9/11

Mourinho does not lose at home - FACT , so when Roma went a goal ahead, I laid them as low as 2.74 a half time for a nice enhanced bet when Inter inevitably equalised
Celtic were a superb enhanced bet - 2-1 own and backable at 5.1

145 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Qulinton, 11/8 Lady Pilot, 15/2 Yeoman Spirit, 33/1 Musical Weld.

DIOMED VERDICT: QULINTON will take some catching if jumping fluently on his chasing debut but Lady Pilot, who has the benefit of previous public experience of fences, is a serious threat.ut

Should be a 3 horse race with 2 places but another chase debut . Front 2 both 11/10 1.21 and 1.23 to place the front 2
Musical weld is 11.5 to lay to place and may be an option?


And that's it. Although there seem to be some good candidates, they are either debuting over chase fences ,or, with Chapel Flowers, a chaser going over hurdles. Big fields, heavy ground in places make this a wholly unappetising racing day for me today.

FOOTBALL
Benfica v Naval - 1.21 to win
Rock solid at home and scoring a shed load at home - 20 in 4 matches
Suffered only defeat away to Braga
Naval were beaten at home 3-1 by Porto and this is a guide as to the likely scoreline this evening.
1.19 over 1.5 goals IF Benfica have them scoring boots on

Liverpool v Brum - 1.35 to win. It seems that when Betfair put up markets for one team to have 1.5 goals+ the games do, indeed, have goals in them
Liverpool either WIN or they lose- they haven't done draws this term.
Only the one defeat at home - one win only for Brum on their travels and have lost away to 4 of the top 5 ( yet to play Chelsea) and drew 0-0 with Man City.
Arsenal beat Brum 3-1 but Arsenal are in far better form than Liverpool.
1.25 over 1.5 goals should presume Liverpool score the 2 goals. There is certainly an expectation of goals from market makers with the correct score 2 market and over 6.5 goal market on Betfair.
ONE A DAY
No need for a shortlist really today. One horse race of interest and 2 footy matches and that's it. Benfica have scored 20 in 4 games at home and 1.19 for over 1.5 goals looks the play today.