Tuesday, 1 September 2009

1/9 UPDATE

No problems with Barcelona 3-0

UPDATE
210 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Marsool, 11/4 Young Star Gazer, 4/1 Hallstatt, 6/1 Yellow Printer, 14/1 Niceonefrankie, Pistolet Noir, Winrob, 33/1 Protiva, 66/1 Kaiser Willie.
DIOMED VERDICT: MARSOOL made an encouraging start over hurdles at Bangor and can go one better.

4 under 14/1 and Marsool looks good at the price. Young star gazer is also backed
1.21 to place


220 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Markazzi, 5/1 Cultivar, 6/1 Official Style, 7/1 Futurist, 10/1 Rjeef, 14/1 Quick Reaction, 16/1 Mr Irons, Sand Skier, 20/1 Top Spin, 25/1 Finest Reserve, San Cassiano, 33/1 Hayek, 50/1 Caucus, The Rectifier, 66/1 Firefly Mustique, 200/1 Knowledgeable.
DIOMED VERDICT: bMARKAZZI looks the one to beat after his promising debut in a race his stable have done well in in recent years.

A price gapper but yet another dilemma race which has characterised this part of the season. A maiden with big race entries who ran encouragingly on his sole run and expected ( despite still learning the game) to repeat the dose again. 1.14 to place - strong in the place market

230 RIPON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Whirlijig, 3/1 Rossini´s Dancer, 7/1 Whipma Whopma Gate, 8/1 Carpe Diem, La Columbina, 12/1 Hey Up Dad, Sirjosh, 14/1 Rowaad, 16/1 Melkatant, 33/1 Aven Mac, 50/1 Bestowed, 66/1 Glamoroso, Our Apolonia, Sybil´s Surprise.
DIOMED VERDICT: WHIRLIJIG is worth another chance on her maiden form at about this trip for a yard which has a great record at this level.

Price gapper in the live market evens - - - - 11/2 but we must make note of the race type - seller 1.24 to place - the only one under evens

340 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Arctic Cape, 11/4 Lucky Dancer, 11/2 Don´t Panic, 7/1 Kyoto, 8/1 Carrolls Cross, 14/1 Be My Bubble, Cricket Boy, Orbital Orchid, 25/1 Thetearsthaticry, 33/1 Fairly Glorious, 50/1 Canshebemine, 100/1 Lough Beg, Miss Flame Thrower, Sparkbridge, 200/1 Fluters House, Rindless.
DIOMED VERDICT: Don't Panic will be interesting if getting away on terms but ARCTIC CAPE is expected to improve plenty on his Worcester form when second to Lucky Dancer and is the safer bet.

Price gapper in the live market but a big field and obstacles Arctic CApe 1.3 to place

400 RIPON

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Tawaabb, 11/4 Absolute Music, 3/1 Falasteen, 100/30 Bould Mover, 25/1 Secret Millionaire, 33/1 Tillys Tale, 40/1 Goodbye Earl, 50/1 Confessional, 200/1 Baby Judge.
DIOMED VERDICT: Tawaabb and BOULD MOVER will be helped by the drop in distance/class and are taken to dominate.

Only 4 under 33/1 in this probability race conditions event 3 horses cannot be split at around 7/2 and Tawaab is clear on his own at 6/4
In the hope this race revolves around these 4, then 3 will place, one will not 1.27 to place Tawaab

420 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Dandy Man, 2/1 Peace Offering, 9/2 Angus Newz, 10/1 Canadian Danehill, 12/1 Zuzu, 33/1 Brenin Taran.
DIOMED VERDICT: PEACE OFFERING has not forgotten how to get his head in front and that might earn him the nod over Dandy Man

Reminiscent of yesterday's 4 horse race where the 3rd fav spoilt the party for Tranquil Tiger , so it really is a hit and hope thing - a reliance on the prices being accurate. 4 horses now and a clear outsider. Dandy Man is now odds on and Peace offering remains. The hope if we get involved is that these 2 dominate
Only 3 horses now and 1.13 Dandy Man looks v interesting

505 LAYTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Collingwood, 4/1 Belle Noverre, 5/1 Absa Lutte, 6/1 Kaplinsky, 10/1 College Scholar, Qadar, 14/1 Teachers Choice, 16/1 Grey Rhythm, 20/1 Miesko, Munsters Call,

Ruby Walsh rides for his Dad in this FLAT race at the beach at Laytown

735 LAYTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Tilabay, 5/1 January, 11/2 Solid Air, 6/1 Spiritina, 8/1 Narquois, 14/1 Withnail, 16/1 Academic Accolade, Blue Law, 25/1 Gallantian, 33/1 Confirm,

Another Mullins/Mullins price gapper

TENNIS
Djokovic is 1.07 to win today

SHORTLIST
400 RIPON - Tawaab looks to have a good chance of placing as long as the horses run to their prices ( eg 4 under 33/1 are the ones who dominate)
420 LEICESTER - 3 horse race - 2 places MUST be on the shortlist
Djokovic is 1.07 to win and should do so easily as one of the top 4 to win this tournament

ONE A DAY
Must be the 420 LEicester and I will go with the market leader to place, currently Dandy Man at 1.13 in the hope he will not get beaten by 2 others in a 3 horse race

Ultra safe is Djokovic I would suggest

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