scored in last 12 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Werder Bremen
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDLDWLLLDDWL - all bar one of 6 away defeats have come against top 8 conceding 4 - 5-5-1-3. Only 1 win in last 7 away
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLDDDDWLLW - 2 recent wins against 8th and 14th but have not beaten any of top 5 this season home or away.
GOAL TRENDS - 62% overs away from home. More likely to see goals from the overs kings away from home. Concede an average 2 per game.Concede 68% of goals in 2nd half. So watch out for goal action 2nd half if there is none first half. Only 3 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 3 away. No draw in 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Dortmund tend to score 2 in recent matches against Werder. 67% and 62% overs signals potential for successful overs trade ( note I said trade, not bet, as we can profit from 2 goals dependent on the time of 2nd goal). 75% and 68% of goals scored in 2nd half. Delayed entry into overs market therefore in the hope of a barren opening to the game? Strong unders trend at present in recent matches from both teams suggests 2 goals could occur, but 3 not guaranteed. Werder have lost 5 in 5 against top 8 away.
230pm -
Hamburg v Freiburg - 1.9 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm -
Deportivo v Alcoyano - 1.36 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm -
Fulham v Swansea - 1.92 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 11th. Identical points.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Fulham
RECENT HOME FORM - DDDWLLWWLWWDWW - defeats v 1st, 3rd and 9th at home. Superb recent run at home sees wins v Arsenal, Newcastle, Stoke and Wolves scoring 2-5-2-5. New man Pogrebnyak in the goals.
Only 1 defeat in last 7 home matches.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLDDWLWDLWWWL - last 3 defeats came away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs at home. Score 78% of their goals at home. Score 65% of goals in 2nd half.
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak. No defeat in 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Swansea
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLDDLDLWLWLW - wins away v 14th, 15th and 20th so surely advantage Fulham? Although they have beaten Fulham at home 2-0 this season. Against top 9, have failed to score in 6 of 7 away matches.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDWWLDWLLWW - 2 of last 3 wins away, weaker opponents? Only 1 draw in last 9.
GOAL TRENDS - 43% overs away from home.Only 3 of last 14 matches over 2.5 goals. 2/3rd of Swan's points come at home.
STREAKS - no draw in 6 away and 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it would seem advantage Fulham here, as Swans have only beaten 3 away , albeit 2 recently, 14th and below in the league. headscratcher because they beat Fulham 2-0 this season at home. Goal trends inconclusive. Only 3 of last 14 overs for Swans v 64% overs at home for Fulham. Fulham are likely to score today - they have scored 78% of goals at home. Scored 2-5-2-5 in last 4 home wins. Advantage Fulham.
3pm -
Leeds v West Ham - 2.72 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm -
Wigan v West Brom - 2.68 away
HEAD TO HEADS
Wigan need a positive result as they have managed in recent head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 20th v 14th. A win take Wigan out of the bottom 3 ( prevalent on other results). West Brom on 35 points are safe.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wigan
RECENT HOME FORM - DWLLLDLDDLLDDL - only 1 win at home was against 3rd bottom QPR and 2nd home match of season. Emphasis on defending not paying off with 0-1 loss to City, 1-1 draw with Everton ( both goals 76th minute+), 0-0 v Villa and 0-2 loss to Swansea ( 45th and 54th minute).
RECENT FORM OVERALL- DDLDLLLLDWDLD - only 4 wins all season saw 3 away.
GOAL TRENDS - 36% overs at home. 4 of last 5 matches under 2.5 goals. Have scored only 2 goals in the first 1/2 hour of matches this season.
STREAKS - 12 at home without a win.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - WBA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLDWLDWWLWDWL - 4 out of 5 away defeats have come against top 5 sides suggesting Wigan will be frustrated again today? Against bottom 9 away, WBA have beaten 5 and drawn 1 1-1.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDLLLWDLWWWL - good recent form. Last loss was away to United.
GOAL TRENDS -64% overs away from home. 5 of last 8 matches overs. 60% of points earned away.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 12 away - no draw in 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Wigan will want a positive result today as they have in recent head to heads. Only 1 win at home though.12 at home without a win.
36% overs and 64% overs suggests goal trends are not in line. Only scored 2 in first half hour all season. Lay Wigan for 1/2 hour and hope they struggle to score and WBA score?
WBA strong. Unbeaten against bottom 9, all bar 1 defeat v top 5 away.
They have conceded last 12 away which is interesting. 1-1 a start angle?Wigan's record is poor at home and WBA's strong away, so advantage WBA, but the " desparation" factor might tell for Wigan , who I suspect will keep a clean sheet for most of the 1st half as they have done ( before eventually succumbing).
5pm -
Parma v AC Milan - 1.71 away
HEAD TO HEADS
I've seen this before. A team scoring 4 against a team twice, yet priced at 1.71 only. And they tend to win again.
LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 1st
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Parma
RECENT HOME FORM - WLWLWWWDDDWDLD - defeats against 4th, 6th and 12th . 0-0 draw with 2nd.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDDDLWDDWDLDLDD - plenty of draws , the last 3 score draws. Only 2 wins in 16 matches
GOAL TRENDS - 62% overs at home. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored and conceded in last 4 matches.
STREAKS - 3 without a win at home, 6 overall. Have scored and conceded in last 4 matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AC Milan
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWWDWDWWWLWWW - all defeats away have come against top 4 . And they have scored 2+ in all of the other matches bar 1.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLWWLDWWDWW - only 4 defeats all season.
GOAL TRENDS - 57% overs away from home. Average 2.03 goals scored all season .Ibra the key player away from home
STREAKS - 3 match winning streak away and 7 away without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this must be AC's to lose surely with Parma winning only 2 in last 16 matches. AC Milan score an average 2 a game away and overall and have only been beaten by top 4 away. Parma have scored and conceded in last 4 matches so pay attention if Parma take the lead as it should not last. Goals? Well this could as easily turn out a 0-2 as a 1-4 as has occured last 2. Perhaps speculators could go over 4.5 goals again and hope for a return to big goals. If Ibra doesn't play, this will compromised AC Milan goals.
530pm -
H Berlin v B Munich - 1.38 away
HEAD TO HEADS
Strong possibility of more goals , although the goal count does diminish when Munich visit rather than host.
LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 2nd - must win for Bayern
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Hertha
RECENT HOME FORM - LWDWDLDLLLLW - Have lost at home to 1st 3rd, 4th, 8th and 9th
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDLLLLLLWL - sole recent win a 1-0 home win against Werder Bremen.
GOAL TRENDS - 50% overs at home. Have failed to score in 6 of the last 8 matches. Have kept a clean sheet in only 4 matches this season. Only 4 overs in last 11 matches down largely to losing and an inability to score.
STREAKS - 5 at home without a draw, 8 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bayern
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWDLWLWLDDL - far less effective away from home. Defeats against 3rd, 5th, 8th and 11th. Draws against 12th, 14th and 17th. Have beaten 15th and 18th away from home and playing 16th today. Unlikely to lose against bottom 4 away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWLWDWDWLW - all dropped points recently have come away from home.Against bottom 7 home and away, no defeats
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from home. Only 35% of Bayern points earned away from home. Only 1 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. BAyern have failed to score in their last 2 away matches.
STREAKS - 4 away without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads see Bayern scoring 2-3 or 4 . 1.38 relays optimism today but Bayern are obviously poorer away from home, having failed to win last 4 away and failing to score in last 2 away. Hertha have lost at home to 1st, 3rd and 4th ( playing 2nd today). Having failed to score in 6 of last 8 matches, it would seem a 0-0 would be their only way for points if this poor goalscoring run continues. 50/50 for both sides so toss of a coin really re overs. Will BAyern score 2+ and Will Hertha fail to score again ( indeed with Bayern fail to score again away?)
0-0 might be a good back to lay trade for as long as you dare?
530pm -
Tottenham v Bolton - 1.3 home
FA CUP match so I am not really sure of the relevance of Premiership form on what is deemed, today, a one off Cup match.
6pm -
Fenerbahce v Galatasaray - 2.32 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
6pm -
Marseille v Dijon - 1.43 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
7pm -
Sevilla v Barcelona - 1.4 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 2nd -only an implosion will stop Real winning the title. 0-0 last time no surprise for readers of the research I did.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sevilla
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWDLLWLDLWD - a fair spanking by Real at home, but wins over 3rd, 4th and 6th could see Sevilla competitive enough
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLDDLLLWWDL - pretty poor recent form with only 2 recent wins against 3rd and 6th.
GOAL TRENDS - 62% overs at home. have scored against all of the top 8 at home.
STREAKS - have scored in last 3 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Barca
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWWDLWDWDLWW - defeats against 6th and 13th and 5 draws, 4 of which were score draws.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDWWDWLWWWW - all other-than-wins came away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 54% overs away from home. Have scored 2 in last 3 away matches. Failed to score in only 3 this season. Strong trend overs of late.
STREAKS - 4 match winning streak overall. No draw in 6 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Barca are more likely to score than not,, and that's the starting point. Failing to score in only 3 this season. Sevilla have beaten 3rd 4th and 6th at home but lost to Real. It's a short price, but as ever with Barca, a concerted 0-0 will not affect any lay. I would hope for Sevilla to score first and lay them or back Barca.
745pm -
Fiorentina v Juventus - 2.06 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
SUNDAY
1130am -
ADO Den Haag v Ajax - 1.51 away
HEAD TO HEADS
Ajax have scored 2 and 4 in their last 2 matches.
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 2nd. Ajax leapt to 2nd placed.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - ADO Den Haag
RECENT HOME FORM - DLLWWDWWDLDD - defeats against 1st, 4th and 8th , and draws v 5th, 7th and 9th. 5th and 7th 0-0's. All wins have come against 10th and below.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLDLLDDLDW - only 1 win in last 9 - no wins against top 5 - 6 defeats and 1 draw. ADO failed to scored in 6 matches home and away against top 5.
GOAL TRENDS - 42% overs at home. 4 unders in last 5. 2 consecutive clean sheets likely to end today.
STREAKS - 4 at home without a win.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Ajax
RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWDLWLWWDLWW - only 3 defeats away v 6th, 11th and 15th. Matches against 15th-18th inclusive totalled 10,4,5,5 goals.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWDLLWWWWW - only 4 defeats all season . Have scored 2-4-4-4-3 in last 5 matches.
GOAL TRENDS - 69% overs away from home. 2.46 scored on average at home.Last 4 matches overs. Failed to score in only 2 this season.
STREAKS - 5 match winning streak overall. No draw in 7 overall. Have scored in last 8 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - with Ajax failing to score in only 2 this season, they are expected to score again. Note the total goals against 15th-18th inclusive. Perhaps take the average ( 6) and go with over 4.5 / 5.5 goals .ADO have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches against top 5 teams so look perhaps to a win to nil for Ajax.
1pm -
Panionios v Doxa Dramas - 1.5 home - oh my boys Doxa are out again to set another record for dull defensive football.
HEAD TO HEADS
0-0 .... that'll be about right!
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 16th ( bottom)
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Panionis
RECENT HOME FORM - DLLLLWLWWWDL - all defeats have come against all top 5 and 7th. Suggests that worse case draw today against bottom.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLWLWLDLLW - home and away to top 5, Panionis have lost the lot. Other defeats have been against 7th at home, and 9th and 15th away ( both 0-1 defeats). So, again despite apparently poor form, we must acknowledge that 9 of the defeats this season have come against top 5 teams and Doxa are as far away from the top 5 as possible .
GOAL TRENDS - 58% overs at home. 11 of last 12 matches have been under 2.5 goals.Have failed to score in 3 of last 5.
STREAKS - no major streaks .
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Doxa
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLDLLLWLLL - only 1 win away was a 0-2 v 13th . HAve failed to score in 9 away matches against top 12 sides
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLLWWLLWLLL - 3 of last 4 wins have come at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 25% overs away from home. 0.37 scored on average this season
STREAKS - 14 overall without a draw, 7 away. FAiled to score in last 2 matches away and last 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Doxa unlikely to score again - they failed to do so in 9 away v top 12. Your angles start with that. 0-0 last time out ( back it again to lay off after 30 mins or so?) 1-0, 2-0 likely scorelines? Panionis generally lose against top 5, so they are expected to get something against the rest.
130pm -
PSV v Heerenveen - 1.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Strong overs trend just on head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 5th and both have identical points.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSV
RECENT HOME FORM - WWDWWWWWWWWL - sole defeat at home v Twente (3rd) 2-6. Only draw and loss v top 3 sides. But playing 5th today, who seem, this season, well matched.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWDWLWLL - 2 defeats came away from home. Cause for concern with 3 of last 4 matches defeats.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs at home. 3.33 scored at home. Have scored in all matches at home. Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 2 this season.
STREAKS - 9 at home without a draw. HAve scored in last 12 at home . Have conceded in last 9 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Heerenveen
RECENT AWAY FORM - LDWDWWDWWWDD - only 1 defeat away was against Ajax in 2nd. Draw 3-3 v AZ. And playing 4th today.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLWWWWWDDW - 3 defeats, all 5-1, against 2nd away, 3rd at home and 4th at home.Score draws away v 6th and 7th.
GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs away from home. 2,17 scored on average away. Only 3 overs in last 8 matches. Have only failed to score in one this season. Have kept 5 clean sheets in last 8 but note the concessions against top 5 teams.
STREAKS - 11 away without defeat., 8 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - generally 4 goals in head to heads when these 2 meet. PSV have only failed to score in 2 this season, Heerenveen in 1 so the expectation is that both sides can contribute to over 3.5 /4.5 goals for the speculator? Because both teams are tightly matched, perhaps neutral goals bet a better idea?
130pm -
Sint Truiden v Anderlecht - 1.36 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
130pm -
Twente v Feyenoord - 1.6 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
130pm -
Wolves v Man Utd - 1.37 away
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION - 19th v 1st - Tight in last 2 encounters but how will Wolves hold up, shaky on confidence and with Des O'Connor at the helm.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wolves
RECENT HOME FORM - WLLLDWWLDLLLLL - wins against 8th, 10th and 20th.Have lost all 4 v top 7 at home, conceding 2+
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDDDLDLLWLDLL - only 1 win in last 14 matches. 11 matches played home and away v top 7, and Wolves have not won any.
GOAL TRENDS - 79% overs at home. 2.14 conceded on average at home. 6 of last 7 matches overs.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 13 at home and last 25 overall. Are they really likely to break that habit against Man Utd? 5 match losing streak at home. No win in 7 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man utd
RECENT AWAY FORM - -WWDDWWWWWLWDWW - sole loss away v 6th. Have beaten 4th bottom and 3rd bottom 0-5 and 0-2
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWLLWWWDWWWW - United have scored 2+ in their last 8 matches.
GOAL TRENDS - 57% overs away from home. Score an average 2.42 overall. Strong overs trend. Have failed to score in only 1 match this season.
STREAKS - have scored in last 8 overall No defeat in 8 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Wolves conceded and Man Utd have failed to score in only 1 this season. United average 2+ goals per match and there is nothing about Wolves which leads me to conclude they are in any shape to keep United out. Wolves have conceded 2+ in 4 matches agaisnt top teams at home, so 1-2 is a logical scoreline, 1-3, 0-2 too.
Overs obvious based on form.
2pm -
Inter v Atalanta - 1.66 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
205pm -
Chelsea v Leicester - 1.31 home - confidence is everything and Chelsea have really turned a corner.
CHELSEA
recent home form
confidence restored since the sideline squatting numbnuts has left the building. This confidence must count.
recent form overall
Again I think we should distinguish between "Villa Oh Arse" and Di Matteo.
recent fa cup form home
Since 2005 Chelsea have only lost 1 FA Cup match in 90 minutes at home
recent fa cup form overall
The last time Chelsea lost in 90 minutes overall in the FA Cup was in March 2008.
LEICESTER
recent away form
Only 1 draw recently and a few heavy defeats see Leicester in poor form.
recent form overall
Only one draw recently - this could be an angle in - lay the draw. But let's see if Leicester are different in the FA Cup.
recent fa cup form away
Again only the one draw in all away FA Cup matches since Jan 2005.
recent fa cup form overall.
recent loss v City in a replay.
I think the draw can be layed here judging by Leicester's history. And with Leicester winning only 1 in last 9, and Chelsea brimming with confidence, this should be straightforward for the home side.
3pm -
Celtic v Kilmarnock - 1.31 home
HEAD TO HEADS
All wins have been to nil, so factor that in for the League Cup
Overall, Celtic have been good in this cup. Since 2010 only losing after extra time to Rangers.
KILMARNOCK
2 of last 3 defeats in this competition v Old Firm
Lucky to get past Ayr last time out after extra time.
Goals usually flow for Celtic in the League Cup. Killy's opponents have been weak. Celtic have tended to win to nil at home in the League Cup.
330pm -
AZ Alkmaar v Breda - 1.25 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Chance both sides could score?
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 13th - if Ajax win earlier, then confidence in AZ winning should increase as Ajax will be first on goal difference.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AZ
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWWDWDW - unbeaten at home. Draws against 2nd and 5th. Wins for the rest. Score 3 in matches around Breda's.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWLDLWWLDWW - last 4 defeats came away from home. Lost 2-1 away to Breda in December 2011.
GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches this season. 2.66 scored and 0.58 conceded on average at home. Failed to score in only 4 this season. Concede 72% of goals 2nd half.
STREAKS - 12 at home without defeat, have scored in last 12 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Breda
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWLLDLLLLLL - ideal opponents from AZ's perspective. Only 1 win away from home. 2-2 draw with 2nd, 1-0 losses v 4th and 5th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLDLLLWLW - last 2 wins came at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs away from home. Concede2.08 per away match on average. HAve conceded in all away matches,
STREAKS - 6 match away losing streak. No win in 9 away. Have conceded in last 12 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - if Ajax win earlier in the day, expect an immediate response from AZ. Playing the ideal team to get 3 points from, only 1 win away for Breda.Over 2.5 goals in 3 of every 4 Breda away matches so maybe we bump it up to over 3.5 for trading purposes.
4pm -
Liverpool v Stoke - 1.44 home
FA CUP match
4pm -
Newcastle v Norwich - 1.84 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Only 1 match of relevance here saw Norwich win well.
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 13th -
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDWWLDLWWWDD - only 2 defeats against 5th and 12th.2 score draws latest against Wolves and Sunderland.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLDLWLWWLWWLDDL - 6 defeats have come away from home. Norwich are 13th, and Newcastle have 8 wins and 3 draws against 14th and below.
GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs at home. 7 overs in last 10.
STREAKS - have scored in last 6 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Norwich
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWLDLLDDWWLWL - 3 wins in last 5 against QPR, West Brom and Swansea. Defeats against Stoke and Sunderland. Have lost to 1st, 2nd and 5th away .
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDLDWWDLWWLLD - 3 of last 4 wins came away. Against top 6, 6 defeats, 1 draw and 1 win against Newcastle.
GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs away from home. Have conceded in all away matches.
STREAKS - no draw in 5 away, have conceded in last 14 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - will Norwich continue conceding away from home. If so, then bear this in mind if Norwich score first. 64% overs for both sides. Only 2 defeats for Newcastle at home and they are unbeaten against 14th and lower ( playing 13th today). 3 defeats away to top 5 fo Norwich and playing 6th today.
830pm -
Real Madrid v Malaga - 1.2 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 4th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Real Madrid
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWLWWWWWW - only loss v Barca.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWWWWWWWWWWW - not much else to say.
GOAL TRENDS - 100% overs at home. 4.15 scored on average at home. 4 clean sheets in last 6 matches. Failed to score in only 2 matches this season.Ronaldo, Higuan and Benzema the top scorers at home.
STREAKS - 6 match home winning streak, 11 overall. No draw in 22. Have scored in last 22 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Malaga
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDLLDWLLLLLW - only wins away v 13th, 15th and 18th. Have played 4 of top 8 away , losing 2-0, 3-0, 3-0, 2-0. In the recent away defeats, Malaga conceded 3-2-2-2-3 .
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLDLLWLWLWWW - 4 of last 5 wins came at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 62% overs away from home. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Scored 70% of goals in 2nd half.
STREAKS - 7 away without a draw, 9 overall. Have conceded in last 7 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - straight to the obvious, Madrid score in all home matches, average 4, and Malaga lose 2-0 or 3-0 against top 8 away. Work your goals trends around this. Looking at head to heads. Over 4.5 goals for the ultra speculative.
