26/7

Well FC Copenhagen went a goal down and were available at an amazing 1.56 for enhanced bet fans ! They won 7-1 for the one a day so job done.

315 PONTEFRACT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Dontpaytheferryman, 9/2 Castlebury, 5/1 Pitbull, 11/2 Noche De Reyes, 8/1 All In The Red, 9/1 Ming Vase, 25/1 Rainbow Zest, Royal Fantasy, 33/1 Kaiser Willie.

DIOMED VERDICT: DONTPAYTHEFERRYMAN can make a successful debut for his new yard.

Hint of a price gap in this class 5 handicap. Some 6 horses only under 20/1 1.48 to place tells you this is a tricky race. As with Formula yesterday which involved 4 horses under 20/1 , 3 of those 4 placed and Formula didn't! This is the potential concern here.

340 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Walk On Bye, 13/8 Alfred Nobel, 8/1 In Some Respect, King Ledley, 10/1 Beethoven, 25/1 Air Chief Marshal, 33/1 Rock Jock, 66/1 Reggae Dancer.

Aiden O BRien horses abound here. 2 standout horses are the only ones under 10/1 in the live market. - 1.21 and 1.25 the front 2 here to place and this is the standout price in the place market with all other placed horses comfortably over evens.
my concern with this race is the 3 big priced O'Brien horses ( a similarly profiled race recently saw an Aiden O'Brien outsider a NECK 2nd at 20/1!!)
The market expects Alfred Nobel to be THE O'BRien horse here as default selection for Johnny Murtagh.
3 places and soft /heavy ground

400 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sopranist, 2/1 Shamali, 7/2 Proponent, 7/1 The Cayterers, 10/1 Just Lille.

DIOMED VERDICT: SOPRANIST is the form pick on his latest good run and may be too strong for progressive C&D winner Shamali.

Fav an important non runner should help Shamali?1.29 seems very generous for Shamali considering originally the horse was 2/1 (8/4) to Sopranist's 7/4 - ie very tight indeed.

445 CARLISLE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Visite Royale, 6/1 Starla Dancer, 8/1 Highway Code, 14/1 Lady Bluesky, 16/1 Born To Perform, 20/1 Merchant Man, 25/1 First Bay, Nakoma, 33/1 There We Go, 66/1 Dancing Primo, 100/1 Anacot Steel, Diamond Jo, Ducal Regancy Duke, Sally O´Riley.

DIOMED VERDICT: VISITE ROYALE is hard to get away from in an uncompetitive maiden.

Bigges tprice gapper of the day in this big field maiden -has had plenty of runs = experience
1.12 to place.
Really the default selection today given the huge price gap and "hard to get away from" status.

510 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Black Eyed Susan, 2/1 Sagacious, 3/1 Sense Of Purpose, 9/2 Alsalwa, 14/1 Runaway Rose, 16/1 Irish Reel, 20/1 Strandhill, 66/1 Itamaria.

8 runners, only 4 under 33/1 and these 4 represent the big boys in Irish trainer/jockey combinations. The front 2 are debutants which tells you the power and reputations of the stables.
A race to consult nearer the off as the market is going to be very important indeed. We do have the potential that this is a 4 horse race for 3 places
LIVE MARKET IS A MUST JUST BEFORE THE OFF AS THIS IS A RACE LARGELY OF UNKNOWNS

FOOTBALL
Singapore v Liverpool
The scousers are 1/6 to win. Singapore were quite impressive against MAN uTD scoring 2 against them so I can't really have Liverpool at 1/6
Man Utd are 1/10 to beat Hangzhou and although they have won all of their matches on this tour, ALL matches have required late goal victories or coming from behind
Barca are 1/7 to beat Al Alhy and this is the game that is v interesting given Celtic spanked the Egyptians.
Likely to be a mixed team of newcomers and experienced, Barca should dispatch this lot even if it is a largely meaningless game

19:30

Sevilla vs Seongnam

1/5

21:30

Real Madrid vs Al Ittihad

1/10

Same price against Shamrock Rovers and that required a very late winner.

SHORTLIST
the 445 Carlisle and 510 Curragh are the 2 I would take out of today with the latter necessitating a look in the market to guage which of the 4 likely contenders is favoured given there is little else to really go on.
Of the footy sides, well it's difficult today as all are friendlies meaning wholesale changes at half time and experimental sides and formations.
Of the teams shortlisted then Man Utd for me would be the choice - the odds dictate a victory and they have scored 2 or more in all games ( trading option)
Al Alhy were crap against Celtic who trounced them 5-0 I think. Barca will be nowhere near the Barca we will see through the league campaign but they should register a goal at least (trading again)
Real Madrid should see off their counterparts as should Sevilla with any semblance of a reasonable side out.
I would love to see Huntelaar upfront for Real - he should have scored 2 or 3 against Shamrock and was quality

ONE A DAY
For the gee gees 445 Carlisle Visite Royale is ultra short priced fav in a race where only 3 are under 16/1 and at 1.13 is reasonabel enough. FOrm of 4-2-4-2 is a little up and down but is contesting another class 5 event here.

Tom Eaves onboard - would prefer Ryan Moore of course.

MAn Utd at 1.11 should have little trouble in garnering a victory today in yet another friendly albeit at very poor odds.
For those wanting to bump up the odds 1.17 for BArca looks reasonable enough although we shouldn't expect the big big names to be playing.