I laid Strasbourg v Nantes and was cursing after Strasbourg scored after 3 minutes - feck it I thought, but Nantes fought back with 2 goals in the end so job done at my end. This game went in running ( it was not in running at time of writing) and this was the clincher.
210 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Alice Alleyne, Cojo, 7/2 Dylanesque, 13/2 Tia Juana, 12/1 Scarcity, 14/1 Sparkling Smile, 16/1 Tudor Princess, 20/1 Caramelita, Rosetta Hill, 33/1 Chaussini, 40/1 Evening Glow,
| DIOMED VERDICT: Alice Alleyne and Dylanesque are the pick of those with experience but COJO is a highly intriguing newcomer. Positive market signals would be particularly significant. |
Alica has Moore back on board for Stoute, and they're evens - as ever another maiden race with 2 year olds, one time outers and debutants
220 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Theocritus, 9/4 Kaleo, 9/2 Simpsons Gamble, 6/1 Kyle Of Bute, 8/1 Order Order, 100/1 Leaf Hollow, Newcastle Sam, Rindless,
| DIOMED VERDICT: Not a bad claimer and THEOCRITUS, who should get the good gallop he needs, is taken to come out on top. |
7 runners left, should be 3 places and Order order is the shortest non runner. 3 are 66/1 or bigger leaving horses and 3 places -a great probability race but again, claimer + Frank are the negatives
250 LING
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Qelaan, 11/2 Bramalea, 7/1 Squad, 8/1 Love In The Park, 9/1 Yvonne Evelyn, 10/1 Cossack Prince, 14/1 Merrymadcap, 25/1 Warrior Nation.
| DIOMED VERDICT: QELAAN looks the one with potential after her comprehensive win at Folkestone. |
Price gapper in a class 5 handicap - 8 runners - 3 places and now 8/11 in places
310 YARM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Miss Frangipane, 4/1 Freeing, 8/1 Nativity, 20/1 Donny Bowl, 33/1 Divine White, 40/1 Sorrel Point.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Freeing is a possible improver but she needs to progress around a stone to reverse C&D form with MISS FRANGIPANE, who has a clear chance on the figures. |
A stark contrast to yesterday's lack of opportunities, here we have Ryan Moore on a very short priced fav - YES PLEASE!
350 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Al Dafa, 5/1 Halyard, Magician´s Cape, 6/1 Swift Return, 10/1 Agent Archie, 14/1 Grand Mary, 16/1 Eltheeb, Spring Heather, 25/1 Santa Margherita, 33/1 Another Magic Man, Sefton Park.
| DIOMED VERDICT: This looks good for AL DAFA, who should improve lots on his debut form and is Frankie Dettori's only ride on the card. |
Frankie's only ride of the card - take the hint?
Very strong card at local track Listowel today but soft ground tempers enthusiasm as far as betting is concerned
FOOTBALL
Standout today is Real Madrid at 1.3 away to FC Zurich. An impressive 3-0 win against Espanyol mid week and a forward line including Kaka, Ronny, Horse face, Raul cannot be ignored. A midielf including Alonso, and a back line with Casillas should see Real win this evening offering an opportunity for 1.3 .
| 19:45 | West Brom vs Doncaster | 4/9 |
| 19:45 | Maccabi Haifa vs Bayern Munich | 6/1 | 3/1 | 1/2 |
| 19:45 | Chelsea vs Porto | 4/11 | 7/2 | 8/1 |
| 19:45 | Atlético Madrid vs Apoel Nicosia | 1/5 | 11/2 | 12/1 |
SHORTLIST
220 LING looks an outstanding probability race - 1.12 Theocritus or 1.13 Faleo and 3 places - 4 horses in this if we can discount the 66/1 anad bigger horses, so Theo and Faleo only need to beat 1 horse to place. These 2 take up the majority of the book here.
1 mile 2 furlongs, and Frank rode from the front yesterday on Buddhist Monk. I hope he considers these tactics again - if so then 1.12 looks enticing
310 YArmouth - Miss Frangipane is 1.1 to place - 2 places though but we can always rely on Ryan Moore ( famous last words) - 3 horses are 25/1 or bigger here and a 1/4 fav with Ryan onboard. 1.1 looks nailed on here but of course, we only have 2 places
From a footballing perspective a lot of strong bets
Do check out http://www.goonersguide.com/uefa.php -they offer free analysis of games and these analyses are very good and offer an opinion which you either think is persuasive or otherwise
Athletico are 1.18 to win and play Cyprus side Apoel nicosia - the gulf in class is related by the odds
Besiktas are 8.6 to lay, the equivalent of a 1.12 bet welcoming Man Utd. Utd should have too much, but how much of a difference is the absence of Ronaldo who was superb in Europe last season?
Chelsea are 1.43 , edging towards 1/2 odds here for their home match against Porto. The differences in the standards of the leagues should ensure Chelsea do not lose
Real Madrid are 1.29 to beat FC Zurich and I see nothing other than a Real win. Am I missing something? One a day bets should be a shock if they lose bet, and this fits into the category
ONE A DAY
Horses look strong today and the football even stronger.
Real Madrid at 1.29 are the best priced without compromising on quality of bet. Theocritus at 1.12 is earlier and can hopefully wrap the day up for those who can't wait.
It is one of those days where perhaps you can make up for yesterday's non bet with one horse bet and one football bet
BUT as this is one a day, Real at the price leave me salivating.
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