Thursday 26 November 2009

26/11

Carbon copy of their game against Racing - 1-0 , early goal from Higuan. No Ronny starting meant no goals bet for me. Aeroplane -I took the 1.06 and he won with ease - rubbish odds but keeps the run going.
Enhanced bet? How about laying Hull 3-0 up at half time at 1.06?
Soccer > Hull v Everton : Match Odds Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£)
Hull * 1.36 235.14 Back 83.75
Hull 1.06 300.00 Lay 25-Nov-09 20:47 -18.00
*Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 83.75
Lay subtotal: -18.00
Market subtotal: 65.75
Commission @ 4.4%: 2.89
Net Market Total: 62.86
My outlay for this bet? £18 liability. Everton scored 2 and I got out at 1.36 ( could have got out at bigger odds but was umming and ahhing about whether to consider a 3rd Everton goal)
£62 profit for a £18 stake - nice
Enhanced bet Man Utd? In my articles I mention fancying the team before the off. This was effectively a dead rubber so when Besiktas scored, it didn't realy matter to United. That said, I did get involved in the 90th minute when the magic Fergie ability to distort time allowed 5 minutes more in the match.

1255 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Riverside Theatre, 7/4 Lady An Co, 7/1 Calusa Crystal, Captain Americo, 16/1 Al Co, 25/1 Gibbonsgrove.

DIOMED VERDICT: This should rest between Riverside Theatre, the clear pick on official hurdle ratings, and LADY AN CO, who has chasing experience and gets a handy weight allowance.

Under Barry Geraghty, Riverside is now odds on. Another newcomer over chase fences but strong connections 1.37 to place relays small field and ground - 2nd fav has great weight allowance

155 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Ernst Blofeld, 7/2 Another Display, Our Hero, 7/1 Rico Hombre, 33/1 Naval Hero, Phoenix Des Mottes, Young Yozza.

DIOMED VERDICT: A return to his best should see ERNST BLOFELD very hard to beat granted a clear round on his chasing debut.

3 can hopefuly be discounted here and Ernst has those trigger words from Diomed " hard to beat" -not run since March and 2 places is the niggle 1.31 to place and only 2 places

250 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Sahrati, 9/2 Duke Of Lucca, 5/1 Synthe Davis, 8/1 Henry Hook, Scandal, 10/1 Exolthir, 12/1 Comehomequietly, 20/1 Spent, 33/1 Star King, 100/1 Galloise, Red Leaves.

DIOMED VERDICT: SAHRATI looks the one to be with after a pleasing hurdling debut at Bangor.

Alan King's are generally running well and Sahrati could be a good placer 1.17 to place

345 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Oscar Whisky, 6/1 Amroth Bay, 13/2 Eight Palms, 7/1 Rock On Ruby, 8/1 Tail Of The Bank, 10/1 Court In Motion, 12/1 Penylan Star, 14/1 Midnight Prayer, 16/1 Pere Blanc, 20/1 Citrus Mark, Medicine Man, 50/1 Real Tempo.

DIOMED VERDICT: OSCAR WHISKY could put his experience to good use.

2nd fav is out and Oscar is well thought of and a price gapper - not a jumps race but a bumper, and a word about the importance of the market with bumpers 1.18 to place

400 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Irish Music, 9/4 The Wee Chief, 11/2 Ride A White Swan, 12/1 Cullybackey, 16/1 Lunaticus, 25/1 Bella Fighetta, Oxbridge,

DIOMED VERDICT: IRISH MUSIC sets a fair standard and can take advantage of a more straightforward opportunity than last time.

3 places is great to see and makes this a race for the shortlist 1.13 to place

430 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Total Impact, 11/4 Misaro, 7/1 All About You, 10/1 Piazza San Pietro, 16/1 Peopleton Brook, 33/1 Desert Dust, Mr Rio, Valentino Swing, 50/1 Tadlil, 66/1 Brazilian Brush.

DIOMED VERDICT: bMISARO is 1-3 over C&D with his win coming in impressive fashion and he can upset likely favourite Total Impact over this trip.

Saw with Aeroplane that an extremely strongly fancied favourite in a claimer looks worth following - Total impact the one? 1.22 to place

FOOTBALL
Napoli the shortest priced of those involved in the Italian Cup 1.32
TENNIS - with all of the big boys playing each other, surely trading is the way to go. The fluctuations in the Nadal v Davydenko match had traders drooling

SHORTLIST
155 UTTOXETER - follow Diomed's confidence in Ernst Bloefeld? Only 2 places though
345 NEWBURY - Oscar Whiskey is the mover in the bumper but we are at a disadvantage making a decision now as these bumpers revolve around the market
400 KEMPTON - Irish Music is one of 3 under 20/1 and 1.13 to place and 3 places - looks a great probability race

ONE A DAY
Looks to be Irish Music at time of writing - only 4 to beat to place in the 1st 3

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