Saturday 12 September 2009

12/9

You see why sometime you have to go safe - Al Zir won but Sela , although 1.04 in running to place, finished 3rd - another 2 year old in a race with 2 places - there's always that doubt isnt there
Preference today will be on 3+place races
215 cheSTER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Laureldean Spirit, 4/1 Deely Plaza, 5/1 Lilyannabanana, 6/1 Medicinal Compound, 7/1 Spinning Spirit, 8/1 Kumbeshwar, 14/1 War Angel, 20/1 Peace And Glory.

DIOMED VERDICT: LAURELDEAN SPIRIT has done enough in stronger maidens to suggest she can take the measure of Deely Plaza.

8 down to 7 and a clear outsider should help All red Laureldean to place - again another maiden - 1.19 to place

235 FFOS LAS
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Lean Machine, 5/1 Glen Shiel, 11/2 Robens Rock, 12/1 Buffett, Stefanki, 20/1 Exceedthewildman, 25/1 Kilmanseck, 33/1 Bird On The Wire, 100/1 Little Buddy.

DIOMED VERDICT: LEAN MACHINE can become another winning youngster for Richard Hannon.

9 down to 7 and a fav who has had 3 2nd places - surely a good enough place candidate albeit in another maiden 1.11 to place

350 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Alfred Nobel, 13/8 Kingsfort, 9/2 Chabal, 14/1 Air Chief Marshal, 25/1 Beethoven, 40/1 Senior.

Should be a showdown between Alf and King here -Murtagh across the sea today but Jamie Heffernan an able alternative - soft to heavy at the Curragh but the weather is glorious 1.41 and 1.54 to place perhaps shows that the ground has raised some doubts, as has, I suppose, the inherent competitive nature of this race

420 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 J J The Jet Plane, 4/1 Swiss Diva, 9/2 Mullein, Tamagin, 8/1 Mac Gille Eoin, 10/1 Rowe Park, 12/1 Express Wish, 16/1 Beckermet, 20/1 Galpin Junior, 33/1 Festoso.

DIOMED VERDICT: TAMAGIN has achieved some sterling efforts this summer and has plenty going for him.

Swiaa diva an important non runner here and hopefully the masterful Ryan Moore on JJ can take advantage for place backers 1.45 to place, again shows this is a good quality field, but is Ryan the difference?

FOOTBALL
Bordeaux 1.31 and have scored 4 in both home games against Grenoble who have lost all games so far this season. Could be an opportunity for a relatively big price for the one a day today
From http://www.soccerbettingmoneymaker.blogspot.com/
Celtic v Dundee United 1.3 - Big firm at home priced ultra short should generally equal a win
Liverpool v Burnley 1.3 - shouldn't get anything really from Anfield today, but did at flashes at Stamford Bridge
Olympiakos v Kavali - 1.17 - Greek powerhouses at home can be relied upon
PSV 1.25 v Roda - full of goals and a team that shipped 7 last time out in last 2 games
Bordeaux v Grenoble - not lost at home in yonks and scoring 4+ at home -1.3
SHORTLIST
235 FFOS LAS - Lean machine's 2nd places ( 3 of them) are compelling, but the price of 1.11 is giving nothing away
Bordeaux look nailed on to give us a run for our money
ONE A DAY
I will chance Bordeaux today ( trade if they score first as an option, and with 8 in their last 2, the hope is they can keep this up). Hope to lift the usual odds beyond 1.3 today

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