Friday, 10 July 2009

10/7

Success yesterday with the one(ish) a day with Famous/Silk trial and Rosenborg winning. Rosenborg were 1-0 down - great for an enhanced bet at 1.24 or a bigger price if you had faith in the 1/25 . 1-1 til the 90th minute when they scored 2!

200 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Emperor Claudius, 3/1 Big Audio, 15/2 No Hubris, 8/1 Silver Grecian, 10/1 Lord Zenith, 14/1 Lucky General, Silenceofthewind, 16/1 Shakespearean, 20/1 Roi De Vitesse.

DIOMED VERDICT: There are some unexposed types in opposition but the Chesham principals BIG AUDIO and Emperor Claudius may well dominate again.

Aiden O'Brien favourite must always be respected but we've seen this week at Newmarket that racing has been ultra competitive. 1.36 the place -early market mover Lord Zenith

300 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Alanbrooke, 5/1 Eighteenfifty, 6/1 Kasban, Nemo Spirit, 8/1 Mr Crystal, Sweetheart, 12/1 Bernie The Bolt, 14/1 Inchnadamph, 25/1 Whenever.

DIOMED VERDICT: KASBAN got back to winning ways last time and is still well treated on his best form.

Price gapper in the live market and a Johnston horse 1.36 to place -the only one under evens at time of writing-" well in under penalty" - negative - 2 mile handicap

310 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Scenic Blast, 4/1 Paco Boy, 7/1 Art Connoisseur, J J The Jet Plane, 10/1 Fleeting Spirit, Takeover Target, 12/1 Main Aim, 16/1 African Rose, 25/1 King´s Apostle, 50/1 Ancien Regime, 100/1 Equiano, Prime Defender, 150/1 Intrepid Jack.

DIOMED VERDICT: SCENIC BLAST (nap) looked a sprinter of the highest order when winning the King's Stand and is the one to beat.

Price gapper here and 2 big priced early movers in Kings Apostle and Ancien Regime- 1.56 to place - group 1 sprint though is a tough race

535 GOWRAN
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Tarankali, 9/4 Grandiflora, 8/1 Norse Warrior, 10/1 Flamboyant Rouge, Panic, Park Ranger, 12/1 Airspace, Gargano, 14/1 Celtic Life, 16/1 Word For Word, 20/1 Celtic Dan, 25/1 Appletreemagic, Modern Day Icon, 33/1 Catching The Moon, 50/1 Castle Ellis, Wizard Chance.

Front 2 may dominate with Kinane and Smullen - market not formed properly yet

605 GOWRAN
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Cool Marble, 7/4 At First Sight, 5/1 Mutaraakim, 10/1 Pearl Isle, 12/1 Ivy Eye, 20/1 Rapid Rock, Walter De La Mare.

Front 3 to dominate. Again big stables for the front 2 - 3 under 20/1 -only 2 places. Big stables O'Brien and Weld, but 3rd fav is ominously close. Again the place market does not have much money in it to accurately represent the correct prices

615 CORK
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Pirate Ship, 6/1 Jazz Blues, 14/1 The Black Russian, 33/1 Client Account, Four Mirrors, 50/1 Twenty Bags, 66/1 Likeitorlovette, 100/1 Jerry´s Agent, Rolling Steel.

Big move for Jazz blues. Pirate ship has Lordan/Wachman 1.07 and 1.18 to place the front 2 in a race where 2 are under 12/1 and 3 under 20/1

845 GOWRAN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Eytarna, 6/4 Dazzle Dancer, 7/1 Onatha, 12/1 Lac A Dancer, Saffron´s Sinorita, 14/1 Mexican Way, 20/1 Committed Spirit, 25/1 Up For Glory, 40/1 Street Lightning.

4 under 25/1 and the front 2 represented bu Oxx/Kinane and Weld/Smullen

SHORTLIST
Bit wary of Newmarnet today as its been a tough old meeting

The 615 Cork and 845 Gowran look to be the ones to concentrate on for me.

300 ASCOT - Alanbrooke is a price gapper for Johnston and well backed.

ONE A DAY
I think I might wait for the Irish meetings this evening. Although I don't like Irish racing as it can be very inconsistent, I hope the big stables come to the fore this evening.

Live chat hopefully this afternoon will mean we can hopefully find an opportunity before the evening races

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