He won so no problems there.
Djokovic was an easy winner in 3 sets for those who want a nice safe horseless bet!
150 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Samaaha, 2/1 Cherish The Moment, 3/1 Spirit Of Dubai, 10/1 Double Whammy, 25/1 Secret Desert, 40/1 Court Princess, 100/1 Barnes Bridge.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SAMAAHA looks worth the try at this trip and is preferred to Spirit of Dubai and Cherish The Moment who have blemishes on their records. |
Frankie is off to Turkey to ride for Godolphin, leaving today's rides in the hands of Ted Durcan. Court Prin cess a non runner leaves 3 only under 25/1 in this probability race - 3 should dominate and scrap for 2 places.
Default choice on the fav ( for ease of selecting more than anything!) (?) Samaah 1.42 to place is the lowest priced place
220 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Deuce, 3/1 Primera Rossa, 11/2 The Composer, 7/1 Enthusius, 14/1 Bari Bay, 16/1 Trempari, 20/1 Alittlemoreflair, Lilac Wine, Red Army Commander, 25/1 Snowberry Hill, 33/1 Silver Surprise, 66/1 Royal Arthur.
| DIOMED VERDICT: DEUCE (nap) seemed to have a bit more in hand than her winning margin suggests over 2m last time. Primera Rossa's strong finish over 1m5f is the chief concern. |
Only 4 under double figures the ones to concentrate on? 1.5 to place Deuce looks a tad generous
Class 6 0-65 handicap means shorties are normally reliable
250 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Champagne Style, 7/2 Professor John, 5/1 Footstepsofspring, 6/1 Dark Eyes, Zaahy, 7/1 Ramamara, 20/1 Kingston Acacia, 40/1 Skyflight,
| DIOMED VERDICT: CHAMPAGNE STYLE may be the answer to a tricky puzzle. |
Fav has hardened in the betting.
8 runners now - 2 outsiders can hopefully be discounted, but yet again we find a fav short priced based on one sole run as a juvenile maiden runner
These really are 50/50 - yesterday's dominaed and won easily - today's........??? 1.27 to place but " a tricky puzzle"
330 BRIGHTON
| DIOMED VERDICT: Consistent BOLDINOR is preferred to unreliable Seneschal. |
8 down to 7 runners - 2 outsiders and a fav now odds on - has promise as a probability race - 1.17 the fav to place -7 runners 3 places
400 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Caster Sugar, 7/2 Aphrodite´s Rock, 4/1 Arcola, Lunar River, 10/1 Sunceleb, 14/1 Evening Sunset, 20/1 Bicksta, 25/1 Oronsay.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Arcola and Aphrodite's Rock are open to improvement but CASTER SUGAR can win again. |
Non runners make this an interesting race. Aphrodite's Rock and Lunar River are important non runners who should make life easier for Caster Sugar and Arcola.
6 runners left -2 are 16/1 and hopefully 3 places make a compelling place back case?
3 places and Caster Sugar is 1.29 with Arcola 1.25 to place
410 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Benefit Game, 11/2 Norborne Bandit, 7/1 Nesnaas, 8/1 Marked Man, Silver Adonis, 11/1 Litron, 14/1 Pelo Du Bief, 16/1 Phoenix Eye, Rocsilver, 20/1 Dere Lyn, Roussea, Tyup Pompey.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BENEFIT GAME, easily the most progressive runner in the field, is taken to complete a four-timer and maintain his unbeaten record in handicap company. |
Price gapper here on a 4 timer in this handicap chase
Positives - McCoy has won 2 of 3 on him and McCoy likes winning!
Negatives - Multiple handicap winners always lose eventually BUT if he loses, will he still place? 1.38 to place
430 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Fong´s Alibi, 5/1 Buddhist Monk, 8/1 Carte D´Oro, Kyle Of Bute.
| DIOMED VERDICT: FONG'S ALIBI looks to have an excellent opportunity |
Live market bears no resemblance to the betting forecast - has the forecaster got it very wrong or does the live market show a lack of confidence in Fong's Alibi? 1.44 is quite near the 4/9 quoted by the betting forecaster , BUT THIS 1.44 IS FOR THE PLACE!!
440 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 High Gales, 9/2 Bulwark, Civil Servant, 11/2 Word Of Warning, 10/1 Seraphim Knight, 14/1 Kielder Rise, 20/1 Brochure, Powerfullbeat, 28/1 Dunbrody House, 66/1 Tiermore, 100/1 Give Us The Nod, Scotsbrook Cloud.
| DIOMED VERDICT: HIGH GALES (nap) looks open to plenty of further improvement and makes more appeal than the heavily penalised Word Of Warning, the quirky Bulwark and the maiden Civil Servant. |
Word of warning out. Live market hints at plenty of dead wood. That boy McCoy on another shortie and he looks like a good up and coming jockey to stay on the right side of!! 1.14 to place
540 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Drumbaloo, 9/2 Tellemall Brother, 7/1 Over The Way, 9/1 Back At The Ranch, Via Roma, 14/1 Kingswood Blaze, 20/1 Best Memory, Brimley, 25/1 Simbamead, 66/1 Chateau Blanc, Diddley Dee.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Those with bumper experience haven't exactly set the world alight and DRUMBALOO, whose form in Irish points suggests he certainly has a future under rules, is by far the most intriguing contender. |
Price gapper in a class 6 bumper and McCoy on again ( purely coincidentally -I am not deliberately singling him out today) for JJ Lambe - the price gap is more pronounced in the live market.
These races do ideally need live market monitoring - not run since Nov 2008 1.23 to place
620 KEMPTON
| DIOMED VERDICT: LUTINE CHARLIE may be able to improve past Fardyieh. |
Only 4 under 25/1 here the oes to concentrate on? - another 2 year old maiden - place market is messy
650 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Major Lawrence, 9/2 La Marseillaise, Space Station, 7/1 Dom Polski, 8/1 Pagan Force, 12/1 Totalitarian, 14/1 Moojeh, 16/1 Sometsuke, Spice Run, 33/1 Barathea´s Acclaim, Billy Simmonds, Suzi´s Dancer, 66/1 Captain Teddo, She Goes Nowhere.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Although he was an expensive flop last time, MAJOR LAWRENCE is worth another chance to confirm the promise of his Newbury debut. |
Major Lawrence has the right guy on board and has been very well backed it would seem (now 8/11) 2 and 3 is placed form which is what we look for 1.25 to place
SHORTLIST
First race of interest is the 330 Brighton and Senschal who is now odds on BUT this is a seller and these horses are racing in this race type for a reason!
2 are 33/1 and bigger which should bring the competitive field down to 7
Firm ground is a little offputting - very much in the catgory of heavy - some will like it others wont
400 BRighton is another race of interest -2 significant non runners leave the door open to Caster Sugar and Arcola but which of these 2 will palce ( or rather can we trust both to place)
440 Hereford would be my personal choice from the McCoy mounts ( although knowing him he'll boot the lot home)
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