28/9

No problems with St Nicholas Abbey yesterday. BRazil nippers scored plenty and look to be good things in future matches.
Races don't start til 2pm so footy to start with
tahiti under 20 v Venuzuela under 20 - 1.08 - should be an easy game for Venuzuela who should not really have won against Nigeria who were a man down
Italy under 20 v Trinidad under 20 - 1.24 - hopefully the Italy youth are as good as their senior counterparts.

210 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Rakaan, 9/2 Desert Poppy, 11/2 Memorandum, 6/1 Reddy To Star, 7/1 Annia, 15/2 Hill Of Miller, 12/1 The Two G´S, 16/1 Dream Number, 33/1 Ballachulish, 100/1 Miss Roma.

DIOMED VERDICT: Reasons to oppose the form principals and DESERT POPPY may be up to the task.

Now 5/6 and has run in better company but hint he may be exposed - but will that stop him placing? 1.15 to place - only 3 under 10/1 -last race was a class 2 so explains the poor form - 2 recent seconds in class 6 and class 4 (this is class 5) augur well despite Spotlight saying the horse has " gone the wrong way"


240 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Total Impact, 9/2 Fault, 5/1 Desperate Dan, 11/2 Misaro, 7/1 Green Lagonda, 10/1 Matterofact, Obe Gold, 14/1 Spic ´n Span, 33/1 Talamahana, 50/1 Rathmolyon, 100/1 Poppy Morris.

DIOMED VERDICT: TOTAL IMPACT is running well and must have bright prospects at this level despite the big weight

11/10 the fav and " all red" but this is a class 6 claimer - 1.22 and 5lb claimer compensating or the weight

300 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Milldown Story, 5/2 Hay Fever, 4/1 Turkish Lokum, 6/1 Catchpenny, 16/1 Commandingpresence, 20/1 Chasing Amy, 25/1 Place The Duchess, 50/1 Mrs Medley, Professor Malone, She Goes Nowhere, Valentine Bay.

DIOMED VERDICT: MILLDOWN STORY looks to have been found an ideal opportunity here and can gain a deserved first success.

Consistent placed form for the fav here in similar maiden races 1.21 to place - only 4 under 14/1 here

315 ROSCOMMON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Purple Heart, 3/1 My Point Exactly, 9/2 Keredari, 6/1 All Star Affair, Munaawer, 8/1 Palm Ridge, 10/1 Moonlight Rock, 14/1 Total Reality, 16/1 Blaze Brightly, Inaspettata, 20/1 Quarton, 25/1 Baveno, Liberty Girl, Ruby Suesday, 33/1 Flog The Lot,

Rarely do Aiden O;Brien maidens go too long without a win, and Purple Heart is nicely priced with Jonny Murtagh onboard. But this is a hot race - Oxx/Kinane , Weld/Smullen , Lordan/Wachman and Prendergast/O Donoghue in opposition - illiquid market

330 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Newbury Street, 11/2 Agent Boo, 8/1 Kilt Rock, 9/1 Nabrina, 10/1 Speedyfix, 12/1 Pepper Lane, 14/1 Bathwick Gino, 16/1 Rightcar, True Red, Zaskia, 25/1 Flyinflyout, Mr Smithson, Saucy Girl.

DIOMED VERDICT: Agent Boo and NEWBURY STREET may be the two to concentrate on.

Price gapper in a class 6 0-65 handicap but watch out for Kilt Rock now 7/2 and backed - 1.44 to place and Kilt rock still being backed

340 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Duty And Destiny, 11/4 Lovely Eyes, 100/30 Exemplary, 15/2 Futurist, 20/1 Groove Master, 33/1 Mr Maximas, 40/1 Radsky, 50/1 Taliesin.

DIOMED VERDICT: DUTY AND DESTINY has run creditably in stronger-looking races and should have the necessary stamina.

Only 4 under 20/1 make this an intriguing race for place only betting and Exemplary represents the Johnston yard which I can trust especially with Joe Fanning taking the ride, but it is tight at the head of the market. 1.21 the fav , 1.26 exemplary to place

530 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Vertigo On Course, 6/1 Cheers For Thea, 7/1 Arashi, 10/1 Hypnotic, 12/1 Another Decree, Funky Munky, Hold The Star, 14/1 Sign Of The Cross, 16/1 Inside Story, King Of Legend, Womaniser, 20/1 True Decision, 33/1 Lyrical Intent.

DIOMED VERDICT: There was lots to like about the win of VERTIGO ON COURSE at Yarmouth and his red-hot stable should win more races with her.

If Britney Spears was a horse tipster she would be saying " I'm a womaniser, oh womaniser, womaniser ,womaniser etc etc" and she might be right! 16/1 in the betting forecast and currently at 6/1 in the live market and "all red" hints at a possible market mover ( well done Britney!) and the booking of a certain Guillembert may hint at a good run?
I have included this race because Vertigo on Course in a class 6 0-65 handicap price gapper like the earlier one and these tend to be competitive horses. 1.53 to place

Elsewhere I remember John ISner, the giant and he is playing Wachiramanowong in the tennis this afternoon - 1.08 is reasonable enough and he should have little difficulty as he is improving greatly and is proven.

SHORTLIST
Not too taken by the 0-60 price gappers today - they are normally reliable though.
Venezuela under 20's at 1.08 v Tahiti - bear in mind this is the price of Spain when they scoed 8 past the Tahitians - Venezuela lucky 1-0 victors against Nigeria last time out ( down to 10 men)
Italy under 20's catch the eye at 1.24 against Trinidad and Tobago and surely there should be a gulf in class here?
But do we want to place faith in under 20's remaining consistent? I personalyl know nothing about the teams bar the fact that we can assume Tahiti will have trouble ( but Venezuela are no world beaters and are debutants in this tournament too)
210 BATH - Rakaan at 1.15 to place - should involve just 4 horses and an element of recent consistency , bar the inevitable poor result in class 2 company. I disagree with Spotlight and feel Rakaan has a good chance for a place
300 WOLVES - Milltown story - another maiden who has ultra consistent placed form in a race where 5 are 40/1 or bigger, and only 4 are under 12/1 - 1.21 to place here
340 BATH - perhaps the best probability race today - only 4 under 20/1 and Duty and Destiny and Exemplary sharing favouratism at around 13/8 - fly in the ointment is the Godolphin horse at 9/1, on the cusp of the 20/1 outsiders
Exemplary of interest with the Fanning/Johnston partnership but Duty and destiny a " hard to beat" candidate - tough to chose between these 2 and any choice made would have to assume that the 2 market leaders both get placed.
Perhaps go with the favourite in the betting market at the off?

ONE A DAY
Each has their niggles today - maidens all and the best race is the 340 Bath but none of the 4 in contention can be discounted with confidence. Faith then in Duty and destiny for me as a "hard to beat" selection at 1.23 and hope this IS a 4 horse race and he finishes in the first 3. If he is not market leader at the off, I will go with the market leader.