Late again thanks to a very sticky laptop. Think it may be the antivirus which leaves me frustrated daily, along with the broadband, so missed 1215 Wymott at Kelso
105 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Song Sung Blue, 13/8 There´s No Panic, 9/2 Four Strong Winds, 10/1 San Marino, 20/1 Fly Direct, Guydus, 40/1 Aztec Treasure, 50/1 Tribunel, 66/1 Miss Saffron, Roaming West, 100/1 Magical Maybe.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Song Sung Blue sets a fair standard and Four Strong Winds is sure to improve on his hurdling debut third but THERE'S NO PANIC is taken to atone for taking a tumble when favourite at Fontwell. |
The market has this between the front 3 - will they all place? If not, which one has the better chance of placing?
Song Sung Blue at present is the most fancied by the market. 1.17 to place presumes this is dominated by the front 3
140 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Forest Pennant, 4/1 Flight Leader, Mark The Book, 13/2 Starburst Diamond.
| DIOMED VERDICT: FOREST PENNANT has been schooled over fences for ages now and is taken to make a winning chasing debut, though Flight Leader is a serious threat if he's back to his best after his latest pelvic injury. |
Nicholls/Walsh rarely disappoint ( but remember Gullible Gordon fell) 1.31 to place and a 50/50 race - none can be disappointed - there are no outsiders in this 4 runner affair - faith in the jockey here? It is a nice price and I suppose is tradeable to get out at 1.15
205 ASCOT
| DIOMED VERDICT: Vino Griego could have difficulty matching the Flat-race pace of MANYRIVERSTOCROSS. |
Thornton/King on a fancied horse must be accounted for.Only 4 horses under 25/1 should be the ones to focus on for place only purposes 1.11 to place - the market likes this one
550 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Light Sleeper, 9/4 Simla Sunset, 3/1 Tejime, 13/2 Proud Linus, 14/1 Quiet Mountain, 20/1 Interchoice Star, 33/1 Charlie Allnut, Hold The Star, 66/1 Billy Cadiz, Miskin Spirit, Wacato King, 100/1 Old Firm.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Market support for newcomer Tejime or long-absent Proud Linus would be encouraging but Simla Sunset and LIGHT SLEEPER have the best 2009 form. |
Another race with 4 under 25/1 the ones to concentrate on? illiquid market
800 DUNDALK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Excelerate, 11/4 Six Of Hearts, 9/2 Settigano, 10/1 Miranda´s Girl, 12/1 King´s Bastion, 20/1 Azaboy, 25/1 Breaker Morant, 33/1 Jacks Law.
The straight 8, one strong market leader and only 3 under 20/1 but this is Ireland !!illiquid market
FOOTBALL
700 - Cambuur v Emmen 1.31 - dutch division 2 usually equals goals and this is top(pish) v bottom(ish). Cambuur have never had a game which has not had 2 goals or more -NOT in running is a great disappointment as we now only have the 2.5 goals market and match odds markets.
1.41 for over 2.5 goals - against teams in Emmen's part of the table, CAmbuur have won 3-1 , 4-1 , 4-2 so this is justified
Emmen have not played any of the top teams away from home but have been royally spanked by lower league sides away from home
SHORTLIST
Cambuur look good for the odds of 1.31 and I will seriously consider this one at the odds. Have beaten teams around Emmen in the league with ease. I would prefer the win to goals market and am very wary that this is NOT in running and thus we cannot be reactive after the first goal.
140 EXETER - Forest PEnnant - 4 horses - 2 places and 1.31 to place. ( tradeable price this one)
205 ASCOT - manyriverstocross is 1.11 to place - they're not giving anything away at all.
800 DUNDALK - worth a look nearer the race time - the market is not formed at the moment.
ONE A DAY
I am taken by Cambuur today at the odds. No obstacles to overcome! Not as solid as yesterday given the fact this is Dutch Division 2 and franky I haven't got a scoobies about this league. This is not in running either so it's pure faith in the team who should win if the stats are solid.
Forest Pennant would be my horse of interest today with a proviso that I will trade as 1.31 allows plenty of scope to trade as the race goes in running
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