I have backed USA v Honduras yesterday morning so effective have my one a day today. It was a last minute decision and alas I could not stay on live chat til 2am! I remembered their performances in the Confederations Cup and went for it, thinking 1/4 very reasonable.
130 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Kite Wood, 3/1 Free Agent, 6/1 Tactic, 8/1 Dhushan, Too Much Trouble, 14/1 Above Average, Popmurphy, 25/1 Inhibition.
DIOMED VERDICT: This is a drop in class for KITE WOOD and it will be disappointing if he cannot deliver. |
Another class dropper, and we saw with Slip yesterday, the major class droppers in the last 2 days have produced 3 winners from 3.1.53 to place
210 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Tomintoul Singer, 9/2 Starburst Excel, 6/1 Memory And Magic, Sakile, Titoli Di Coda, 17/2 Emma Jean Lass, 10/1 Oasis Jade, Yurituni, 16/1 Graceandgratitude, 50/1 Princess Shamal.
DIOMED VERDICT: TOMINTOUL SINGER was beaten at 2-9 at 6f last time but on her previous decent second at this minimum trip on her debut at Leicester is the one to beat. |
2 2nds augurs well for this fav 1.23 to place
245 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Silk Trail, 7/1 Bobble Rock, 12/1 Kessraa, 14/1 Set Em Up Mo, 16/1 Spring Bridge, 50/1 Soldier Soldier,
DIOMED VERDICT: SILK TRAIL has produced enough to suggest she can win at this level for a top stable back in decent form. |
1/5 shot now , default selection? Only 2 places though BUT should ensure a reasonable price given 2 places 1.22 win 1.08 place and 5 runners
440 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Secret Hero, 5/1 Minturno, 8/1 Iasia, Iron Out, Jimwil, 10/1 Advertise, Ymir, 12/1 Flying Silks, 14/1 Special Cuvee, 25/1 D´Artagnans Dream.
DIOMED VERDICT: The market suggested Secret Hero would improve on his handicap debut and he may have more to come yet. |
7 runners and fav remains. Still 3 places BUT outsider is only 11/1 1.4 to place
515 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Doggerbank, 15/8 Souter Point, 7/1 Little Prudence, 8/1 De Soto, 16/1 Sally Forth, Warrants Attention, 33/1 Thunderonthemount, 66/1 First Maid, Mik.
DIOMED VERDICT: DOGGERBANK and Souter Point stand out on form and the former may be the stronger stayer. |
Front 2 to dominate? 1.18 ad 1.24 the front 2 to place
600 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Famous, 3/1 Rosa Muscosa, 8/1 Qubool, 10/1 Aynaz, Strandhill, 12/1 Foxillian, 14/1 My Mood, 16/1 Runaway Rose, 20/1 Porto Banus.
O'Brien shortie should do the business today. 1.06 to place - illiquid market
755 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/6 Fairmile, 6/5 Rugell, 14/1 Kaleo, 40/1 Play Up Pompey.
DIOMED VERDICT: If RUGELL, a Grade 2 winner in Argentina last November, has been showing anything in his new surroundings, this is probably a great opportunity with only Fairmile a serious rival. |
2 horse race? 1.12 the front 2 to place but illiquid market
830 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Tarzan, 7/2 Twilight Star, 5/1 Rock Anthem, 6/1 Prince Of Thebes, 15/2 Phluke, 16/1 Northern Spy.
DIOMED VERDICT: TARZAN (nap) takes a big drop in class and readily gets the vote ahead of Twilight Star. |
Another class dropper - they seem to come in clusters!! 1.62 to place
FOOTBALL
Europa 2nd legs
Rosenborg again take on a team they spanked last week-they're 1/25 to win = goals? BUT they are comfortably through
3am Mexico 4/11 v Panama
SHORTLIST
210 FOLK
Son of Johannesburg has 2 2nds so far , will Tomintoul singer place again? Only 4 under 10/1. The live market will, of course, be important as it ususally is in maidens
245 FOLK
Silk trial is ,of course, very obvious , as is his place only price 1.08 to place. 2 places. 1.22 to win. Perhaps a double with FAmous in the 600 Leopardstown who is a similar price and shoud place, creating a 1.16 bet for level stakes backers, but, of course, doubling the risk
755 EPSOM
looks a reasonable 2 horse race with Fairmile and Rugell set to dominate? Likely default selection is favourite.
MEXICO 1.48 to win -at 3am so tradeable only for night owls. A reasonable shout at home.
Rosenborg won by the odd goal in 7 against this opposition away from home. Home today and 1/25 -1.08 to win. Should oblige with ease if complacency does not set in
ONE A DAY
3 1.08 shots. The 2 I fancy are Famous and Rosenborg -Famous only because it's 3 places and Rosenborg as they are proven against this opposition with 7 goals away from home.
Silk Trail should win with ease. The 1.22 is tempting for the win but there are 2 debutants who the market tell us should not be up to beating Silk Hall. 1.08 there looks reasonable to place in the first 2, for a horse placed in 4 starts
No comments:
Post a Comment