25/9

All shortlisters came in. Anyone interested in Ajax would have had an anxious wait or the goal..or would they? go to www.soccerstats.com and look at the goal minutes or Ajax - the majority of their goals are scored in the 2nd half, and so it proved yesterday.
2 horses mentioned yesterday - Attrapeur looked all out the winner but was done at the line.
The Curley horse won after sustained support on Betfair. God Bless Barney Curley!!

Football first as I wait for the horse markets to form

16:00

Rubin Kazan vs Amkar Perm

1/3

Won 7 at home, away side have lost 6 away - I do like these contrasting stats, and recognise Amkar as the team beaten by Fulham - 1.37 to win but not in running

17:00

Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Lugansk

1/10

More contrasts - home team have won all 4 home, away side have lost all 3 away so odds suggest accuracy
Las head to head in March 1-0 but Dynamo have really been motoring at home - 1.12 not in running

17:45

Nigeria Youth vs Venezuela Youth

4/11

Odds were spot on yesterday for the Egyptians but then they were playing Trinidad and Tobago -1.47 in running

18:00

Unirea Urziceni vs Astra Ploitesi

3/10

A game to avoid I think - home side only been winning 1-0's at home, and away side have drawn 0-0 away a couple of times, not really indicative of a 3/10 shot - 1.3

20:30

Spain Youth vs Tahiti Youth

1/12

Now this looks a banker bet, as long as there is no complacency by the Spaniards.1.08 to win and 1.23 half time( market forces mean this is not an accurate price)

200 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Tryst, 9/2 Bawadi, 6/1 Rafiqa, Rainbow Peak, 7/1 Greylami, 12/1 Amanjena, 14/1 Dubai Crest, 25/1 Norwegian Dancer, 33/1 Charlie Cool, Jabal Tariq, 50/1 Ballinteni.

DIOMED VERDICT: The step up in trip will suit TRYST and he can acccount for some interesting 3yos

Odds on shot now and " all red" and a price gapper, ( more pronounced in the live market)-Ryan Moore onboard 1.21 to place

245 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 1/7 Atlaal, 8/1 Marius Maximus, 16/1 Maragna, 25/1 Mr Prize Fighter, 50/1 Ancient Oak, Sharp Shoes.

DIOMED VERDICT: ATLAAL was beaten at 1-4 last time but faces opposition of much lower calibre here and defeat would take some swallowing.

Let the odds do the work for you. 2 places so should be reasonable place only odds. 1.07 to place - 2 places

310 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Shamandar, 5/1 Dubawi Heights, 7/1 Theladyinquestion, 16/1 Danny´s Choice, 20/1 Excelling, Fardyieh, Perfect Ch´I, 25/1 Baby Dottie, Cultured Pride, 33/1 Fame Is The Spur, Jozafeen, Lenkiewicz, Magic Lantern, Royal Record, She´s Ok, 40/1 Gooseberry Bush, Pose, 50/1 Born A Dancer, Cyan Eyed, Mrs Boss, One Cool Poppy, Poppy N´Penny, Thoughtful, 66/1 Pavement Games, So Surreal, 150/1 Micky´s Bird, 200/1 Ellmollell.

DIOMED VERDICT: SHAMANDAR stands out and Dubawi Heights is the best each-way alternative.

27 2 year olds - YIKES! Glass half full - why is this one so short in such a big field
Glass half empty - surely layable with such a competitive field? 1.28 to place and 3 places - why so short? Must be a front runner to avoid any traffic problems


900 DUNDALK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Augustusthestrong, 3/1 Dabirana, 9/2 Northgate, 5/1 Ashka, 7/1 Maziona, 20/1 Tus Gealai.

Murtagh and O'Brien and a clear price gapper here - illiquid market here

920 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Veiled, 4/1 Jadalee, 13/2 Rose Row, 8/1 No Wonga, 10/1 Remember Ramon, 11/1 Sushitan, 14/1 Bushy Dell, 25/1 Cavendish, 33/1 Bull Market, 40/1 Actodos.

DIOMED VERDICT: VEILED can defy her big penalty at the expense of Jadalee.

Jadalee backed early on 1.39 and 1.43 to place the front 2

SHORTLIST
Dynamo Kiev - 1/10 shots in football generally mean 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 and home advantage too -not in running
Spain Youth was 1.11 last night and backed already to 1.08 and I can see no fault in this bet , bar complacency and youth. I mean, Tahiti!!!
200 ASCOT - Tryst is stepping up to 10 furlongs after running predominantly sprint distances (up to 8f)
Personally 1 mile 2 enters middle distance category and 8f is at the end of the sprint distances, meaning a different jockey outlook to the race
Still, odds on and backed all morning, right guy on board.Watch out or possible interest in Charlie Cool at big prices
1.21 to place is a nice price here
245 HAYDOCK -1.08 to place and 2 places means we don't want to see a repeat of his cock up at odds on last time-lowered in class and should oblige this time.
900 DUNDALK - faith in O'Brien and Murtagh who would not be hanging round til 9pm on a Friday to ride a donkey - illiquid market and 2 places-should be a reasonable price

2 Selections Chosen 1 Dinamo Kiev v Zorya (Backing Dinamo Kiev @ 1.09) 2 Spain U20 v Tahiti U20 (Backing Spain U20 @ 1.06)

Doubles Selections Odds* Stake Potential win 1 and 2 1.17 £100.00 £17.00 *Odds shown are indicative and may vary. More info

Total stake: £100.00 Your total potential win: £17.00

Possible option here
Spain under 20 stand out like a sore thumb - you know with these one a days that we are looking for a bet where it would be a shock i it didn't oblige - well this is it!
Half time/fulltime market not liquid enough but shows 1.23 which mirrors Ladbrokes 1/5 about Spain/Spain and this could be a good option
ONE A DAY
I am taken by the above multiple but it's not necessarily one a day is it - it involves reliance on 2 teams?
SPain under 20 stand out as banker material against world football heavyweights, erm, Tahiti, but we won't get much change or 1.08 .Dinamo Kiev have won 4 at home, away side lost 3 away, spanked 4-0 and 5-0, and 3-1. Kiev have won 3-1, 3-1, 3-1, 5-0, 6-0
Looks like a goalscorer against a conceder away from home - very obvious home win, or am I missing something?
So, despite 2 teams ,it's the multiple for me at a reasonable 1.17
Of the horses, Atlaal is obvious ( and I think brought me a loser last time in the one a days) and Augustusthestrong stand out for me.