26/10

New rule for me - football matches must be in running. Shaktar scored first and I could not trade out - they go on to draw 1-1 and go a man down. Contrast with over 1.5 goals in the Arsenal match. They go 1-0 up , you can trade out at 1.07 to lay, having backed at 1.22
Job done.
Again, I was happy with the football generally. West Ham did what they did with Liverpool another top 4 side) and scored twice. As seen in the October newsletter, this method of guaging likely goals by similar opposition played last time is proving very effective. Similar with Porto. I hinted at a fight from the bottom side and so it was 0-0 half time before the inevitable Porto breakthrough. Barca reverted to type thank God. Shooting boots working again, and Dunguib was an easy winner, as expected - watch out for him at Cheltenham in March - a serious horse.
120 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Racy, 4/1 Chaperno, Ongoodform, 6/1 Magnus Thrax, Treadwell, 10/1 Regency Art, 20/1 Ramamara, 100/1 Ballyvonane, Billyonair.

DIOMED VERDICT: There was good support for MAGNUS THRAX in a better race than this at Newmarket last month and he may have more to come. Very interesting with 2 100/1 or bigger Racy now 10/11 - - - - - 5/1 in live market. 1.2 to place 150 LING BETTING FORECAST: Evs Treasure Town, 7/1 Life And Soul, 8/1 Penangdouble O One, 12/1 Boston Blue, Kahfre, Lady Cavendish, 20/1 Big Hands Lynch, Rakhapura, 33/1 Consult, Patachou, 100/1 Daryainur, DIOMED VERDICT: TREASURE TOWN made a promising debut at Leicester and can get off the mark in a weak maiden Yes it's a maiden, and yes he's only had one run but godolphin have been in great recent form 1.2 to place 205 GALWAY BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Last Draw, 7/2 Daneva, 14/1 Teve Na Mara, 20/1 Regal Obligation, 100/1 Opsimath, The Three Colleens. Heavy ground here but a horse who knows how to win on heavy. At least 3 outsiders should reduce the competitive field. 1.33 to win and 1.08 to place and is proven on heavy 250 LING BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Tinaar, 3/1 Akbabend, 5/1 Hajmah, 8/1 Colonel Flay, Evident Pride, 12/1 Mister New York, Shady Lady, 14/1 Resurge, 16/1 Wind Flow. DIOMED VERDICT: TINAAR has a progressive profile and can return to winning ways in a competitive handicap. Price gapper here now 5/4 live market. But 16/1 the outsider indicates competitive 1.34 to place 310 KEMP BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Mutafajer, 7/2 Silk Street, 9/2 Grey Bunting, 6/1 Dame Shanakill, Prizefighting, 11/1 Alubari, Silent Dancer, 16/1 Ana Moutabahi, 20/1 Dhan Dhana, 28/1 Far View, 66/1 Celtic Ransom, Passionate Cry, Roybuoy, 100/1 Joan´s Legacy. DIOMED VERDICT: Silk Street, Grey Bunting and MUTAFAJER look open to improvement having shown promise on their first start. The newcomers should be monitored in the betting. Godolphin again 10/11 in places 1.23 to place 330 LEIC BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sovereign Remedy, 4/1 Mabait, 11/2 Swift Chap, 12/1 Kinsya, 14/1 Charlie Tipple, Daaweitza, Zomerlust, 16/1 Cobo Bay, Rock Anthem, Spitfire, 20/1 Guilded Warrior, 50/1 City Of The Kings, Stevie Gee. DIOMED VERDICT: SOVEREIGN REMEDY will be hard to beat if reproducing last week's demolition job on Fibresand now returned to turf. Potential hard to beat selection, but 2nd and 3rd have both won their last 2 1.59 to place footy 5pm - apoel 1.22 - recent game performances against Chelsea and Porto show they are in good heart but then the same could have been said about Shaktar yesterday -NOT IN RUNNING so we can't secure the bet if they score first 815 Benfica v nacional 1.32 - scored 14 goals in 3 games at home - unbeaten this season - on a 6 game winning streak - in 4 of last 5 games they have scored 3 or more goals - NAcional lost 3-0 to Porto so this is a guide to how they may perform against Benfica, Sporting lisbon and Braga. Have lost to 2 of the top 5 away from home. On a 3 match winning run. Odds look about right here. Need to ensure no injury worries for Benfica as the guys who have been slotting the goals in will want to be playing this evening. SHORTLIST 120 LING- - Racy should face 5 realistic contenders here for 3 places and is very well fancied in the betting 205 GALWAY - The last draw is proven on heavy and so this is not a major concern. A concern is only 2 places Benfica are in the form of their lives at the moment. Concern is that winning streaks and sequences always end some time ONE A DAY The last draw I would see as the riskiest bet of the above 3 despite ability to handle heavy ground.2 places allow for no margin of error and 1.08 is a little too small . Like the other day with Illuminative, the win market can be approached I suppose to lay off in running Racy - any niggles? well it's 2 year olds again and they are still learning. A 5 horse race if we can discount 25/1 and 2 100/1 horses. Positives? - Ryan Moore on board and progressive Benfica - have been red hot but sequencing a concern -losing run will end. My choice today? Racy but for those not liking 2 year olds then Benfica look solid with trading in mind