135 DONCASTEr
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Misheer, 9/2 Sand Vixen, 6/1 Mister Manannan, Star Rover, 15/2 Our Jonathan, 9/1 Piccadilly Filly, 12/1 Archers Road, 20/1 Rose Blossom, 25/1 Bould Mover, Swan Wings.
| DIOMED VERDICT: MISHEER can take the step back to 5f in her stride by beating Sand Vixen. |
Early start and Misheer fancied here in a race where only 3 are under 10/1 1.28 to place - as ever in these high class races, all horses are worthy of some consideration - the question is - are the 3 under 10/1 the dominant ones and if so, can Misheer dominate these?
215 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Racy, 7/2 Cereal Killer, 4/1 Machine Gun Kelly, 15/2 Swiss Cross, 8/1 Wellington Fair, 10/1 Be Grateful, 20/1 Blue Neptune, 25/1 Finch Flyer, Satin Princess.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Those with form look nothing special and newcomers Cereal Killer and RACY may well emerge on top. |
All red, evens and a big price gapper in the live market but Racy has never run before 1.21 to place - expected to run superbly on debut this one
305 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Kells Castle, 5/1 Celebrity Call, 7/1 Phoenix Des Mottes, Ripalong Lad, Volcanic Rock, 10/1 Mandingo Chief, Oscar Glory, Tubber Gael Holly, 14/1 First Boy, Runshan, 25/1 Merry Path.
| DIOMED VERDICT: CELEBRITY CALL has been running well for this yard since the tongue-tie has been fitted and he's on a fair mark for this return to fences. |
Price gapper in the live market - McCoy factor? The 2nd biggest price in this field is 16/1 which tells you it could be competitive 1.31 to place
315 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Seta, 11/2 Virginia Hall, 10/1 Clarietta, Gallic Star, 12/1 Quiet, 16/1 Pollenator, 25/1 Hibaayeb.
| DIOMED VERDICT: The hype is in danger of taking over but SETA looks the most likely winner. |
Alluded to earlier, like Fantasia yesterday, Fallon and Cumani have worked well , as has Fallon on fancied horses. Price gapper - only 2 places though 1.31 to place - a big price considering the horse is 1.63 to WIN
325 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Hot Prospect, 7/1 Morana, 8/1 Corsica, 9/1 Monterey, 10/1 Lajidaal, Lyric Poet, 12/1 Philander, 14/1 Spoken, 20/1 Bravo Bravo, 25/1 Count Bertoni.
| DIOMED VERDICT: The betting should be informative about the newcomers but HOT PROSPECT will be hard to beat. |
Price gapper here, but live market shows Morana creeping close. A " hard to beat" selection is Hot Prospect but yet again he's a one time outer who showed enough promise to be a big fancy on only 2nd run 1.13 to palce - shortest priced so far and Betfair's market expects a place
415 BANGOR
| DIOMED VERDICT: Diamond Brook looks open to progress but ANOTHER TRUMP (nap) was an impressive winner at Huntingdon on his first outing for Jonjo O'Neill and is taken to defy a penalty. |
Hi Tide drift to 9/1 could leave the front 2 battling things out- front 2 can't be cplit - Diamond Brook is 6/4 all red selection - Another trump is McCoy - nuff said 1.16 -AP favoured for the place - Diamond Brook is 1.27
425 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Al Zir, 9/4 Treadwell, 12/1 Practitioner,
| DIOMED VERDICT: AL ZIR looked a colt with a big future on his debut and can prove too good for Treadwell. |
3 horses, Practicioner only 7/1 so cannot be properly dismissed but Frankie is on Al Zir at 2/5 now - take the hint? Only one to beat to place 1.09 Al Zir - best probability race of the day this one with a price reflective of that
540 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Diamond Laura, 11/4 Existentialist, 4/1 Fenella Rose, 13/2 Lady Pattern, Yeadon, 12/1 Magenta Strait, 25/1 Bathwick Gino, 40/1 Blade Of Glory, London Girl, 66/1 Calle Vistamar, Teeraha.
| DIOMED VERDICT: The consistent DIAMOND LAURA, who is 2-2 on AW (both at this track) and 2-2 at claiming level, has solid credentials and gets the vote over Existentialist. Hmmm 2 year old claimer over 5 furlongs - I'LL GET ME COAT! But well backed is Diamond into 5/6 and form is there for all to see, but race type is terrible 1.18 - they fancy a good run but I can't back in such a race type 620 DOWNROYAL BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Trojan War, 5/2 Dabirana, 3/1 Directa King, 13/2 Cruel Sea, 14/1 Hunting Tower, 16/1 Royal Astronomer, 25/1 Timisvar, 33/1 Allez Vite, 50/1 Sandokan. Not heavy here , but heavy at Kilbeggan. Trojan War is Aiden O 'Brien and Murtagh and there ar only 4 under 20/1 - illiquid market FOOTBALL
TENNIS
SHORTLIST 315 DONCASTER - I don't normally like 2 places - it gives us little room for error when compared to a fav who can place 3rd in an 8 runner race and we still win. But, Fallon and Cumani partnership cannot be ignored at the moment and Seta looks very good here 325 SANDOWN - hot Prospect is a hard to beat selection and they generally palce. Priced to place and a price gapper. Concern this is a one time out 2 year old maiden expectedto reproduce on 2nd run 415 BANGOR - Another Trump and Diamond Brook are the 2 to focus on - I would side with McCoy here as the place market has too 425 DONCASTER - Al Zir is in the best probability race of the day and at 1.09 the price reflects the place chance for beating one horse only ONE A DAY If we're talking ultra safe and the best bet of the day , then it must be Al Zir, has Dettori onboard and maybe a day to just take the medicine at 1.09. Of the others , well they all look good and the best price is for the Fallon/Cumani partnership on Seta and at 1.32 -this is a 2 year old who has only had one run so as always we must be cautious, but if you believe in the fact this is the fav for the Oaks and 1000 guineas, and Fallon has a superb strike rate thus far for Cumani, then - 2 places means no rooms for error |
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