Thou shalt trade when thou seeist a green screen! Who on earth envisioned a 3-3 draw up until the 90th minute. If you didn't trade at 3-1 Brazil and Kaka missed the penalty, then shame on you!
Again as you can see on the screen an opportunity for an enhanced bet (went as high as 4.7 at one stage) but I left it alone.
England under 21's 1-1 with 10 men - again a chance of an enhanced bet as they prevailed 2-1 as their initial 1/3 odds suggested
215 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Saxby, 7/1 Cassidy K, 15/2 Craicattack, 8/1 Bothwell Castle, 12/1 Dispol Kabira, Lord Raglan, 16/1 Fond, Joel The Mole, 20/1 Steeley Flyer, Zaskia, 25/1 Another Grand, 33/1 Whistling Wind, 40/1 Brave Ambition, 50/1 Mostofitleft.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Dropped in class and well drawn, SAXBY is likely to prove hard to beat. Fellow southern raider Craicattack may give him most to do.[Frank Carter] Potential hard to beat selection were it not for the fact this is a seller. BIG price gap but Cassidy K is now 3/1 reducing it considerably. 1.32 to place 230 ASCOT BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Gladiatorus, 3/1 Paco Boy, 4/1 Main Aim, 8/1 Alexandros, 9/1 Cesare, 10/1 Aqlaam, 25/1 Arabian Gleam, 33/1 Dream Eater, 50/1 Mac Love.
First race of an excellent card and all eyes on Gladiatorus " must take the beating if he's as good as that form suggests" states Spotlight regarding his recent run. Frankie is on Alexandros and he is Godolphin number 1 so why not the "sure thing"? As ever these classes of race are very competitive. The head of the market is tight too and Gladiatorus will have to fight here for victory. 1.57 to place 305 ASCOT
Desspite the field size there are 5 horses only under 16/1 - should these be the ones to concentrate on? Another group 1 means it's not as simple as all that! 1.9 and 1.98 the front 2 to place 345 ASCOT BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Mastercraftsman, 4/1 Delegator, 5/1 Evasive, 10/1 Intense Focus, 20/1 Soul City, 25/1 Lord Shanakill, Orizaba, 50/1 Pure Poetry, 66/1 Set Sail, 150/1 Born To Be King.
Delegator v MAstercraftsman part 3. Only 4 horses under 20/1 tell us the market leaders should be some way ahead of the field here. 4 top class jockeys on the top 4, and no Spencer on Delegator which should give confidence to that one's backers. 1.2 to place Mastercraftsman 420 ASCOT BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Canford Cliffs, 5/1 No Hubris, 8/1 Air Chief Marshal, Red Jazz, 14/1 Alrasm, 16/1 Moran Gra, 20/1 Fremont, Marsh Warbler, Raine´s Cross, Xtension, 25/1 Flying Statesman, Treadwell, Walkingonthemoon, 33/1 Rakaan.
All horses in this race have either won or come 2nd in their last 2 outings. Hint of a price gapper in Canford Cliffs, but a 6 furlong 14 runner group 2 2 year old sprint is not an easy race to win. 1.55 to place 715 NA BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Galilean, Kaladan, Qanta De Thaix, 8/1 Civil Servant, 9/1 Humbel Ben, 16/1 Psychological, 20/1 Mr Redwood, 25/1 Isitanywonder, Wadham Hill, 33/1 Calusa Lily, Miss Razzmatazz, Secret Dancer, 50/1 Cinnamon Hill, Kaftan Lad, 66/1 New Minerton, 100/1 Super Al.
Only 6 horses under 20/1 but a maiden hurdle and Kaladan is the one who's come in for support . 121 in his bumpers but no runs over obstacles. 1.4 to place 800 YARMOUTH BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Tilos Gem, 5/1 Marajaa, 6/1 Magnitude, 7/1 Kinsya, La Coveta, 8/1 Dear Maurice, 9/1 Saltagioo, 11/1 Spring Goddess.
At first glance this is a price gapper, but the outsider is only 11/1 which indicates this is a very competitive little race and perhaps Tilos Gem is not as standout as he first appears. 1.61 to place 915 NA BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Valbuena, 4/1 How´s My Friend, 9/2 Tollishill, 13/2 Iron Steve, 10/1 Miss Molly Moses, 12/1 Powerfullbeat, 14/1 Qaraarat, 16/1 Saddlewood, 33/1 Miss Totnes, William Weazle, 50/1 Joesgoldenscrumpy, Vixen Run.
To unseat your rider in a flat race takes some doing! 11/10 now and 7/1 the next horse, the trainer reputation preceeds this one. As ever with bumpers, especially with some 9+ hours til race start, the live market should really be consulted. 1.22 to place SHORTLIST 345 ASCOT - Surely MAstercraftsman can place at 1.20 in this race where only 4 horses are under 20/1. A 1.10 equivalent bet could be created by backing those 4 horses that are under 20/1 . I am just trying to find a reason to oppose Mastercraftsman and find any reason why he should get beaten by 3 other horses in this race, and that answer is - injury? Murtagh seems to be riding. His ban must start later in the week. Last ran 23rd of May so has had plenty of time to relax and recuperate. Different ground from that tackled in last win at the Curragh. I can't find any real weaknesses with Mastercraftsman. There are no other horses I would put up as a shortlister today. The races are either highly competitive or there's ifs and buts about short priced favs based really on their connections' reputations. ONE A DAY Simple case of MAstercraftsman here for me at 1.2 to place. I will decide on the dutch or straight place back nearer the off. Bit wary that this is a bit too "obvious" and easy a selection, but faith I suppose in Aiden O'Brien and Johnny Murtagh No confederations cup today, but, already, Spain v Iraq tomorrow has the £ signs ching-ching-chinging infront of me |
1 comment:
very good.
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