A superb day's racing at Epsom, but that doesn't necessarily mean superb from a place only perspective. The only solid thing there is that Aiden O'Brien should win the Derby, but on which of his multiple entries?
145 WORCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Pacha D´Oudairies, 7/2 Warsaw Pact, 4/1 Raslan, Shannon Springs, 10/1 King Jack, 12/1 Mister Wiseman, 20/1 Gift Of The Gods, 25/1 Just Silver, Lagosta, 33/1 Lucky Eric, 50/1 Blackanblue, Orion Star, 200/1 Marado.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PACHA D'OUDAIRIES, who had Raslan behind - Shannon Springs and Lucky Eric both came to grief - when going close over this C&D last time, can go one better. He has more scope for chasing than Raslan but Shannon Springs could be a threat if staying upright and chase newcomer Warsaw Pact may not be far away if taking to jumping fences.[DH] 3rd horse is a non runner and the live market shows 3 under 16/1 BUT look at the 200 Wolves yesterday - 3 horses under 12/1 and only ONE placed ( the fav luckily for me!) A beginners chase so race type must be accounted for 1.13 to place 210 HEXHAM BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Grasscutter, 11/4 Ballyvesey, 9/2 Breeze Out, 11/2 Lord Samposin, 6/1 Ballymacduff, 100/1 Rivers Run Free, Whatevertheweather.
6 runners now and a clear outsider and the fav odds on but still 2 places and jumps 1.34 to place 225 EPSOM BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Spacious, 3/1 Eva´s Request, 5/1 Alnadana, 7/1 Infamous Angel, 8/1 Red Dune, 9/1 Baileys Cacao, 33/1 Al Sabaheya, 40/1 Badiat Alzaman.
Price gapper of sorts here BUT as we have seen all flat season, those without a recent run really have underperformed, some NOT EVEN PLACING 1.41 to place does hint that the market does not see Spacious as nailed on 240 HEXHAM BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Evelith Echo, 9/4 Flemross, 5/1 Storymaker, 8/1 Willie Pep, 14/1 Doris´s Gift, Keene Spirit, 16/1 Double Gem, 66/1 Ebac.
HArd to beat selection this one 1.33 to place 245 WORCESTER BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Safe Investment, 5/1 Early Wings, Just Like That, 7/1 New Rackheath, 8/1 Paperchaser, 10/1 Sea Robber, 12/1 Mycenean Prince, Pagan Sword, Picky, 16/1 Kenwyn, King Among Queens, 33/1 Working Late. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A low grade contest but likely to be competitive and plenty with claims, including EARLY WINGS, whose initial efforts over fences have suggested he's going to be a better chaser than he was a hurdler. Safe Investment hasn't proved well named but that could change over fences and he's rated a threat with the champion in the saddle, while Just Like That and Paperchaser are others worth considering Now only 6 runners so yet again a 50/50 race with 3 places.BUT a very tight market 305 DONCASTER BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Laughter, 7/2 Lady Jane Digby, 5/1 Amanjena, 6/1 Short Affair, 9/1 Amanda Carter, Just Lille, 10/1 Tactful, 14/1 Suzi Spends. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With unknown quantities Laughter and Short Affair in the field, this is probably not a race to get too heavily involved in, but the vote goes to AMANJENA, who looks the sort who could make a better 4yo Another 6 runner 3 the place race -simply a lucky dip 50/50 chance 355 WORCESTER BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Keepitsecret, 7/2 Gaelic Flight, 5/1 Dead Or Alive, 11/2 Commemoration Day, 6/1 Lord Ryeford, 8/1 Kilrogan, 16/1 Presentandcorrect, 20/1 Prince Massini.
8 runners down to 4 - 3 places on betfair? Must be an outstanding opportunity to pick just one of the 4 to place and beat one horse 415 HEXHAM BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Take The Stand, 14/1 Cadoulitique, Leading Pearl, Over To Joe, 20/1 Archie Babe, Charming Knight, Dix Huit Cyborg, Fifth Column, Jupiter Jo, Lowlander, Nocatee, 25/1 Del Trotter, Was I Right, 50/1 Ellandshe.
You want a good example of a price gap - then take a look at this! 1.14 to place - hunter chase though 445 DONCASTER BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Avertor, 8/1 Dilli Dancer, 10/1 Fatal Attraction, 12/1 She´s In The Money, 16/1 Barley Bree, 25/1 Whisper Softly, 33/1 Moneysupermarket, Roodee King, 66/1 Exceed Elegance, Francis Albert,
Another price gapper 1.08 to place 450 HEXHAM BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Rupestrian, 9/2 Shaker Style, 12/1 Flaming Blaze, Irish Saint, 14/1 Hill Cross, Pontardawe, 100/1 Moon Warrior.
And another price gapper! 1.15 to place - only 2 places 530 CURRAGH BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Famous, 9/2 Humor Me Rene, 5/1 Wedding Day, 6/1 Sammuramat, 8/1 Your Gifted, 10/1 Full Of Hope, 12/1 Della´Alba, Fiona´s Spirit, 14/1 Kims Dream, 20/1 Bahamian Dove, Brosna Tied, Core Element, Intapeace, Pink Lemonade, Shake It Loose, Too Close, 25/1 Cinnamon Tart, 33/1 Big In Japan.
Eagerly awaited as Spotlight tells us and a price gapper BUT never run before and a big field maiden, even though it is Ballydoyle - illiquid market 640 NEWC BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Danzoe, 7/2 Toga Tiger, 5/1 Refuse To Wait, 11/2 Bradford, 8/1 Saint Sebastian, 25/1 Opus Dei, 33/1 High Rolling, Mason Hindmarsh, 50/1 Havelock Flyer.
Two 2nds augur well for this fav BUT note the number of debutants 1.22 to place - illiquid market 720 LING BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Chachamaidee, 11/2 Gundaroo, 6/1 Areeda, First Term, Hasty, 7/1 Pastel Blue, 8/1 Mrs Boss, 12/1 Athwaab. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only two with a run behind them and, with the others all hailing from leading yards, a race in which the betting should provide important clues. The importance of previous experience should never be underestimated, however, and MRS BOSS may know too much for potentially better types at this stage. Chachamaidee is a likely threat.[FC] 8 down to 5 and hopefully 3 places 830 CURRAGH BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Maurice Utrillo, 7/2 Cilium, 4/1 Sarawati, 6/1 Spinning Well, 7/1 Final Approach, 20/1 Crista Galli, Richmond, 25/1 Acushladear, Gatto Nero, Rocketscience, 33/1 Altogether, Malandrino, Mugan Bean, Space Race, 50/1 Miss Red Eye, Regrette Rien, Tax Dodger.
Well fancied Ballydoyle favourite with Aiden's son on board -illiquid market FOOTBALL
CHOICES Belarus, Finland and Slo vakia in a treble? pays out 1.17 Straight back of England? SHORTLIST 245 WORC, 305 DONC, 355 WORC and 720 LING are 4 races which are superb opportunities as they are generally 50/50 races. 6 horses , 3 of whom will place 355 WORCESTER is standout as it is 3 places and 4 runners I would place back the live market favourite here, who looks to be Dead or alive. You'd have to be an unlucky fecker for one of your selections not to place, but of course there is no such thing as a sure thing and anything can happen 415 HEXHAM - Take the stand is 1.14 based solely on the very eyecatching price gap. SLOVAKIA 1.16 to win half time/fulltime is very big fo a 1/66 shot - there's £600 available currently at 1.15. They are 1/66 and surely must have an outstanding chance of scoring a goal in the first half to no reply FINLAND 1.13 to win outright is reasonable enough ONE A DAY Probability wise, it must be the 355 Worcester - 4 horses - 3 places -just make sure you pick the horse that does NOT get beaten by 3 others in a 4 horse race. Default for me would be the favourite here -Dead or alive currently at around 1.10 - crap odds but GREAT probability Football wise, Slovakia at 1.16 to win half time/ full time looks very enticing. There are many many many outstanding opportunities today, so if your opinion differs from mine, then get stuck in! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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