Game stalker won but price was compromised by one more non runner
Bayern won 5-0 and won 2-0 at half time so that option was profitable.
145 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Cash Queen Anna, 7/2 Fighting Talk, 9/2 Art Excellence, 13/2 Baraconti, Happy Dubai, 8/1 Much Acclaimed, 10/1 Weekend Millionair, 20/1 Bollin Jasmine, 66/1 Avon Grounds, Check The Anchor, Naughty Norris.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Cash Queen Anna has the best form of those with experience but she's had a few chances already and FIGHTING TALK is one of the more interesting newcomers. |
Odds on shot has placed in last 3 races but this is another big field maiden 1.13 to place
345 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Twice Over, 4/1 Perfect Stride, 13/2 Fanjura, 14/1 Re Barolo, 16/1 Montaff.
| DIOMED VERDICT: TWICE OVER is a Group 1 performer who should win again. |
4 horse race, 2 places and one 25/1 shot -should be a 3 horse race and 2 places 1.09 to place in a race where only 3 should be considered
455 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Point Of Light, 4/1 Trachonitis, 8/1 Maslak, 9/1 Come April, 14/1 Pelham Crescent, 16/1 Buddy Holly, Gross Prophet, 20/1 Holden Eagle, 25/1 Weststern, 33/1 Capable Guest, 66/1 Zaif, 100/1 Amwell Brave.
| DIOMED VERDICT: POINT OF LIGHT (nap), who bids for his seventh win in a row, looks a more reliable option than the back-to-form Trachonitis and there are no other persuasive places to turn. |
Price gapper here and has won 6 on the trot. Now this WILL end but Point is priced at odds on again here. Usually there is a hint in the market when the winning run is due to end 1.36 to place
520 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Pigeon Island, 3/1 Regent´s Secret, 66/1 Sawyer´s Gold.
| DIOMED VERDICT: PIGEON ISLAND, who has been rated as high as 145 over hurdles, should be difficult to beat in a weak contest on his chasing debut, barring any accidents. |
A hard to beat selection. Not sure if there'll be a place market - could also be a possible win bet to lay off 1.08 to place -horse would seem to just need to stay on its feet over the jumps -40/1 outsider should make this a match - perhaps a chance on Regents secret at 1.17. I would also consider backing Regents at 6 and laying off at 4.5 in running?
Pigeon has not run since November 2008
550 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Looby Loo, 2/1 Edith´s Boy, 11/1 Roodee King, 14/1 Rapanui Belle, 20/1 You´relikemefrank, 25/1 Noverre To Hide, 28/1 Spring Bridge,
| DIOMED VERDICT: If LOOBY LOO has inherited even a fair proportion of the ability of her Group 1-winning half-brother Dutch Art, she is highly likely to make this belated debut a winning one. |
Interesting mover in Edith's Boy into odds on favouratism now 1.1 to place - is the market move the clincher here?
FOOTBALL
The Cup games afford us mismatches which can be exploited
| 15:00 | Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków | 10/1 | 4/1 | 1/5 |
| 15:00 | Piast Kobylin vs Cracovia | 13/2 | 7/2 | 3/10 |
| 15:30 | Blokhus FC vs Brondby | 17/1 | 13/2 | 1/12 |
| 17:00 | Helsingor vs FC Copenhagen | 24/1 | 9/1 | 1/33 |
| 17:00 | Sweden Women vs Belgium Women | 1/20 | 8/1 | 18/1 |
| 18:00 | Werder Bremen vs St.Pauli | 2/7 | 7/2 | 7/1 |
| 19:00 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 9/2 | 11/4 | 8/13 |
8/13 could look massive at 845pm!! Ronaldo has been superb and could score again tonight. Horseface had a run out last game and what a player/horse to have on the bench. 1.64 to win - ronny 2.14 to score
| 19:30 | Osnabruck vs Hamburg | 9/1 | 7/2 | 1/4 |
| 19:30 | Lubeck vs Stuttgart | 9/1 | 7/2 | 1/4 |
| 19:35 | Queen of the South vs Rangers | 11/1 | 9/2 | 1/4 |
| 19:45 | Aston Villa vs Cardiff | 4/9 | 10/3 | 6/1 |
| 19:45 | Chelsea vs QPR | 1/5 | 11/2 | 11/1 |
| 19:45 | Inter vs Napoli | 2/5 | 10/3 | 7/1 |
| 19:45 | Rosenborg vs Tromso | 4/11 |
| 19:45 | Falkirk vs Celtic | 7/1 | 10/3 | 2/5 |
. Celtic have only lost one, but needed a miraculous late goal against Hearts to record a win. Against those at Falkirk's end of the table, 5-2 v St Johnstone mirrors the 4-1 Rangers scoreline .Team news important. I would like to see Geady playing
| 20:00 | Manchester City vs Fulham | 2/5 | 10/3 | 7/1 |
| 20:00 | Manchester Utd vs Wolves | 3/10 | 4/1 | 9/1 |
As you can see, Euro Cup games afford us a wealth of minnows versus majors , and with so many opportunities, it is simply a matter of chosing the best of these and hope it obliges for the one a day. The likelihood is the one a day will be a footy bet rathe than a horse bet
SHORtLIST
345 GOODWOOD - Twice over has an excellent oportunity to place in a race where only 3 should be involved for 2 places 1.09 to place
520 Perth - 1.08 to beat 1 horse to place for this 1/5 shot -question mark over fitness after last run November 2008
Blokhus v Brondby - playing in 2nd division west - Brondby at 1.1 should find this easy
Elite 3000 Helsingsor v FC Copenhagen 1.07
(possibility of a multiple here as the one a day?)
Osnabruck (regionalnord) v Hamburg (won 4, drawn 2) - 1.33 looks a gulf in class
Queen of the south v Rangers -1.29 - included from a sequencing perspective. How often do you think Rangers will draw 3 games 0-0 in a row? Here they have the prefect opportunity to break the sequence against weaker opposition
Chelsea at 1.21 should beat QPR at home
Rosenborg 1.38 - I was talking about sequencing with Rangers and am aware that Rosenborg may falter sometime with their unbeaten run ( that said, Bordeaux went unbeaten at home all last season)
The 2 manchesters could be considered with team news
Man Utd at 1.31 would be my preference with Wolves's minds elsewhere I suspect
ONE A DAY
It's days like this with so much choice where we inevitaably pick the nailed on place horse who unplaces in a 3 horse race ( 2 places) or the one team that manages a 0-0 where the rest win!
There are just so many good opportunities today
I will chance Chelsea at home at 1.21 - in running and tradeable
Chance too ,alternatively, on Rangers away to Queen of the South at 1.29 ( again in running and tradeable and should expect the 0-0 draws last 2 games sequence to end)
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