Saturday 28 November 2009

28/11

Job done yesterday with Punchestowns and PSV - 1-1 within 30 mins

Another enhanced bet when 4/11 PSV went 2-1 down!! Nice little profit there

1245 FAIRYHOUSE
BETTING FORECAST: EvensF Donnas Palm, 11/10 Mourad, 8/1 Time Electric, 14/1 City Meaning, 16/1 Rotorua.

50/50 race now with Time Electric out. Mourad is the Mullins horse and they are hot at the moment - only 2 places 1.16 to place but heavy ground

110 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Spinning Bailiwick, 9/2 Elusive Ronnie, 11/2 Head To Head, 15/2 Colombard, 12/1 Equinity, 20/1 Boundless Applause, 25/1 Native Dame, Tricky Trev, 33/1 Battimoore, Commandingpresence, Davids Mark,

DIOMED VERDICT: A 6lb penalty covers only a fraction of the improvement SPINNING BAILIWICK appeared to show in midweek and she must be hard to beat if lasting the extra furlong.

Price gapper in a class 7 handicap here could place as per my price gapper in a lowly handicap system 1.3 to place

135 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Big Buck´s, 6/1 Duc De Regniere, 10/1 Nacarat, 14/1 Lough Derg, 16/1 Blazing Bailey, 20/1 Souffleur, 50/1 No Refuge.

DIOMED VERDICT: This ought to be fairly straightforward for last season's champion staying hurdler BIG BUCK'S, who could be followed home by Duc De Regniere.

Walsh onboard and 1/3 in such a top class race should relay confidence 1.15 to place

150 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Binocular, 7/4 Solwhit, 10/1 Sublimity, 16/1 Go Native, 20/1 Al Eile, 50/1 Blue Bajan, Won In The Dark.

DIOMED VERDICT: It's hard to envisage the finish not being fought out principally by BINOCULAR and Solwhit. Solwhit is capable of producing a devastating burst of speed in testing conditions but, unless the rain unexpectedly arrives in torrents, conditions will favour Nicky Henderson's rising star, who is taken to make amends for his narrow defeat in the Champion Hurdle in March.

The fighting fifth should be between 2 horses, all things being equal, and it is that confidence that Bin and Sol will be the 2 which would be the only reason I would contemplate a place only bet - only 2 places 1.29 and 1.54 the front 2 to place

200 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Great Endeavour, 11/8 Jaunty Journey, 10/1 Its A Classic, 66/1 Ringsend Rose.

DIOMED VERDICT: GREAT ENDEAVOUR can make a winning start over fences on the back of his excellent effort in defeat at Cheltenham.

Interesting race with one clear outsider - can't find the place market

225 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Quantitativeeasing, 8/1 St Devote, 10/1 Wave Power, 14/1 Papa Caruso, 16/1 Cocoa Key, Mr Syntax, 20/1 Beauchamp, Eyre Square, 25/1 Sole Witness, 33/1 Patriot, Too Cool To Fool, 50/1 Arc Warrior, Shadrack, Super Ally, 100/1 Great Vintage, Mister Grady.

DIOMED VERDICT: QUANTITATIVEEASING looked a bit special winning a Punchestown bumper in April and there will be some long faces if he fails to make a successful transition to hurdling, making his debut at a relatively modest level.

They expect from Quantitativeeasing under McCoy 1.13 to place

240 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Denman, 6/1 Barbers Shop, 13/2 What A Friend, 8/1 Killyglen, 9/1 Cappa Bleu, 14/1 State Of Play, 16/1 Ballyfitz, Gone To Lunch, Nenuphar Collonges, Snowy Morning, 28/1 My Will, 33/1 An Accordion, Kornati Kid, Niche Market, Offshore Account, War Of Attrition, 50/1 Joe Lively, Mon Mome, 66/1 Chelsea Harbour,

DIOMED VERDICT: Victory for Denman would be hugely popular but better value may be obtained with another previous winner in STATE OF PLAY.

HEart more than head here for Denman but if competitive, will be a nice place price 2.04 to place and 4 places

320 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Passkey, 7/4 Mustakmil, 9/2 Mile High Lad, 10/1 Peponi, 20/1 Cativo, Madame McManus, 33/1 Big Sur, Iron Master, 66/1 Espresso Steps,

DIOMED VERDICT: In an uncompetitive event MUSTAKMIL is taken to beat Passkey.

322 form is promising for place only 1.18 to place

FOOTY
1pm Shaktar 1.19 - only match odds avaiable and not in running
Werder v Wolfsburg - over 1.5 goals 1.18 and tradeable

ONE A DAY - time is running out so I'll chance Big Bucks at 1.15 to place -again only 2 to place

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