Saturday, 26 September 2009

26/9 - sorry-looks like it didnt publish initially

8-0 Spain - bet of the decade at the odds - 1/5 half time/fulltime was a gift from the Gods
Watchi' out for Tahiti's next games especially against Nigeria who lost yesterday (man sent off) as this will be a goalfest or the Nigerian boys.

215 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Jacqueline Quest, 7/1 Marie Cuddy, 8/1 Let Them Eat Cake, 10/1 Angelena Ballerina, 12/1 A Pocketful Of Rye, 14/1 Pathway To Heaven, 20/1 Sparkling Smile, 33/1 Goodison Goal, 66/1 Lady Pacha, Madame Excelerate.

DIOMED VERDICT: JACQUELINE QUEST is hard to oppose.

hard to beat, price gapper but again only a single run. Always at Chester we have to check any draw bias .Again let the odds do the work but find a reason to justify the odds - at present the single run is the problem but plenty of non runners mean fewer opponents

240 MR
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Barizan, 4/1 Forty Thirty, 9/1 Tombov, 10/1 Strikemaster, 11/1 Royal Max, 12/1 Classic Contours, 14/1 Nicky Nutjob, 16/1 Lakeman, 20/1 Miss Gibboa, 25/1 George Nympton, Strong Storm, 28/1 Richo, 33/1 Guga, 50/1 Highland Storm, 100/1 Hunting Magic.

DIOMED VERDICT: BARIZAN improved again when making all for a wide-margin win at Newton Abbot last time and ought to be very hard to catch if in the same form again.
Barizan falls into the Hard to beat category -has won last twice and market expects him to be competitive
McCoy onboard 9 if recovered from Fontwell fall earlier in week (I think he took day off yesterday)

320 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Oscar Dan Dan, 6/4 High Gales, 4/1 Beckett Rock, 14/1 Auenschutze, 25/1 Airgead Sios, 50/1 Borrowdale, Frankly Supreme, Rosanavic.
only 3 under 20/1 ,one of which is Ruby on an odds on shot - concern - 2 mile 6


355 MR
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 King Troy, 5/2 Robert The Brave, 4/1 Khachaturian, 11/2 Postmaster, 16/1 Ruff Diamond.

DIOMED VERDICT: Robert The Brave is considered but there's a lot to like about KING TROY who has already progressed to a BHA rating of 140 and shown a really determined attitude.

Alan King - one of the big stables. The 4 for King troy in recent form was only by 2 lengths in a 16 runner field - indicates he seems to consistently be at the business end of races = places!

415 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Rip Van Winkle, 2/1 Delegator, 6/1 Aqlaam, 20/1 Zacinto,

DIOMED VERDICT: Likely RIP VAN WINKLE will try to run the stamina out of Delegator and a repeat of his last two efforts will make him a hard horse to pass.

Mouthwatering clash and surely will involve Rip and Delegator for place only purposes? One clear outsider and one fly in the ointment.

645 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Arty Crafty, 5/1 Foxtrot Charlie, 10/1 Piquante, Transformer, 12/1 Noble Dictator, 16/1 Fine Tolerance, Freedom Fire, Hip Hip Hooray, 20/1 Colangnik, Refuse Toulouse, 33/1 The Dial House, 50/1 Allexes, 100/1 Ma Patrice, Whispered Lands.

DIOMED VERDICT: Arty Crafty looks plain lazy and FOXTROT CHARLIE, who's again liable to have plenty of use made of him from the inside stall, is a sensible each-way alternative.

Not a class 6 0-60 but a class 5 0-70 handicap price gapper - on a hatrick and priced to be competitive - hint of " hard to beat" about him, but hint that it's a horse that takes a lot of persuading - having said that has won twice and is a likely Prescott handicap plot to run up a sequence?

choice was rip van winkle but I have no idea why it didnt publish

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