Tuesday, 14 July 2009

14/7 UPDATE

UPDATE
215 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Just Five, 9/4 Love In The West, 10/1 Jenny´s Pride, 12/1 Herecomesbella, 16/1 Supera, 20/1 Off Hand, 33/1 Simply Sensational, 50/1 Pollish.

DIOMED VERDICT: Top weight JUST FIVE looks the one to beat in a weak affair.

3rd fav now a non runner at 1pm, surely makes the front 2 standout even though this is a claimer?1.11 and 1.17 the front 2 now and still 3 places

630 KILLARNEY
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Red Rock Canyon, 2/1 Universal Truth, 9/2 Drive Time, 6/1 Elyaadi.

Only 3 remain with Universal out. 1.26, red rock, 1.3 elyaadi

I THINK IT IS HERE WHERE I CAN STOP MY UPDATE. THIS LOOKS AN EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY. RED ROCK CANYON IS 1.26 TO NOT GET BEATEN BY 2 HORSES IN A 3 HORSE RACE. SOUNDS REASONABLE ENOUGH AS THE BETTING FORECASTER HAD HIM UP AS FAV ORIGINALLY
ELYAADI IS NOW JOINT FAV WHICH IS QUITE A MOVE





Job done with the one a day yesterday
230 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Faith Jicaro, 6/1 Volatilis, 8/1 Holkham, 10/1 Professor John, 14/1 Cane Cat, Charlottesometimes,

DIOMED VERDICT: FAITH JICARO's form is working out well and she is likely to be hard to beat.

5 runners now and the fav has hardened in the betting. Warning - another one time out performer expected to reproduce his only run 2nd time out.
Has Frank onboard today too
2 places but only 3 to beat. 1.19 to place. Last night there was a 1 time out handicapper who did not even place in a 4 horse race so it is a bit of a gamble hoping a one time out horse will reproduce his impressive sole run

340 DOWNPATRICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Tawaagg, 4/1 Jump For You, 9/2 Quivvy Bridge, 6/1 Gerbera, 8/1 Nino Cochise, 12/1 Charleville, 20/1 High Skies, Trilby Pursuit, 25/1 Ballycomclone, Glen Glass, Regina Lo, 33/1 Glens Ruby, Shabra Polymex, The Hedge.

Mullins/
Walsh combo onthe fav but no early prices 1.21 to place

345 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Northern Flyer, 9/2 Diamond Daisy, 7/1 Bahkov, Liteup My World, 8/1 River Dee, 10/1 Two Turtle Doves, 25/1 Melkatant.

DIOMED VERDICT: A decent opportunity for NORTHERN FLYER to make amends for last week's narrow Catterick defeat.

Price gapper in a 0-65 class 6 BUT only 2 places which is a pity 1.38 to place

515 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Gaselee, 11/2 Chichen Daawe, 13/2 Hawkeyethenoo, 8/1 Hector´s House, 12/1 Benozzo Gozzoli, Lambourn Genie, 20/1 Aven Mac, 25/1 Feeling Stylish, Lady Norlela.

DIOMED VERDICT: GASELEE should be able to defy a 6lb penalty for her 9l success at Musselburgh as her new mark looks likely to be a fair bit higher.

Coincidentally another 0-65 class 6 handicap price gapper 1.2 to place

630 KILLARNEY
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Red Rock Canyon, 2/1 Universal Truth, 9/2 Drive Time, 6/1 Elyaadi.

Could be a 2 horse race. Red Rock CAnyon is oout yet again under Aiden O'Brien's son claiming 7 against the established Weld/Smullen who are now favs 1.57 and 1.26 the front 2 to place

FRIENDLIES
Cambridge v Blackburn (1/3)
yes I know - friendlies should come with a wealth warning -1.41

SHORTLIST

230 BRIGHTON - with 2 non runners this opens things up for Faith Jacaro here. Faith that faith reproduces initial promising run, and that Frank does not magically contrive to get this one out of the places. 1.19 is reasonable to beat 3 to place, 2 of which are 14/1 and 16/1

Concern that Faith Jacaro was 66/1 on sole outing and so maybe this was an anomolous run? Still why do we have 4/9 in this race?

515 BEVERLEY - Gasalee falls into the category of price gapper in a 0-65 handicap and they tend to place with regularity if showing strongish signs in the market - 1.2 to place
will need confirmation nearer race time that he has been backed
An apprentice handicap the concern here, but 3 places.

ONE A DAY
THat's the choices for me, albeit at only 1030am and likely to change with any late non runners.
Both have their nigges and I think an update would be worthwhile as racing does not start til 215pm

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