230 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Marie De Medici, 7/2 Knockenduff, 6/1 Admire The View, 8/1 Seven Of Diamonds, Timeless Elegance, 10/1 Captain´s Paradise, 20/1 Blue Avon, 25/1 Buzz Bird, Dazakhee, Mad Millie, 33/1 Emeralds Spirit, Hedgerow.
| DIOMED VERDICT: MARIE DE MEDICI (nap), well drawn for one that races up with the pace, looks sure to go well in this company. |
Johnston maiden horse now odds on and a price gapper in the live market. It's always good to see well supported Johnston juveniles at the northern tracks -1.15 to place and strongly fancied in the place market
250 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Valerius, 7/2 Marufo, 7/1 Winsley Hill, 12/1 Stormy Bay.
| DIOMED VERDICT: VALERIUS looks a cut above the other trio. |
If he is a "cut above" like 9 length winner Cooksgrove lady, then he must be considered. One outsider should make this a 3 horse race fighting for 2 places? 1.17 to place Valerius
350 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Strawberrydaiquiri, 6/1 Lady Francesca, Rosaleen, 7/1 Perfect Star, 12/1 Greenisland, 14/1 Balaagha, 20/1 First City, 50/1 Folly Lodge, Nice To Know, Trumpet Lily,
| DIOMED VERDICT: There is probably more to come from STRAWBERRYDAIQUIRI (nap) and she is confidently expected to defy her penalty. |
Price gapper here in a listed race - "looks group class" and has the right man on board for sure, but remember this is a listed race so all horses are very good quality 1.13 to place
400 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Baguenaud, 4/1 High Standard, 9/2 Massams Lane, 6/1 Iron Hague, 14/1 Kingscourt Lad, 25/1 Freda´s Rose, Insignia, Tarboush, 33/1 Waterdale, 50/1 Carpe Momentum, Play A Cord, 66/1 Fan Club, Princess Arwen.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BAGUENAUD is good enough to take this if somewhere near his best. |
5 horses under 25/1 should be the ones to concentrate on. The fav is well supported, has a 7 lb claiming jockey onboard but this is a selling hurdle 1.3 to place
435 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Danetime Panther, 6/4 Persian Warrior, 5/1 Ovthenight, 10/1 Eddie Dowling, 40/1 Climaxtackledotcom, 50/1 Handsome Chap, 66/1 Jellytot, Laybach.
| DIOMED VERDICT: DANETIME PANTHER can improve enough to beat Persian Warrior. |
Only 4 under 66/1 and 3 places so a great race for consideration , perhaps Eddie Dowling can be ignored?
Choc Thornton is on Danetime panther 1.14 and 1.21 the front 2 to place
510 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Dirar, 4/1 Bathwick Man, 10/1 Priest Field, 12/1 Hello Nod, Peaceful Means, 16/1 Newgate, 20/1 Lord Baskerville, Pepporoni Pete, 33/1 Lindseyfield Lodge, 40/1 Pelennor, 66/1 Hot Zone.
| DIOMED VERDICT: DIRAR is the obvious choice after yesterday's very easy success |
2nd fav out and Dirar ran yesterday and won.
7 lb claimer again onboard -last 2 wins have come under Seamus Durack.
Remember Priest Field you live chatters - 20/1 winner for me recently on live chat. 1.17 to place
710 NMKT
| DIOMED VERDICT: COLONEL MAK (nap) looked better than a nursery type at Hamilton and can follow up at the main expense of Hairspray. |
8 down to 7 runners and still 3 places? 2 outsiders can hopefully be discounted 1.1 to place and 3 places
730 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 High Heeled, 3/1 Ave, 5/1 Short Affair, 11/2 Sweet Lilly, 8/1 Moon Sister, 16/1 Medici Pearl, 33/1 Young Americans, 100/1 Clare Glen.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SHORT AFFAIR might only have won a handicap last time but did it very stylishly and could well be up to disposing of High Heeled and Ave. |
4 runners under 20/1 here in this listed race 1.16 to place
800 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Fairmile, 3/1 Invasian, 7/1 Birkside, Demolition, 8/1 Lost Soldier Three, 9/1 Realism, 20/1 Eseej, 33/1 Longspur, 50/1 John Forbes.
| DIOMED VERDICT: FAIRMILE is a cut above this grade and looks the one to beat. |
Only 2 under 10/1 here the ones to concentrate on? 1.21 and 1.41 the front 2 to place
FOOTBALL
FC Soeul v Man Utd - 1/5 for United here looks very enticing - they are 2 from 2 so far on their travels
Laying Soeul is the same as 1.10 shot
SHORTLIST
Again it's only 11am so I will update at around 1pm in the hope of capturing some races with non runners.
Man Utd's game kicks off at 12pm and they should oblige but do try and find their team news - we want to see a solid team, and trading must be an option especially if United score in the first half because there may be wholesale changes in the 2nd half
UPDATE
435 Southwell looks the best probability race for me today, and Persian Warrior and Danetime Panther look the 2 to concentrate on here in a race where only 4 are under 66/1 Persian Warrior has been a previous place only selection and is the better priced of the front 2 at 1.21. danetime panther is 1.11 at present in a market that is a little illiquid.
I think either of these merit attention and Persian at 1.21 gets my vote. You can chose Danetime if you want a perceived safer bet (shorter place price = safer bet?) and Choc Thornton on board
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