Todber was 4th by 2 lengths but my 1.10 trade on that was hit so no profit and no loss there.
I wish I'd followed my instincts and went with SPain under 17's - the price 1.41 was very enticing and they duly went 2 goals up quickly
Jose kept his home record with an exciting 5-3 win for Inter
A 4 timer from Dettori yesterday - another wish! Wish I'd backed Godolphin yesterday!
1240 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Mawzoon, 5/1 Asraab, 6/1 Imperial Delight, 8/1 Beaumont´s Party, Ghazwah, May Chorus, 10/1 Hajjaan, 12/1 Illustrious Prince, 16/1 Tell Halaf, 20/1 Billie Jean, Decency, 25/1 Compton Way, State Gathering, 40/1 Hallucinating, 50/1 Gojeri, 66/1 Brody´s Boy.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Illustrious Prince may prove the pick of those who have raced but it will be no surprise if the winner comes from among the newcomers, with ASRAAB and Mawzoon particularly interesting. |
Hold that last thought - it's Frankie on Asraab backed into favouratism despite being a debutant ( didn't stop them yesterday) 1.5 to place
115 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Quick Wit, 11/4 Youm Jamil, 11/2 Man Of Action, 12/1 Kajima, Uphold, 14/1 Awsaal, 16/1 King´s Warrior, 20/1 Kakatosi, Scarboro Warning, 25/1 Battle Honour, Pittodrie Star, 33/1 Trovare, 40/1 Brigadoon, 50/1 Beauchamp Yeoman, Huff And Puff, Micky P, Vumbura, 66/1 Blitzed,
| DIOMED VERDICT: The betting can help point the way with the newcomers, but QUICK WIT and Youm Jamil, with experience behind them, may well dominate. |
Quick wit again for Godolphin, has had 2 runs. 1.28 to place
150 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Puff, 6/1 Conniption, Queen´s Grace, 12/1 Amitola, Seeking Dubai, 14/1 Skylla, 16/1 Manx Miss, Tomintoul Singer, 20/1 Coin From Heaven, Roodle, 25/1 Jeanie Johnston, 66/1 Chaussini.
| DIOMED VERDICT: PUFF (nap) stands out on her Cheveley Park fourth. Conniption is a decent each-way alternative. |
Listed race and likely " to be hard to beat" is Puff 1.28 to place and remember listed races contain half decent competition
205 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Bannville, 5/2 Chicago Outfit, 9/2 Ifandbutwhy, Railway Park, 33/1 Hugs Dealer, 40/1 Grey Dasler.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BANNVILLE won't have to be Festival material to defy a penalty. |
Simple 50/50 race - 2 will place, 2 won't 1.32 for McCoy's Bannville
630 DUNDALK
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Dynasty, 6/1 Wit And Wisdom, 13/2 Masela, 8/1 Gearanai, 12/1 Bashir Biyoum Zain, One Set, 14/1 Croi Eile, Goddess Of Light, 16/1 The Glamour Cat, 50/1 Ebony Cat, Little Miss Muppet, Maid Of The Castle, Proceedwithcaution, Watson´s Fancy,
O'Brien/Murtagh on Dynasty price gapper 1.11 place but market illiquid
FOOTBALL
3pmGermany U17 v Honduras U17
1.25 and surely Ze germans should have too much? And it's in play
815 pm Porto v Belenenses
1.22 for Porto won all home matches, and have beaten teams around Belenenses in the table 3-0 and 3-1. Concern with Belenenses is their last 2 aways have been 1-1 and 0-0, the latter against Sporting, a team similar to Porto. A bit of bus parking then? - or 3 goals at least from the home side?
SHORTLIST
Porto - you make your choice here - look at Sporting 0 Belenenses 0 as a guide or Porto's 3-1 and 3-0 wins AWAY to teams on either side of Belenenses in the league -with their home form I would go with the latter and trade if they score first
German under 17's very enticing at 1.25 - motivation - they MUST WIN ,simple as that. Honduras ,though, have only lost 1-0 to both Nigeria and Argentina so can be pains to break down . But the motivation is there for the Germans -lose or draw and they are out of the World Cup. Win and they still hang on the thread of other results allowing them to go through
115 NMKT - of the Godolphin pair, Quick Wit has the experience and could be preferred
150 NMKT- Puff " clear form pick and likely to be hard to beat" - so says Diomed and I see those " hard to beat" words as a trigger 1.28 to place, only 3 under 12/1 and currently 11/10
ONE A DAY
I want to do a nailed on one a day and a bigger priced one a day as I keep throwing away good bets like Spain under 17 yesterday at 1.41 for Ashkazar at a piffling 1.08 ( BUT much more solid probability wise)
So my nailed on one a day? Not the Germans as Honduras only lost by a solitary goal. Porto look far more solid at 1.22 to trade out.Perhaps over 1.5 goals here at the same price which will involve both sides with a cover of 0-0 given that belenenses held Sporting at home 0-0
PUFF at 1.28 would be my bigger priced one a day ( just experiment mode at the moment)
of the horses, I would side with Dynasty in the 630 Dundalk to keep the strong record for Ballydoyle when their horses are fancied
So, bigger priced would be Puff
ONE A DAY would be Porto tonight to either back in the match odds and trade out after they hopefully score first or over 1.5 goals which involves both sides
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