Thank God for one a day. I went for Spain and they were 3-0 up at half time thanks to David Villa. So that was job done, with the Faroes amazingly beating Russia's under 21's and the fav in the 700 Southwell not placing.
It's down to one decision and could so easily have been a losing day. The 500pm start for the Spain game coincidentally saved the day.
I suspect today will be another football bet with full international sides out against minnows - no under 21's today!!
200 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Maidtorun, 7/1 Midget, Reel Credit Crunch, 8/1 On The Piste, 10/1 Mal And Dave, Out The Ring, 14/1 Gasparilla, 20/1 Sir Christie, 33/1 Dencolstina, Menediva, 40/1 Suzys Dream, 50/1 Three Sons,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MAIDTORUN failed to give her running upped to 6f in higher grade last time but a return to the form she showed to win her maiden over C&D will make her hard to beat from a favourable draw. Gasparilla would have place prospects if putting a poor run last time behind her, while Midget is a newcomer worth noting in the market.[Frank Carter] |
A very clear price gapper here but the race type is a 2 year old class 6 claimer which is most offputting. A " hard to beat" selection here but we MUST account for the race type 1.26 to place
210 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Saloon, 3/1 Gloucester, Stringsofmyheart, 7/2 All In The Red, 12/1 Masterofceremonies,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of in-form runners to choose from. GLOUCESTER goes well on fast going and is awarded the vote but it's only a narrow one over Saloon and Stringsofmyheart |
Stringsofmyheart is a non runner and must make life easier for the principles. Masterofceremonies remains at 12/1 so should play no part. 4 runners and 2 places here, but we saw with the 700 Southwell - with top heavy markets, the 2 closely priced favs rarely finish 1-2 as you would like them to.
I must admit I do like Fred Tylicki as a jockey on Gloucester
220 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Mountain Cat, 6/1 Annes Rocket, 13/2 Hart Of Gold, 7/1 Applesnap, 8/1 Lord Deevert, 10/1 Duke Of Milan, 14/1 Light The Light, 16/1 Lady Florence, 20/1 Neboisha, 25/1 Harrison´s Flyer, 50/1 Listen Carefully.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The drop in trip and wide draw will put some off but a rejuvenated MOUNTAIN CAT looks well enough handicapped to win anyway and can make his long trip worthwhile. Hart Of Gold may pose most problems.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones] |
Another price gapper here in a handicap. Good recent form and another Spotlight says is " hard to beat" BUT I am very wary that there are a lot of new names writing Spotlight and their analysis obviously has changed from those who have gone before.
HE falls into the class 6 0-65 handicp price gapper BUT 2 of these have not performed recently and one of them had a wide draw like Mountain Cat has today.
330 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Joe Jo Star, 8/1 Cheers For Thea, 10/1 King´s Ransom, 14/1 Shaylee, Umverti, 16/1 Hippolytus, Just Observing, King Of Connacht, 25/1 Bollin Freddie.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hard to get away from JOE JO STAR here, with his career having taken off since joining Richard Fahey. He made short work of this mark at Ayr last time and although this looks a bit tougher, he may have more to come on the Flat.[Paul Smith] Price gapper emphasised now by the non runners - 9 runner field down to 6 must allow the fav an outstanding place only chance? The price, I suspect, will reflect this! 350 BRIGHTON BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Brett Vale, 7/1 Beaubrav, 8/1 Primo Dilettante, 14/1 Orsippus, 16/1 Charlie Smirke, Transformer, 20/1 Peak, Red Reef, 25/1 Squad, 50/1 Kneesy Earsy Nosey.
0-65 class 6 handicap price gapper here, now 1/2 . Again as you see, a new name in Spotlight - can we trust this guy and his analysis. I've not heard of him. 430 BEV BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Espiritu, 7/2 Crime Writer, 7/1 Ettrick Mill, 8/1 Freya´s Flight, 16/1 Chief Red Cloud, Helieorbea, 100/1 Billy Bowmore, Bluebird Chariot, Cottam Breeze.
9 runners down to 7 and a top heavy market with the front 2 clear and fancied to have this race between them. This is a maiden though, but the fav has had plenty of runs -positive - he's experienced - negative - he's exposed? 2 horses are 100/1 which reduce the competitive field further. 840 HAMILTON BETTING FORECAST: Evs Fremen, 9/4 Moody Tunes, 7/1 Castlebury, 8/1 Heureux, 20/1 Actabou, 25/1 Beaumont Boy, 40/1 Borodinsky, 100/1 Orpen Bid,
9 down to 7 and hopefully 3 places but again we have 2 strong market leaders made stronger with the 3rd fav's absence. Will these 2 fight out the finish?- that's the question FOOTBALL
1.09 over 1.5 goals 1.23 to be winning at half time ( this is very enticing!) Sweden have to score 1 to no reply before half time
Do we have a trade already? England -3.5 is 1.47 but unquoted is 1.38 to lay ( this assumes Andorra don't score of course) Over 3.5 goals is 1.3 and is tradeable after 2 have been scored. Rooney is 1.58 to score! Never seen odds on before! SHORTLIST 210 HAYDOCK 4 horses and 2 places. Can we make a case for just one of these in yet another 50/50 race? Gloucester has Fred tylicki on board and I like him as a jockey 330 BEVERLEY It was always going to be rubbish odds. 1.07 for Joe Joe Star to place in the first 3 in a 6 horse race. Will 3 horses seriously beat this one? 350 BRIGHTON Brett Vale is 1.11 to place and is a price gapper in a low grade handicap. 8 runners mean 3 places which is a positive. FOOTBALL Sweden v Malta 1.09 for over 1.5 goals and 1.23 for HALF TIME Sweden - Sweden need to score to no prely in the first minutes - this is eyecatching. Netherlands are also enticing at 1.45 given their attacking line up, kuyt, Van Persies, Vennegor of Hesselink and Huntelaar are class acts and full of goals ( he says as it's 0-0 after 89 minutes!!) Home advantage. I can't believe England are 1.14 to win at half time. This is HUGE given they are 1/200 in the match odds market. ONE A DAY It MUST be England half time at 1.14 on Betfair - surely they can breach the Andorran's within 45 minutes? As ever it is no given (see faroes win yesterday) BUT it will be a major shock surely if England cannot score to no reply before half time |
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