Monday, 16 November 2009

16/11

No blog yesterday - I wanted a day off
late again today thatnks to conection slipping
1240 ling
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Spring Jim, 7/2 Mister Wall Street, 9/2 Shannina, 11/2 Astrolibra, 12/1 Kristallo, 14/1 Mamba, 20/1 Kirkie, 50/1 Triumphant Welcome, 100/1 Ruttan Lake.

DIOMED VERDICT: SPRING JIM had a great Flat season and, unless the going becomes demanding, should beat this bunch for speed if jumping proficiently. Mister Wall Street and Shannina look most interesting of the others.

Hurdels debutant but all red and 10/11 in places 1.2 place

1250 PLUM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Anak, 5/2 Coeur Brule, 11/2 Head Down, 25/1 Bari Bay, 40/1 Richardlionheart.

DIOMED VERDICT: ANAK should be equal to the task if carrying over his Flat form to this game.

Maiden hurdle - pure probability race and Anak now 2/5 for the champ 1.12

140 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Sacrilege, 7/2 Bet Noir, 7/1 Dobravany, 12/1 Natural Rhythm, 14/1 Hoar Frost, 20/1 Royal Rainbow, 40/1 Best Memory, Nightboat To Cairo, 100/1 Blue Savannah.

DIOMED VERDICT: SACRILEGE must take all the beating in this grade if back anywhere near his best. Bet Noir is the one most likely to prosper if the selection fails to deliver.

Ultra positive Diomed
1.23 to place

220 PLUM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Bensalem, 4/1 Chariot Charger, 5/1 Den Of Iniquity, 7/1 Martys Mission, 150/1 Allterrain.

DIOMED VERDICT: BENSALEM appeals most of three interesting recruits to chasing.

"hard to beat with a clear round, Only 2 places though - faith in Choc? 1.22 to place for a 1.57 hot is big

430 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Dubai Diva, 3/1 Follow The Dream, 5/1 Honorable Endeavor, 6/1 Ingenue, 8/1 Squirtle, 12/1 Baltimore Patriot, 16/1 K´Gari, 66/1 Chicamia.

DIOMED VERDICT: There should be more to come over staying trips rom DUBAI DIVA and she can add to her Lingfield win at the expense of Follow The Dream and Honorable Endeavor.

2nd fav out and now 4/7
1.17 and 3 places

ONE A DAY
Have to be quick today as caught out by the start again
Best probability race is Anak's and best non jumps ( we don't have to worry about possible falls, is Dubai Diva - 3 places and near market rival out
Bensalem also appeals but only 2 places but is a "hard to beat"
Safest today would be Dubai Diva on the flat, but I am willing to chance Bensalem earlier in the hope that Diomed's confidence is founded (as this is in running, any significant drop in place odds will be traded out by me to ensure a profit is not wiped out by a fall)

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