Monday 12 October 2009

12/10

Aohna just pipped to 2nd place a great Frustration given Algeria won 3-1 and Notts County over 1.5 goals game in the first half, and Admin won very easily. Bass rock placed, Rayeni won,Jumbo rio won. That is the problem with 2 the place races and lesson learned.
I should have gone with Algeria ,for, as I said, none of the short odds international matches faltered over this weekend, which means the bookmakers have these games accurately priced up

Let's see what Monday unfolds

135 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Inside Track, 4/1 Lenkiewicz, 11/2 Flaming Miracle, 6/1 Donna Elvira, 7/1 Layla´s Boy, 8/1 Madame Roulin, 16/1 Ermyntrude, 20/1 Jasmeno, 25/1 River Landing, Strike A Deal, 50/1 Reve De Mardi, Roybuoy.

DIOMED VERDICT: The two to concentrate on may be LENKIEWICZ and Inside Track, with Donna Elvira an interesting newcomer.

Interesting move for Strike the deal at time of writing - if staying 16/1 he may be an option. Interestingly, I followed smoke and mirrors yesterday and it performed really well in both the UK and Ireland, and ,using the smoke and mirrors, in tandem with following betfair and the 16/1 system can help you make good profits to very small stakes - front 2 are 1.53 and 1.6 to place

210 SALIS
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Flouncing, 9/4 Baltimore Clipper, 7/1 Sundream, 8/1 Soul Station, 9/1 Sabatini, 16/1 Shoot The Pot, 20/1 Sharp And Chic, 25/1 Baltic Ben, 33/1 Wavertree Bounty, 40/1 Seeking Rose, 100/1 High On A Hill, Set To Go.

DIOMED VERDICT: FLOUNCING and Baltimore Clipper look to dominate calculations, with the Haggas-trained filly bringing the better chance of improvement after her one AW outing.

Always good to see maidens who have consistent form, and Baltimore clipper has 3 consecutive 2nds 1.26 to place

215 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Midas Touch, 3/1 Nebula Storm, 7/2 Encompassing, 8/1 Munaawer, 10/1 Legendary Lad, Royal And Ancient, 20/1 Cruise Master, Global Recovery, 25/1 All Star Affair, Arbiter, Luddenmore, Quarton, 33/1 Quixote´s Quest.

Midas touch for Murtagh/O'Brien should improve as Ballydoyle maidens tend to 1.15 to place

FOOTBALL
16:30 Atlantis FC vs FC Viikingit 8/1 9/2 2/9
Huge gap in betdevil ratings should make for an away win but I am no Finnish league expert

SHORTLIST
210 SALISBURY - Baltimore Clipper simply because he has 3 2nd places, but Flouncing is also fancied here-and this is another top heavy market where we would hope both place. Positives - 3 2nd places means consistency here for Baltimore clipper - remember it is always difficult to place maximum faith in 2 year olds repeating earlier promise, but 3 2nds is proof that Baltimore has.
Negatives - 7 runners are one time outers and thus open to improvement
215 CURRAGH - Midas touch has only had one run on good to firm, has a new jockey in Murtagh and is well supported to place/win today, but the ground is an unknown-3rd fav encompassing is a non runner making life a little easier. Nebula is a newcomer from the Oxx/Kinane camp.Positives - Ballydoyle horses improve after 1st run. Joseph O'Brien replaced by Jonny Murtagh
ONE A DAY - 2 maiden races are all I can find today and although both look good candidates to place, it is a no bet day for me with better opportunities coming up during the week. No doubt the live market will bring its candidates, and that is a real advantage for those who can follow the live betting.

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