140 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: Evs High Gales, 3/1 Alanna Castle, 5/1 War Party, 11/2 Anfield Road, 20/1 Glacier Express, Secret Dancer, 25/1 Douglas Julian, 50/1 Checked Shirt, 100/1 Karinga Magic, Montevetro, Quatuor Collonges, Rockman.
| DIOMED VERDICT: It looks significant that Tony McCoy is aboard HIGH GALES, who showed a bit of temperament in bumpers but also plenty of ability and today's longer trip should suit. |
Only 4 under 20/1 and McCoy on the short priced fav. 1.2 to place - update - now 5 under 20/1 with Secret dancer a significant mover into 3/1
Still it remains a 5 horse race if the market is accurate and 2 to beat to place for McCoy's mount
220 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Almuktahem, 15/8 Shakalaka, 5/1 Mayolynn, 15/2 Emiratesdotcom, 12/1 Ebony Eyes, 25/1 Grand Pere, 33/1 Peal Park, 40/1 Barnes Bridge, 66/1 Calling Birds.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SHAKALAKA's reappearance second on his debut for this stable last month earns him the vote ahead of Almuktahem. |
Emiratesdotcom may be worth keeping an eye on if supported for the Johnston yard -Shak and Almu are the 2 sharing favouratism and no money as yet for the Johnston horse - 1.3 the front 2 to place in another race with a distinct price gap between 4th and 5th horse
230 CAtteRICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Mister Angry, 11/4 Coloursoftheglen, 6/1 Just The Tonic, 7/1 Aquarian Spirit, 12/1 Bubbelas, Desert Forest, 33/1 Durham Reflection.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Runaway Wolverhampton winner MISTER ANGRY looks another useful juvenile for the Johnston yard and can follow up. |
2nd fav a non runner should make life easier for the fav? 1.32 to place - only 2 runners - odds on still this Mr Angry with Just the tonic clipped to 3/1 in response to 2nd fav's absence
240 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Winchester Red, 11/2 Sam Cruise, 7/1 Jackie Boy, 10/1 Particle, 12/1 Esme Rides A Gaine, Skipper´s Lad, 14/1 Arctic Shadow, Present Oriented, 16/1 River Ripples, 20/1 Letham Island, Sundarbob, 25/1 Doc Reason, Shammy Buskins, Westfield Bob, 33/1 Basis Point, 50/1 Pondhill Lad.
| DIOMED VERDICT: WINCHESTER RED (nap) has greatly impressed over hurdles and fences recently and, off the same mark, is very much the one to beat. |
Price gapper here but a biggish chase field. 1.21 to place and 4 places - 2nd fav is out accentuating price gap in live market evens - - - - - - - 7/1. On a hatrick - last 2 wins hurdle and chase - remains strong in the market
310 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Call Me Max, 5/1 Last Pioneer, 8/1 Psychiatrist, 10/1 Hollow Ranger, Hot Zone, Thistle, Villochely, 12/1 Corum, 14/1 Arcadia Boy, 16/1 High Standard, 33/1 Marino Prince, 50/1 Bold Phoenix, 100/1 Gozome, Layed Back Rocky.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Irish runner CALL ME MAX ought to retain more than enough ability to get the job done in plating class. |
Price gapper with McCoy on board but a seller 1.32 to place - now 1.19 to place (1245pm) , this is a seller regardless of whether McCoy is up or not
FOOTBALL
Europa league matches today may see some opportunities
| 16:00 | Ventspils vs Dudelange | 1/10 |
| 17:45 | Levski Sofia vs Sant Julia | 1/50 |
| 18:50 | Maccabi Haifa vs Glentoran | 2/9 |
| 19:15 | FC Copenhagen vs Mogren | 1/6 |
| 19:30 | Wisła Kraków vs Levadia Tallinn | 1/6 |
Ventspils 1.17 to win this Europa Cup game. At that price and at home, you would expect a 2+ goal victory. Concern that these teams have not met before
Levski Sofia are 1.03 to win which suggests many goals, and them to be winning at half time-surely?.Currently 1.15 for Half time ( you can also find this under the halftime/fulltime market) this is reasonable for a side quoted 1/50 by Ladbrokes.
As these one a days are usually bets where it is a shock if the bet does not come in, well it would be a shock to me were a 1/50 side unable to score to no reply in the first half.
Exeter v Spurs- the Spuds are 1.34 in yet anther friendly
St Gallen v Liverpool - Liverpool are 1.52 to win - St GAllen are a Swiss side I know little about, suffice to say their football week in-week out is probably not Premiership standard!!
A very iliquid market-may be a match for experimentation by the fat Spanish waiter? 1.51 certainly is very enticing but is not in running as are none of the featured games today.
SHORTLIST
140 UTTOXETER High Gales and Secret dancer would be my 2 here to concentrate on. This has the look of a 5 horse race and McCoy has been solid enough on short priced favs (bar in sellers and other poor race types of course with inconsistent horses)
Ventspils - 1.17 match odds v enticing
Levski at 1.15 half time is certainly very much of interest for a team 1.03 to win outright
ONE A DAY
Personally my one a day is Levski Sofia to win half time at 1.15 currently, BUT this is a highly illiquid market and is not in running either.It will certainly be a major shock if a 1/50 shot cannot be winning at half time - 545 kick off.
I hope to be on live chat but as you can appreciate I am on holiday and do not get paid so am under no obligation at all.
It looks like a day where one a day could unravel in the live market before the footy starts
220 LING
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