Friday, 18 September 2009

18/9

Second 0-0 in 3 matches for Ajax meant I made the right decision going with Alainmaar who won. All of the mentions yesterday obliged.
No surprise seeing another 3-2 scoreline for Werder - 2-0 up and the 5/6 looked massive in hindsight. Villareal still found goalscoring difficult with a late 1-0 win. BEnfica continued their goalscoring momentum with a nice 2-0- Lazio LOST to Saltsburg ( cue Lazio win next time at their place only IF they are up for it)
AS it's early, I'll start with prospective footy again
14:00 Lokomotiv Sofia vs Montana 1/6
I have heard of the former, and associate the latter with survivalists and the Amish!
Last head to head 1997 hints that Montana are promoted to the top flight
Sofia have won both games this season, albeit by a solitary goal and Montana have a nice 3-0 win under their belts
I am not an expert on Bulgarian football however
17:00 Karlsruher vs FSV Frankfurt 1/3
4-0 loss at home for this 1/3 shot last time does not inspire confidence
19:00 Legia Warsaw vs Lechia GdaƄsk 1/3
This looks to be a tight affair with away side keeping things tight in their games. Away side have won twice away from home = momentum to perhaps upset the odds - a no play at 1/3 for me
Plenty of better footballing opportunities over this coming weekend
Bit of a rush now running late and usual slow Irish broadband does not help
150 ayr
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Hanson´D, 9/4 Green Lightning, 11/2 Gritstone, 8/1 George Benjamin, 16/1 Silver Socks, 20/1 Big Wave Bay, 25/1 Dinkys Diamond, 33/1 Lucky Windmill, Sixties Rock, 66/1 Acol, Monkton Vale.

DIOMED VERDICT: HANSON'D showed enough on his debut to have won most previous runnings of this race and his entries suggest he is well regarded.

risky as only one run but 1/2 now in places

200 nmkt
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Dherghaam, 9/4 Suited And Booted, 5/1 Sophie´s Beau, 12/1 Dever Dream, 14/1 Little Garcon, 20/1 Hayek, Tuscan Gold, 25/1 Kerchak, Side Glance, 33/1 Free For All, 50/1 Water Gipsy, 100/1 Bookiesindex Girl.

DIOMED VERDICT: The drop to sprinting looks a good move for SUITED AND BOOTED who was second to a potentially smart sort last time.

Only 3 under 14/1

305 nmkt
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Audacity Of Hope, 5/1 Arabian Pride, 6/1 Universal Circus, 7/1 Sea Lord, 10/1 Florio Vincitore, 14/1 Zinjbar.

DIOMED VERDICT: This looks a decent opportunity for AUDACITY OF HOPE to defy a 6lb penalty for last week's Doncaster success.

big price gapper in this handicap with Fallon on board , now 1/2

330 ayr
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Mister Manannan, 5/1 Skylla, 6/1 Archers Road, Puff, 7/1 Star Rover, 8/1 Duchess Dora, 20/1 Exotic Beauty, Vanishing Grey, 33/1 Aalsmeer, 40/1 Here Now And Why, 500/1 Lady Laurem,

DIOMED VERDICT: This looks a decent opportunity for MISTER MANANNAN to gain compensation for recent narrow defeats in similar company. Skylla is a likely danger.

possible hard to beat selection - listed race

415 nmkt
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Verdant, 9/2 Essexbridge, Invincible Hero, 14/1 Sassanian, 20/1 Forgotten Army, 25/1 Rock Of Eire.

DIOMED VERDICT: None of the quartet to have raced have achieved much and the well-bred VERDANT will not need to be anything special to make a winning debut.

1/2 now on reputation as debutant

505 Listowel
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Pires, 4/1 Next Week, 6/1 Satu, 7/1 Tribes And Banner, 8/1 Give A Little, 10/1 Holy Road, Moscow Breeze, Onzo Mor, 14/1 Takestan, 20/1 Saddle My Dream, 25/1 L´Oiseau De Feu, Tippointernational, 50/1 Captain Bondi, Notre Dame Magic, Robin Of Munster, 100/1 Kabis Booie, Molly Alone, Scattery Island.

Ruby+ Tony Martin+ odds on usually= win/place

820 wolves
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Aspro Mavro, 7/2 Espero, 5/1 Illuminative, Mr Udagawa, 16/1 At Wits End, Dark Camellia, 25/1 D´Artagnans Dream, Suzi´s Dancer, 33/1 Fulfilment, 66/1 Marina´s Ocean, Meydan Style, The Coach, Toballa.

DIOMED VERDICT: ASPRO MAVRO looked sure to justify market confidence in him on his reappearance until being worn down close home. He can make amends this time.

2nd fav now strong fav

shortlist/one a day
rushed now and 150 is about to go off, where i personally have place backed the fav - it's a real pain when the broadband is so slow. Hansord
GB / Ayr 18th Sep / 13:50 To Be Placed
Hansond Back 8953231027 18-Sep-09
13:47
1.14 200.00
1.14 18-Sep-09 13:47

Horse has just won ,so sorry for not being able to get this out earlier
audacity of hope is only 2 places , verdant is 2 places and a debutant expected to be a cut above, but we just don't know , pires has 17 opponents and has eased to odds against but as Ruby Walsh leaving Espero who should take advantage of the favs absence, but we need to see live market nearer the time

So a pity I could not get this out by 150 and good luck if you are having a play

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