Anyway, job done yesterday
The Italians and Ruskies won again -another 4-0 for a 1/33 shot - a regular occurence and a chance to enhance the odds
International footy today and mismatches all over the place will probably result in a footy bet as the one a day, unless there's a nailed on horse bet
210 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Bagamoyo, 7/2 Slice, 9/2 Bush Tucker, 11/2 Radio City, 6/1 Master Of Dance, 10/1 Hill Of Miller, 12/1 More Lashes,
| DIOMED VERDICT: SLICE has given the impression he's been unsuited by soft ground in two starts since his Chepstow success and is worth a chance to resume his improvement returned to quicker conditions. |
All red on Bagamoyo - one non runner but may only be 2 places as the non runner was "doubtful" - 3 places on Betfair make this a possible place only selection at an enticing 1.23 - I'm not a fan of 2 year old races, especially nurseries but it's 7 runners - 3 places
220 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Hintsnallegations, 3/1 Pengana, 11/2 Humbel Ben, 6/1 Mumbles Pier, Word Of Warning, 12/1 Happy New Year, 14/1 Dot´s Delight, 20/1 Ministerofinterior, Return To Glory, 25/1 Pocket Park, 50/1 Bocciani, Felix Rex, 100/1 Castlemaine Vic, Kaftan Lad, Miss Zigzag, Sir Billy Nick.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Irish challenger PENGANA looked a bright prospect when obliging on his last two hurdle starts and should have more to offer. |
3rd and 5th favs out and who better to take advantage than AP and Choc on 1st and 2nd favs in a race where only 5 are under 20/1 1.26 hints and 1.78 Pengana -the confidence in the place market is behind McCoy's mount but is it because it's McCoy?
245 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Realisation, 11/4 Natural Law, Sabander Bleue, 11/2 Ebony Boom, 16/1 Dubai Phantom,
| DIOMED VERDICT: REALISATION has decent credentials as his Chester form has been given a couple of boosts and he's from a yard that has won two of the last five renewals of this contest. |
Not nailed on at all but market shows a bit of confidence at 1/2 and Fanning for Johnston is a very good sight
A 50/50 race this - 4 horses and 2 places 1.15 to place is enticing here with the Fanning/Johnston combo a strong pull for me
310 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Twice Over, 7/2 Serva Jugum, 7/1 Chock A Block, 10/1 Kings Gambit, 12/1 Gitano Hernando, 25/1 Sweet Lilly.
| DIOMED VERDICT: A race like this ought to be well within the grasp of TWICE OVER but he will need to be back on song to give 8lb more than weight-for-age to Serva Jugum. |
Should just involve 3 horses this race -these 3 fighting for 2 places 1.18 for Twice Over
540 UTTOX
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Knock Em Dead, 7/1 Ja Myford, Phone In, 8/1 Margarets Girl, 10/1 Mcqueen, 12/1 Fortification, 14/1 Benny The Piler, Dune Raider, Michaels Dream, 25/1 Tandori, Young Tot.
| DIOMED VERDICT: KNOCK EM DEAD (nap) has progressed well over the summer and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hat-trick. |
McCoy on a price gapper - evidence enough to place back? Big price gap ,on the hatrick and priced to come in again 1.24 to place -remember any horse (apart from Sea the stars and Rachel Alexandra LOL) putting together a winning sequence, will eventually lose
720 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Lutine Charlie, 3/1 Search For The Key, 5/1 Locksley Hall, 12/1 Ongoodform, 14/1 Addictive Dream, Caldermud, 16/1 San Cassiano, 20/1 Phoenix Rose, 33/1 Baralaka, 50/1 Banged Up Abroad, 66/1 Ballyvonane,
| DIOMED VERDICT: LUTINE CHARLIE sets a good standard and is likely to prove hard to beat. |
Price gapper here and a maiden who has had 2 runs so at least he's had a little bit of experience and has proved consistent on his 2nd run. 1.15 to place
820 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 The Scorching Wind, 13/2 Focail Eile, 7/1 Gazboolou, 8/1 Miss Minnies, 10/1 Eastern Gift, 12/1 April Fool, My Shadow, 16/1 Chief Exec, 20/1 Forbidden, Penchesco, 25/1 Fiefdom, Minority Report, Toolentidhaar, 33/1 Regional Counsel.
| DIOMED VERDICT: THE SCORCHING WIND (nap) is at the top of his game right now and can make it three in a row in a weaker race than he has contested the last twice. |
Price gapper in a handicap on a hatrick BUT priced to run well again 1.28 to place
FOOTBALL
| 15:30 | Cameroon vs Gabon | 3/10 |
| 16:15 | Otterup vs Randers FC | 20/1 | 8/1 | 1/20 |
| 16:20 | Czech Republic vs San Marino | 1/100 |
| 17:30 | Malta vs Sweden | 25/1 | 8/1 | 1/12 |
| 19:00 | Israel vs Luxembourg | 1/12 | 8/1 | 25/1 |
| 19:30 | Moldova vs Greece | 8/1 | 16/5 | 2/5 |
| 19:45 | Germany vs Azerbaijan | 1/80 |
| 21:00 | Spain vs Estonia | 1/20 |
TENNIS
THe bank of Fed is open later on and is paying 1.08 tonight. The way he dispatched the last opponent in 3 straight sets means we should not expect a Murray like collapse - Fed is a different animal, and with the main rival out will be licking his lips
SHORTLIST
245 EPSOM - 50/50 race and 1.15 for Realisation appeals but I hate 2 place races regardless of the apparent clear cut nature of the selection, but this is Johnston/Fanning and I like them
540 UTTOX - McCoy on a price gapper must always appeal - Knock en dead is 1.24 to place
Why is a 1/20 shot 1.15 on Betfair? Randers FC are 1.05 with Ladbrokes. V enticing but I know nothing about Danish games, Danish Cup games and team news is likely to be hard to find - illiquid market and not in running
Greece are a massive 1.44 to prevail in Moldova who are , what's the footballing term? - PANTS!
Injuries for the Greek squad? Doubts about their goalscoring prowess?
Spain should easily win but how many will they score? Beat Estonia 3-0 in their previous encounter so over 2.5 goals may be just on the verge of coming in and better approached from a trading perspective
FEDERER is 1.08 and should breeze it if his last game is anything to go by
ONE A DAY
Lots to chose from and for me Randers FC at 1.15 ( 1.05 with Ladbrokes) are my one a day simply because I'm getting inflated odds on a 1/20 shot - NOTE - the market is illiquid and there's not much available at all.
Alternatively,
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Fingers crossed that the odds on Randers mean an easy afternoon's work
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