I did mention yesterday that I was going to try to find a horse before the football and so it was luckily, to keep my one a day record going.
200 CARTMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Lake Wakatipu, 9/2 Bannville, Crazy Eyes, 5/1 Quedillac, 16/1 Speedy Max, 20/1 Corporation, Crai Crum, 33/1 Boston Bay, Elusive Swallow, Kayaka, Parisian Knight.
DIOMED VERDICT: LAKE WAKATIPU should have no problem picking herself up from an unlucky defeat at Aintree to win a race like this. |
4 under 16/1 the ones to concentrate on?1.23 to place
220 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Melody In The Mist, 4/1 Layla´s Hero, 9/2 Aintwogrand, 10/1 Firetrap, 16/1 Ochilview Warrior, 20/1 Clever Molly, 66/1 Kirkby´s Gem,
DIOMED VERDICT: MELODY IN THE MIST sets a clear standard on her narrow defeat over C&D last month with Layla's Hero and Aintwogrand biggest dangers. |
5 under 20/1 in the live market
Was 8 runners but now 7- hopefully 3 places still on betfair - only 2 places and fav odds on and 1.24 to place
240 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Izuizorizuain´T, 100/30 Musiara, 8/1 Annia Galeria, 16/1 Grace Jicaro, Ishe A Lord, 25/1 Saachi´s Vision, That´Lldonowthen, 33/1 Althabea, 66/1 Beach Boy.
DIOMED VERDICT: A weak seller which appears at the mercy of IZUIZORIZUAIN'T. |
Price gapper but a seller - 1.18 to place
250 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Obe Gold, 9/4 Raccoon, 11/4 High Curragh, 10/1 Just Joey, 16/1 Rue Soleil, 25/1 Ava´s World, 50/1 Gelert, 66/1 Throw The Dice.
DIOMED VERDICT: OBE GOLD is taken to mow down Raccoon and High Curragh late on. |
8 runners down to 6, and a race where only 3 are under 33/1 -looks ideal if 3 places on Betfair still - raccoon and Obe are 1.07 in what looks a clear 50/50 race
400 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Urban Poet, 7/2 Proud Times, 4/1 Acquavella, 13/2 Jeunopse, 10/1 Clientele, Moon Money, 20/1 Rapid Desire, 33/1 Agricultural, 100/1 Ducal Regancy Duke, Go Man Go.
DIOMED VERDICT: Proud Times sets the standard but URBAN POET, a half-brother to high-class colt and leading US sire Pulpit, may prove up to the task on his debut. |
Urbn Poet is another Johnston juvenile so you know the drill - watch for support for this debutant 1.5 to place - we need to see the race in the live environment to see if there is any confidence or otherwise
500 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Ottoman Empire, 4/1 Merdaam, Seaway, 5/1 Bow To No One, 8/1 Lacrosse, 16/1 Stormy Morning, 20/1 Arashi, Flodden Field, Laafet, Reset City, 33/1 Billy The Gas.
DIOMED VERDICT: OTTOMAN EMPIRE ran well at Pontefract on his second start and could be the one to beat. |
Seaway the early mover at the moment for Godolphin 1.48 to place
610 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Ogre, 4/1 Brooksby, 11/2 Roly Boy, 6/1 Caprio, 15/2 Carmenero, Resplendent Nova, 16/1 Star Strider, 40/1 Mystic Roll.
DIOMED VERDICT: Richard Hannon's pair of Roly Boy and, in particular, Brooksby have to be respected but OGRE is quite a force at claiming level and can go in again. Ultra consistent claiming horse this Ogre. 1.28 to place and Caprio is a mover 1.56 to place 700 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Viscount Nelson, 7/2 Lake Worth, 5/1 Dazzling Day, 6/1 Concert Piece, 12/1 Crying Time, 14/1 Giopi, 20/1 Cataspheric. Aiden O'Brien fav who should improve for the first run 1.17 to place and 2 places 730 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Empress of France, 4/1 Reflected Image, 6/1 Sugar Baby Love, 7/1 Alazan, Clodova, 10/1 About A Girl, Bernardo O´Higgins, 12/1 Boo Boo Bear, Four Mirrors, 14/1 Screen Diva, 16/1 My Own Patron, 20/1 Night Spark, Tara Warrior, 25/1 Statenice, Twenty Bags, 33/1 Crystal Idea, Grand Minstrel, Mexican Way. Another O'Brien maiden horse but a disconcertingly big field - illiquid market 810 DONCASTER
Impressing win record but concerns over soft ground should be revealed in the live betting market near the off -1.23 to place FOOTBALL
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SHORTLIST
250 HAMILTON
Great 50/50 race here - raccoon and obe gold the 2 here - 3 places and 1.07 the pair
700 LEOP - Viscount Nelson is 1.17 but 2 places BUT O'Brien horse who should improve for the first run
Rosenborg 1.09 to win outright.
ONE A DAY
250 Hamilton looks ideal albeit with a poor price
and then Rosenborg I feel. They are solid enough and at 1/12 at home should bring it home for the straight win.
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