The day begins with 3 maidens on the trot followed by a selling hurdle - YIKES!
310 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Baily Storm, 5/2 Shut The Bar, 7/1 Sir Punjabi, 14/1 Barbirolli, 100/1 Renege The Joker.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BAILY STORM should be able to go one better than at Plumpton on Monday. |
Remeber him? 2nd at 1/4 and a one a day bet. Similar race type again with 2 deemed to be outsiders limiting this to 3 fighting for 2 places
The recent run is of course very encouraging and a plus. Shut the bar looks the obvious alternative - 1.13 pla ce
440 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Tanfidh, 8/1 Bruton Street, 9/1 History Lesson, Luc Jordan, 10/1 Call It On, 11/1 Embsay Crag, 12/1 Puzzlemaster, Sequillo, Splinter Cell, Whooshka, 20/1 Capeability, Hollow Green, Norwegian Dancer, Wee Giant, 33/1 Mishrif.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Fast-improving TANFIDH (nap), from a good family and ahead of the handicapper, should take the beating if handling easier ground. |
First price gapper of note today and backed into 7/4 - on a hatrick but apparently 6lb ahead of the handicapper and the one to beat, as Diomed said ,IF handling the ground 1.58 to place
450 FAKE
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Chapel Flowers, 4/1 You Can Of Course, 5/1 Toi Express, 10/1 Ben Tirran, 14/1 Feeling Peckish, Supreme Team, 20/1 Miss Merenda, 25/1 Mad Professor.
| DIOMED VERDICT: CHAPEL FLOWERS (nap) can make a winning debut for Tim Vaughan in a very weak handicap chase. |
8 runner race and Chapel flowers odds on ( remember my each way jumps idea too - one of 3 races today!) 1.15 to place
840 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Illuminative, 6/1 Lilly Grove, 10/1 Heathyards Junior, 12/1 Jobekani, 20/1 Good Karma, Magic Queen, Meml, Tagula Minx, Very Distinguished, 33/1 Ay Tay Tate, 50/1 Chicamia, Davana, Sleepy Dove.
| DIOMED VERDICT: ILLUMINATIVE won't be found a weaker maiden in which to get off the mark and this is there for the taking. |
Another significant price gapper who has had the runs on the all weather and this looks ripe for the place only picking 1.09
910 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Cape Marien, 5/1 Bold Adventure, 8/1 Deuce, Murcar, 10/1 Alnwick, Basalt, Tayman, 14/1 Eyeffess, Rainbow Dash, 33/1 Pagan Sword.
| DIOMED VERDICT: CAPE MARIEN is thriving at present and with stamina unlikely to be a problem, she can complete her hat-trick. |
The 2nd price gapper on a hatrick in a handicap 1.27
FOOTBALL
Cambuur 1/5 v Omniworld - Dutch 1st Division -unbeaten and top - 7 wins - 5 draws
3 from 5 score draws at home though a slight niggle
Omniworld in shocking form and have been beaten away at 2nd,3rd,4th,5th and 6th place ( remember Cambuur 1st place)
Would be nice to see this in running
SHORTLIST
840 Wolves stood but for me but 1.09 at time of writig is giving nothing away -1.45 win market and a good initial start will see this reduce dramatically - I would like to try to get 1.15 ( lay off at 1.30 in running)
Baily Storm is intriguing too in another 3 for the 2 places race. - these are the only 2 under 16/1 - but ? over why he could not win at 1/4
Cambuur look to be in rude health at the moment but there is a concern with the 3 draws at home. Not in running either which is the negative
ONE A DAY - was the 840 Wolves for me and at 1pm it is folly to nail this one to the mast with 7+ hours til kick off. A market to look again at nearer the off ( and being the weekend this should be no problem) But looks nailed on for the place and no doubt, a la Demonstrative, about not handling the surface as he has been twice on the all weather.
I will try a riskier option myself of backing and laying off at a price short enough to make me about 1.15
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