My horse did not get beaten by 3 others in a 4 horse race so although the odds were rubbish, the prospect of not collecting was very good
230NA
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Barizan, 5/2 True Britannia, 8/1 Kaiser Willie, 33/1 Graysland, Lagan Handout, Stafford Charlie, 50/1 Behind Blue Eyes, 100/1 Harry Africa.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BARIZAN was the best of these on the Flat and could also be happier on the rain-softened ground than True Britannia, who appeals as the most likely threat. It's tough to make a case for any of those with hurdling experience.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones] 1.1 to place for this newcomer to hurdling. HAs the Champ on board |
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Vegas Baby, 3/1 Billy Beetroot, 7/2 Papillio, 6/1 Caribbean Coral, 7/1 Creative, 14/1 Mr Rev, 20/1 Briery Lane.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: VEGAS BABY comes with risks as she reminded us at Leicester last time but if putting her best foot forward (today's smaller field may help) then this is a very winnable opportunity at the weights. Papillio and Billy Beetroot shouldn't be far away.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones] |
They got the win in Billy Beetroot yesterday with the change to Ryan Moore and I got on at 1.47 in anticipation. Will he place again or is it job done for this one as a place only prospect? 1.84 to place
345 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Aroundthebay, 7/2 Defector, Rio Royale, 5/1 Soul Sista, 6/1 Quick Single, 14/1 Satwa Street.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Aroundthebay is the least exposed and will find this far less competitive than at Newbury last time when the softish ground/extra furlong might have contributed to a disappointing effort. Preference is for DEFECTOR, who also had a valid excuse last time and had looked unlucky here previously. Neither has form on a soft surface, however, and in such circumstances it wouldn't surprise to see Soul Sista stage a revival.[
4 horses and 2 places -a 50/50 race
500 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Benetwood, 11/4 Rapide Plaisir, 5/1 Mr Shambles, 8/1 Share My Dream, 12/1 Hitaaf, 40/1 Buck The Trend, 50/1 Just Mossie, Levantine, 66/1 Irish Stream.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Benetwood has a clear chance of following up last week's win in this grade at Uttoxeter judged on official figures but looked a reluctant hero there and preference will be for RAPIDE PLAISIR, who has been running creditably in better races over fences, provided the ground is no worse than good to sof |
3 horses only under 16/1 1.16 , 1.51 and 1.42 the front 3 to place.
650 PONTEFRACT
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Angelena Ballerina, 4/1 Shibhan, 7/1 Midnight Martini, 8/1 Dancing Poppy, 14/1 Bubbelas, Wood Fair, 33/1 Blade Of Glory, Smicker Smacker.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There should be improvement to come from the once-raced quintet, but ANGELENA BALLERINA (nap) sets a decent standard on form and should relish the stiff 6f. Softening ground would be an unknown factor. Shibhan looks the main threat. |
price gapper here in this maiden 1.15 to place
820 PONTEFRACT
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Eva´s Request, 7/2 Rosaleen, 10/1 Trumpet Lily, 12/1 Just Lille, Lady Rangali, 25/1 Nice To Know, 33/1 Rio Guru, 40/1 Black Dahlia, 150/1 Amber Moon.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be a penalty kick for the smart EVA'S REQUEST if she's allowed to turn out very quickly after her success in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom on Saturday. Without her participation, the standard of Listed event will be weakened greatly, presenting the useful Rosaleen with a decent opportunity of her own.[Steven Boow] |
Fav a non runner here should surely open it up to the last remaining horse under 10/1. Interesting that Just lille now 3/1.Again Rosaleen has not run since September 2008 1.23 to place
FOOTBALL
England under 21 v Azerbaijan under 21 should be a doddle and could offer a quick bet in a poor day's racing 1.1 the win and 1.37 half time/full time
SHORTLIST
230 NEWTON ABBOTT - it would take a lot of faith in the Champion jockey's abilities to back Barizan at 1.1 to place as he has never run competitively over hurdles.
345 FOLKSTONE - a 4 horse race and 2 places. A straight 50/50 race. Look at the screenshots and you'll see the very big prices on all of these horses. 2 will place, 2 will not - it's lucky dip time!
650 PONTEFRACT - Angelina Ballerina is a price gapper " likely to prove hard to beat". Another maiden with more debutants and one time outers open to improvement. You place your faith, then, in the live market vibes. 1.15 to place
ENGLAND YOUTH V AZERBAIJAN 1.1 to win. These under 20 games can be highly temperamental and have brought their fair share of surprises but hopefully the young English men will prevail as their odds suggest. Again Betfair has their correct score 2 market up in anticipation of cricket score.
1.37 is very enticing for half time/ full time. England only have to score once in the first half to no reply for the bet to come in.
ONE A DAY
345 FOLKSTONE is very enticing and would be one for the lucky dippers. 4 horses run, one is at 8/1 and can hopefully play no part. A 50/50 race
You can see one horse at 4.00 to place, and the other 3 simply cannot be split. Take your pick really. I cannot put one forward as it would be a guess! This happened last time remember when the horse I chose did not place. This bet, I would suggest is for target profit per dayers looking to win their target profit. As before your stake is twice your target profit and well worth the risk.
I know some, like me, place £100 level stakes on these place only bets so ideally I want them to be nailed on. This is NOT nailed on but offers a great chance of a good return with a little luck on your side.
options - back the live market fav? back the shortest price left in the betting forecast? Lay Quick single? Decide using the live market nearer the off.
The real one a day I think will be England youth at 1.1 the win. This is the nailed on option. I will be backing halftime/fulltime at 1.37 in the hope England score in the first half - always a great risk with these youngsters.
From the horses, 650 Ponte Angela Ballerina looks to be the one today. 1.15 offers the greatest odds, but the risk is the maiden race. Has had 3 runs though. Spotlight mentioned the ground as potentially softening. NO BET if ground softens.
A bad day today from a betting perspective.
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